[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Don Bacon

Republican · Representative, NE ·2

Score Components

25 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

30 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

46 → 12

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Total population: 664,272

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 63.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 42.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 7.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $83,942 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Nebraska Minimum Wage Increase to $15 (2022) (2022) — passed, margin 58%-42%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Nebraska Medical Cannabis Initiative (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 52%-48%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 541330 (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 928110 (share 0.09)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 622110 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 524210 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Union Pacific Railroad (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kiewit Corporation (28000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mutual of Omaha (5400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Nebraska Medicine (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Offutt Air Force Base (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District encompasses the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County and urbanized portions of Sarpy County. The district has a population of approximately 664,272 with a median age of 35.8 years. It is racially diverse by Nebraska standards: 70.9% White, with significant His

secondary

Voted nay on H.R. 6833 (Consumer Fuel Price Gouging Prevention Act of 2022) on 2022-06-30: Bacon voted against cracking down on oil and gas price gouging during a period of high gas prices. Nebraska's 2nd District has a 72.2% drive-alone commuting rate, making fuel costs a direct constituent burden. This vote aligned with energy sector donor interests (Tenas

primary · 2022-06-30

Voted nay on H.R. 582 (Raise the Wage Act of 2021 ($15 minimum wage)) on 2021-07-19: Bacon opposed gradually raising the federal minimum wage to $15/hour. Nebraska's minimum wage was $9/hour at the time; the district's median household income of $83,942 masks a 7.2% poverty rate. Low-wage workers in the district's service economy would have benefited directl

primary · 2021-07-19

Voted yea on H.R. 8029 (Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act) on 2024-09-18: Bacon supported backpay for homeland security personnel during a government shutdown threat. As a retired Air Force brigadier general representing a district home to Offutt Air Force Base and thousands of federal workers, this vote aligned with constituent employment interests but crossed

primary · 2024-09-18

Stacey Plaskett related Connection documented in FINDING-2026-010

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Rescissions Act of 2025	yea	2025-06-12	misaligned
Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act	yea	2024-09-18	aligned
Consumer Fuel Price Gouging Prevention Act of 2022	nay	2022-06-30	aligned
Bipartisan Safer Communities Act of 2022	nay	2022-06-24	aligned
Women's Health Protection Act of 2021 (Roe v. Wade codification)	nay	2021-09-24	aligned
Raise the Wage Act of 2021 ($15 minimum wage)	nay	2021-07-19	mixed
Bipartisan Background Checks Act of 2021	nay	2021-03-11	aligned
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017	yea	2017-12-19	mixed
American Health Care Act of 2017 (Obamacare repeal/replace)	yea	2017-05-04	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "If PEPFAR is gutted, I am a no. I just want to make sure we're funding the medicine. We want to prevent AIDS, it's a noble program, it's George Bush's"

Vote: on "Voted YES (after initially voting NO) on H.R. 4, the Rescissions Act of 2025, which rescinded $400 m"

Three days after pledging to vote 'no' if PEPFAR was 'gutted,' Bacon initially cast a 'no' vote but then switched to 'yea' after receiving leadership assurances, despite the final bill cutting $400 million from the program. The House vote passed 214-

Last silence detection: Never

Donald Trump's insults toward members of the U.S. armed services and fallen heroes

3075d silent

Expected position: As a retired Air Force brigadier general and member of the House Armed Services Committee, Bacon would be expected to defend military personnel against disparaging remarks from his

Deletion of anti-abortion endorsements from campaign website

10d silent

Expected position: A sitting congressman with a 0% NARAL rating and endorsements from Nebraska Right to Life and Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America would be expected to maintain transparency about his

Nebraska GOP's refusal to denounce degrading remarks toward women (2016 Republican presidential nominee)

7d silent

Expected position: As a candidate for Congress in 2016, Bacon would be expected to take a position on whether the Nebraska Republican Party should denounce such remarks given his general-election appe

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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