[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Robert J. Wittman

Republican · Representative, VA ·1

Score Components

34 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

57 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: 2024 presidential margin: Trump +3.6 (shift from R+15 to R+6, making the district newly competitive)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English language at home: 10.5% of households (Spanish: 25,617; Chinese: 5,800; Arabic: 4,036)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Average commute time: 26.8 minutes

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 42.0

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 3.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 8.72% (70.1k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 96.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 5.82% (46.8k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian (Non-Hispanic) population share: 5.9% (47.4k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American (Non-Hispanic) population share: 12.7% (102k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 70.1% (564k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 804,410 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,601

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $407,900

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 35.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 76.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.43% (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $104,610 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Virginia — 2025 Mid-Decade Redistricting Proposal (Proposition 50 equivalent) (2025) — passed, margin Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering scheme was rejected by voters

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Virginia Constitutional Amendment 1 — Redistricting Commission Amendment (2020) (2020) — passed, margin 65.7% to 34.3%

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CACI International major_donor 2024: $33,525 total ($23,525 individuals + $10,000 PAC). Defense contractor benefiting from Armed Services Committee ove

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	yea	2025-11-12	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment and Fin	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-22	aligned
$95 Billion Foreign Aid Package — Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, and TikTok Ban (April	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Stock Trading Record — $2.56M+ Traded Between 2015-2023 While Serving on Armed S	yea (trades)	2023-12-31	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On April 16, 2025, Wittman signed a letter to House leadership stating he could not support legislation that 'includes any reduction in Medicaid cover"

Vote: on "On May 22, 2025, Wittman voted Yea on H.R. 1 (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act), releasing a press sta"

Wittman signed two separate letters to House leadership vowing he could not support legislation with 'any reduction in Medicaid coverage for vulnerable populations.' Less than six weeks later, he voted for a bill enacting the largest Medicaid cuts in

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "On May 22, 2025, Wittman voted Yea on H.R. 1 (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act), releasing a press statement headlined 'Wittman Votes to Protect Medicai"

Vote: on "The Congressional Budget Office projected the OBBB would cut approximately $930 billion from Medicai"

Wittman's official press release was headlined 'Wittman Votes to Protect Medicaid' and claimed the bill 'strengthens Medicaid for Americans who need it most' and 'protects resources for pregnant women, single mothers, children, seniors, and individua

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Wittman voted Yea on the OBBB, which the CBO projected would add $3-4 trillion to the deficit over 10 years. He had previously been recognized as a fi"

Vote: on "The ITEP analysis found Wittman would personally save between $19,900 and $59,300 annually from the "

Wittman voted for a bill the CBO projected would add $3-4 trillion to the deficit — while simultaneously benefiting personally from the bill's tax provisions. The ITEP analysis found he would save up to $59,300 annually from the pass-through business

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Wittman authored legislation establishing the Office of the Special Inspector General for Ukrainian aid, stating: 'I remain steadfast in supporting Uk"

Vote: on "In August 2023, Wittman reported stock trades nearly one year late in violation of the STOCK Act's 4"

Wittman positioned himself as a staunch Ukraine supporter — authoring legislation for a Special IG for Ukraine aid and voting for $60.8 billion in assistance. Simultaneously, he traded shares of defense contractor companies while sitting on the House

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and direct constituent accessibility in VA-01

41d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a district where Henrico and Chesterfield constituents repeatedly demanded in-person town halls, Wittman would be expected to hold open, in-person public fo

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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