[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jodey C. Arrington

Republican · Representative, TX ·19

Score Components

31 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

56 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Citizenship Rate: 94.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Property Value: $172,700

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 4.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English Language at Home: 24.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-Born Population: 8.08%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic Population Share: 39.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) Share: 50.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 33.7

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 25.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 62.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 16.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $63,608

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 9 — Cost-of-Living Adjustment for Teacher Retirees (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 84%-16%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 4 — Property Tax Relief (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 83%-17%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting) (share 0.06)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (Manufacturing) (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (Educational Services) (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (Retail Trade) (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance) (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hendrick Health System (Abilene) (3000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Trump tax cuts and spending reconciliation with est	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	misaligned
Resolution to repeal IRS crypto broker reporting rule	yea_unverified	2025-03-11	aligned
Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21) — crypto re	yea_unverified	2024-05-22	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 — $26 billion in military	yea_unverified	2024-04-20	aligned
House Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution — framework for mandatory spending cuts	yea_unverified	2024-03-07	mixed
Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023 — debt ceiling package with $144 billion in domest	yea_unverified	2023-04-26	misaligned
Objection to Arizona Presidential Electoral College Results — Joint Session Cert	yea_unverified	2021-01-06	deviating
American Health Care Act — ACA repeal and replacement	yea_unverified	2017-05-04	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Arrington served as President of Scott Laboratories, a healthcare innovation company in Lubbock, and stated: 'I have seen first hand the dire need for"

Vote: on "Arrington authored the Limit, Save, Grow Act (H.R. 2811) in 2023 and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act "

Arrington built his pre-congressional career as a healthcare executive who championed rural healthcare access, yet authored and voted for the two largest pieces of legislation imposing Medicaid cuts in a generation — the Limit, Save, Grow Act (2023)

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Arrington is the co-chair of the Rural Health Care Task Force and has advocated for increased Medicare reimbursement rates to support rural hospitals "

Vote: on "The Meals on Wheels director in Abilene, TX-19, stated Arrington's proposed budget cuts 'would inclu"

Arrington co-chairs the Rural Health Care Task Force and advocates for rural hospital Medicare reimbursement, yet the Abilene Meals on Wheels director stated his proposed budget would cut Medicaid, SNAP, and social services block grants. Rural hospit

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Arrington's official biography states he 'fights to ensure every American has the right to affordable and quality care' and his Ways and Means Committ"

Vote: on "In March 2026, Arrington told Politico he wants to revisit proposals to reduce Medicaid spending in "

Both quotes come from the same secondary source (Arrington's official house.gov page). He claims to fight for affordable care while simultaneously telling Politico he wants to pursue additional Medicaid spending reductions beyond those already enacte

Last silence detection: Never

Fiscal commission as vehicle for Social Security and Medicare cuts

431d silent

Expected position: Arrington has championed a bipartisan fiscal commission to address the national debt, which critics call a 'death panel' for Social Security and Medicare. Given his 2016 comment tha

Impact of OBBBA Medicaid and SNAP cuts on TX-19 constituents

78d silent

Expected position: As author of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a representative of a district with 16% poverty and tens of thousands of Medicaid and SNAP beneficiaries, Arrington would be expected

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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