[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Cliff Bentz

Republican · Representative, OR ·2

Score Components

36 HIGH

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

56 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+32 (LegisLetter 2026)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 5.8% (vs. 3.5% nationally, 2026 estimate)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 42.8 years (vs. 38.5 nationally); 16% of residents 70+

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid Enrollment: Approximately 40% of district residents enrolled in Oregon Health Plan (Medicaid) — among the highest rates in the nation. 1 in 4 Oregonians is on OHP.

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: White (Non-Hispanic) 79.2%, Hispanic 15.5%, Two or More Races 3.3%, Black 0.8%, Asian 0.6%, Native American (tribal communities significant in Umatilla, Warm Springs, Burns Paiute areas)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 24.4% (vs. 33.7% nationally); 10.3% lack a high school diploma

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 69.1% (vs. 65.5% nationally); median property value $366,400

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 9.3% (LegisLetter) / 13.8% (Data USA Census ACS)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $67,259 (vs. $78,538 national median)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 708,237

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Oregon Measure 110 (2020) — Decriminalize possession of small amounts of drugs and fund addiction treatment (effects still debated through 2024) (2020) — passed, margin 58.5% Yes — 41.5% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Oregon Measure 109 (2023) — Establish a commission to set salaries for state elected officials (2023) — passed, margin 57.1% Yes — 42.9% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (Retail Trade) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (Manufacturing — wood products, food processing) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance) (share 0)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting) (share 0)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Les Schwab Tire Centers (headquartered in Bend) (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wildhorse Resort & Casino (Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation) (1200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: St. Charles Health System (Bend, Madras, Prineville, Redmond) (4500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Murphy Forest Products / Murphy Plywood (Oregon) (500 employees)

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SpaceX pac_donor 2025: $10,000 via Space Exploration Technologies Corp. PAC — Bentz's largest single PAC donor in 2025.

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — $4.5 trillion budget framework with $1.02 trillion	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
Respect for Marriage Act — Federal protection for same-sex and interracial marri	nay	2022-12-08	misaligned
Inflation Reduction Act — Medicare drug price negotiation, $35 insulin cap, clea	nay	2022-08-12	misaligned
Right to Contraception Act — Would codify the right to access birth control	nay	2022-07-21	misaligned
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — $1.2 trillion for roads, bridges, broad	nay	2021-11-05	misaligned
Contempt of Congress resolution against Steve Bannon for defying a subpoena from	nay	2021-10-21	misaligned
Equality Act — Would prohibit discrimination based on sexual orientation and gen	nay	2021-02-25	deviating
Impeachment of Donald Trump — Incitement of insurrection following the January 6	nay	2021-01-13	deviating
Certification of 2020 presidential election results — Objection to Pennsylvania'	yea	2021-01-07	deviating
American Health Care Act of 2017 — Partial ACA repeal; CBO projected 23 million	not in office	2017-05-04	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Bentz voted against the Respect for Marriage Act on July 19, 2022 — and voted 'yes' on final passage in December 2022. No, that's incorrect. He voted "

Vote: on "Bentz previously voted in favor of the Respect for Marriage Act when it first passed the House on Ju"

Bentz voted yes on the Respect for Marriage Act in July 2022, then flipped to no on final passage in December 2022. He was one of 10 House Republicans to reverse without public explanation — declining to disclose his reasoning even as other GOP membe

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Before voting for the Big Beautiful Bill in May 2025, Bentz vowed on his campaign website and in public statements to be a fiscal conservative who wou"

Vote: on "Bentz voted to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which the nonpartisan CBO projected would add tr"

Bentz campaigned as a deficit hawk but voted for the Big Beautiful Bill, which the CBO projected would add trillions to the national debt. The East Oregonian noted this directly contradicted his 'past vows not to add to the national deficit.'

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Bentz voted against certifying Pennsylvania's electoral votes on January 7, 2021, citing 'concerns about the election.' He stated he 'joined many of m"

Vote: on "Later in the same OregonLive interview, Bentz conceded he 'saw no evidence' of election irregulariti"

Bentz voted to object to Pennsylvania's electoral votes citing 'irregularities,' but in the same interview admitted he had seen 'no evidence' of those irregularities and did not accept Trump's fraud claims. The East Oregonian called it a 'major misst

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Bentz then voted in support of creating the bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6 insurrection, becoming one of only 35 House Republicans"

Vote: on "Despite supporting the Jan. 6 commission, Bentz voted against impeaching Trump for inciting the insu"

Bentz voted to create the Jan. 6 commission — a rare bipartisan act — but then voted against holding Bannon in criminal contempt for defying the very commission he authorized. This earned him an 'F' democracy grade from Republican Accountability.

Last silence detection: Never

Silence on the contradiction between accepting federal infrastructure dollars and voting against the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act

1347d silent

Expected position: As a representative who voted against the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure law while subsequently celebrating federal funding arriving in his district, Bentz would be expecte

Abandonment of in-person town halls in favor of controlled-access group meetings and telephone town halls

189d silent

Expected position: As the sole Republican representing Oregon in Congress — and representing the 7th largest, most rural district in the nation — Bentz would be expected to maintain robust, public, in

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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