[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jake Auchincloss

Democratic · Representative, MA ·4

Score Components

16 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

48 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English speaking households: 20.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 16.1% (127,000)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.75%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $116,055

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Massachusetts Question 4 (2022) - Driver's licenses for undocumented immigrants (2022) — passed, margin 53.8% Yes

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.118)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.168)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Educational Services (46555 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services (48829 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Health Care & Social Assistance (69733 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Massachusetts's 4th congressional district covers southern Massachusetts including Newton, Brookline, Fall River, Attleboro, and Taunton. As of 2024, the district has a population of 787,020 with a median household income of $116,055 and a poverty rate of 7.75%. The district is predominantly White (Non-Hispanic) at 7

secondary

Voted nay on H.R.6090 (Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023) on 2024-05-01: Auchincloss voted Nay on the Antisemitism Awareness Act (320-91), breaking with 133 Democrats who voted Yea. The bill was backed by pro-Israel groups but opposed by free-speech advocates and some Jewish Democrats who warned it could chill campus speech. His Nay vote aligned with progre

primary · 2024-05-01

Voted nay on H.R.2670 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024) on 2023-12-14: Auchincloss voted Nay on the NDAA, one of few Democratic veterans to do so. He cited concerns about supporting democracy abroad. The vote crossed typical pro-military constituency expectations for a Marine veteran and broke with the 310-118 majority.

primary · 2023-12-14

Voted yea on H.R.3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling)) on 2023-05-31: Auchincloss voted Yea on the debt-ceiling compromise despite 46 Democrats voting Nay. The bill included spending caps opposed by progressives. His vote crossed progressive pressure within his party, aligning with moderate fiscal governance.

primary · 2023-05-31

Voted yea on H.R.1808 (Assault Weapons Ban of 2022) on 2022-07-29: Auchincloss voted Yea on the assault weapons ban, aligning with his district's strong gun-control preference (MA-04 is in a state with strict firearm laws). Only 5 Democrats voted Nay. The vote aligned constituent interest with party position.

primary · 2022-07-29

[statement] Auchincloss stated in the Congressional Record on May 31, 2023: 'I support a clean raising of the debt ceiling, but elections have consequences.'

primary · 2023-05-31

[vote] Auchincloss voted Yea on the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling bill), joining 165 Democrats and 149 Republicans to pass the bill 314-117 on May 31, 2023.

primary · 2023-05-31

[vote] Auchincloss voted Yea on H.R.1808 (Assault Weapons Ban of 2022) on July 29, 2022.

primary · 2022-07-29

[disclosure] Auchincloss accepted $2,500 from Louisianians for American Security PAC (LFAS) in 2022. LFAS's major donor is Richard Lipsey, chairman of Lipsey's LLC, one of the largest firearms distributors in the United States.

primary · 2022-12-31

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023	nay	2024-05-01	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024	nay	2023-12-14	mixed
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling)	yea	2023-05-31	deviating
Assault Weapons Ban of 2022	yea	2022-07-29	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 30/100

Platform: "Auchincloss voted Yea on the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling bill), joining 165 Democrats and 149 Republicans to pass the bill 314-117"

Vote: on "Auchincloss stated in the Congressional Record on May 31, 2023: 'I support a clean raising of the de"

Auchincloss stated a preference for a 'clean' debt ceiling raise but ultimately voted for the Fiscal Responsibility Act compromise containing spending caps and work requirements, representing an evolution from stated principle to legislative pragmati

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Auchincloss presents himself as a champion of gun safety and launched 'Beyond Thoughts and Prayers PAC' to support Democratic candidates backing gun c"

Vote: on "Auchincloss accepted $2,500 from Louisianians for American Security PAC (LFAS) in 2022. LFAS's major"

Auchincloss runs a gun-safety PAC while accepting funds from a PAC whose major donor is a firearms distributor. Both quotes come from the same secondary source (Poulos for Massachusetts), which aggregates FEC and OpenSecrets data.

Last silence detection: Never

Gaza ceasefire resolution (H.Res.786)

451d silent

Expected position: As a progressive Massachusetts Democrat in a district that voted 58% for Harris in 2024 and with significant progressive constituency, Auchincloss would be expected to support or co

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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