[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Troy Balderson

Republican · Representative, OH ·12

Score Components

21 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 3.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 27.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 39.6

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 88.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2023 ACS): 7.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 73.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2023 estimate): 798,482

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2023 ACS): $76,493

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Issue 2 — Ohio Marijuana Legalization Initiative (adult-use cannabis) (2023) — passed, margin 57.0% Yes, 43.0% No statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Issue 1 — Ohio Right to Make Reproductive Decisions Including Abortion Initiative (constitutional amendment) (2023) — passed, margin 56.6% Yes, 43.4% No statewide

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.168)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Licking Memorial Health Systems (Newark) (2200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kenyon College (Gambier) (750 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Ohio University (Athens campus) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Genesis HealthCare System (Zanesville) (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Ohio's 12th Congressional District covers a largely rural and small-city expanse of central and eastern Ohio, including Zanesville, Newark/Heath, Mount Vernon, Cambridge, and Athens, plus parts of Delaware, Holmes, and Tuscarawas counties. The district is the most Republican in Ohio (Cook PVI R+37) and is overwhelmin

secondary

Voted yea on H.Con.Res. 14 (Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution (Trump budget framework — groundwork for $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and $1.5 trillion in potential program cuts)) on 2025-04-10: Balderson voted for the budget resolution that set the stage for the OBBBA's tax cuts and program reductions. Passed 216-214. His vote aligned with his Oil & Gas donors

primary · 2025-04-10

Voted nay on H.R. 8404 (Respect for Marriage Act (codifying federal protections for same-sex and interracial marriage)) on 2022-07-19: Balderson voted against codifying same-sex marriage protections, joining 157 House Republicans while 47 Republicans supported the bill. His district includes the Columbus exurbs and college communities in Licking and Athens c

primary · 2022-07-19

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump budget reconciliation — tax cuts with estimate	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution (Trump budget framework — groundwork for $4.5	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 crypto regul	yea	2024-05-22	aligned
Disapproving SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 (SAB 121 crypto custody rule)	yea	2024-05-08	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion Ukraine mi	nay	2024-04-20	misaligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension)	yea	2023-05-31	aligned
Respect for Marriage Act (codifying federal protections for same-sex and interra	nay	2022-07-19	misaligned
National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Cap	nay	2021-05-19	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On April 28, 2022, Balderson voted in favor of the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act (S.3522), which passed 417-10. He stated: 'Russia's unprov"

Vote: on "On April 20, 2024, Balderson voted against H.R. 8035, the Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriatio"

Balderson voted for the 2022 Lend-Lease Act and made an impassioned pro-Ukraine statement, then reversed to vote against the largest Ukraine aid package in 2024. In the interim, he also voted for amendments to the FY2024 NDAA that would have stripped

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "On January 6, 2021, Balderson stated that 'Congress does not have the authority to overturn elections, nor to overrule decisions made in state or fede"

Vote: on "In May 2021, Balderson voted against H.R. 3233, the bill to establish an independent bipartisan comm"

Balderson publicly invoked his oath to the Constitution in refusing to challenge the election certification, positioning himself as a principled institutionalist. Yet four months later, he voted to block an independent investigation into the violent

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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