[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Aaron Bean

Republican · Representative, FL ·4

Score Components

32 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

92 → 23

Intelligence Volume 10%

61 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+15

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American: 30.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Uninsured rate: 10.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 67.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 27.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2023 ACS): 797,286

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $71,083

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 4: Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 57.2% Yes – 42.8% No (failed to reach 60% threshold)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.18)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (share 0.22)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bank of America / Merrill Lynch (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mayo Clinic Jacksonville (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baptist Medical Center Jacksonville (12000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Duval County Public Schools (15000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Naval Air Station Jacksonville (25240 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Florida's 4th Congressional District encompasses all of Nassau and Clay counties and the portion of Duval County (Jacksonville) west and north of the St. Johns River. With a Cook PVI of R+15, it is a safely Republican seat, though Democrats gained 6 points from recent baselines. The district is anchored by the Jackso

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 3838 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 (NDAA)) on 2025-09-11: Supported the NDAA consistent with his district's large military presence (NAS Jacksonville, approx. 22,000 personnel). Aligned with district economic interests but the AFL-CIO opposed the rule version for failing to restore DoD civilian collective bargaini

primary · 2025-09-11

Voted yea on H.J.Res. 45 (Disapproval of Student Loan Forgiveness Rule) on 2023-05-24: Voted to block student loan forgiveness, against the interests of younger constituents in his district where 27.1% hold bachelor's degrees (below national average) and economic mobility is tied to education access.

primary · 2023-05-24

Geo Group major_donor 2026: PAC donation via GEO Group PAC

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Lower Health Care Premiums for All Americans Act	yea	2025-12-17	misaligned
Protecting America's Workforce Act	nay	2025-12-11	misaligned
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 (NDAA)	yea	2025-09-11	deviating
Rescissions Act of 2025	yea	2025-07-18	aligned
Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025	yea	2025-07-17	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation) — Final Concurrence	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Initial Passage	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
No Bailout for Sanctuary Cities Act	yea	2024-02-15	deviating
Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib	yea	2023-11-07	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2024	nay	2023-07-14	misaligned
Censuring Representative Adam Schiff	yea	2023-06-21	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023	yea	2023-05-31	deviating
Disapproval of Student Loan Forgiveness Rule	yea	2023-05-24	misaligned
Parental Rights in Education Act ('Don't Say Gay' — Florida Senate)	yea	2022-03-08	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Bean accepted the 'Guardian of Seniors' Rights Award' from the 60 Plus American Association of Senior Citizens, which recognized his 'steadfast commit"

Vote: on "Bean voted yea on H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (final concurrence, July 3, 2025; also yea "

Bean accepted a 'Guardian of Seniors' Rights' award while voting for H.R. 1, which the AFL-CIO and other watchdogs said enacted devastating cuts to Medicaid and SNAP — programs that millions of seniors rely on for healthcare and food security.

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Former Fernandina Beach resident Laurie Rodriguez stated at a protest outside Bean's office: 'Mr. Bean has said at church services that he would prote"

Vote: on "Bean co-founded and co-chairs the House DOGE Caucus, which explicitly partners with Elon Musk to 'di"

Bean personally promised constituents at church that he would 'protect Social Security,' yet he co-founded the DOGE Caucus explicitly partnering with Elon Musk — whose DOGE Service has been accused by protesters and advocacy groups of targeting Socia

Last silence detection: Never

In-person constituent town halls

1209d silent

Expected position: As the elected representative for FL-04 since January 2023, Bean would be expected to hold periodic in-person town halls where constituents can ask unscripted questions, a longstand

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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