[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Nikki Budzinski

Democratic · Representative, IL ·13

Score Components

31 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

57 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Public transit commuting share: 2.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 37.4

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veteran population share: 6.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: SNAP utilization rate: 17.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 5.87% (43.9k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 96.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 5.06% (37.8k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American population share: 19.2% (142k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 67.5% (495k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 747,221 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $999

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $154,500

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 32.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 63.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.8% (ACS 5-Year); 17.5% (Data USA 2024, broader measure)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $63,106 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Amendment — Transportation Funds Lockbox (2016) (2016) — passed, margin 79% to 21%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Constitutional Amendment 1 — Workers' Rights Amendment (Right to Collective Bargaining, 2022) (2022) — passed, margin 58.3% to 41.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.1)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	nay	2026-04-30	aligned
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — On Passage and Dispos	nay	2026-03-27	aligned
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	nay	2025-11-12	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-22	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2025 — On Passage	yea	2024-12-11	deviating
Stop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act — On Passage (S	nay	2024-11-21	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 90/100

Platform: "Budzinski voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5, Roll Call 23) on January 22, 2025, one of 46 House Democrats joining all Republicans to mandate ICE "

Vote: on "Budzinski voted Nay on the DHS/ICE appropriations bill three times in 2025-2026 (January 22, 2026, F"

Budzinski voted to expand ICE detention authority (Laken Riley Act, Jan 2025), then voted three times against funding the agency carrying out that authority (2025-2026), citing 'deadly consequences of mismanagement' and ICE 'tearing families apart.'

reversal 60/100

Platform: "Budzinski initially voted Yea on H.R. 9495, the 'Stop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act,' which would have given the Secreta"

Vote: on "After sustained constituent pressure and 34,000+ calls from Indivisible activists, Budzinski flipped"

Budzinski voted for H.R. 9495 on November 12, 2024 — a bill condemned by civil liberties groups as the 'nonprofit killer' — then flipped to Nay on November 21 after sustained grassroots pressure. Indivisible credited constituent calls for changing he

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Budzinski voted Yea on the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2025 on December 11, 2024 — the only Illinois Democrat to do so. "

Vote: on "At a February 11, 2025 telephone town hall, Budzinski fumbled when asked about Trump's executive ord"

Budzinski was the only Illinois Democrat to vote for the NDAA containing an anti-transgender healthcare provision, yet later told constituents she would 'do everything in her power to protect the LGBTQ+ community.' Both positions are documented in he

statement_vs_disclosure 30/100

Platform: "Budzinski voted Nay on the One Big Beautiful Bill (H.R. 1, Roll Call 190) on July 3, 2025, calling it 'a profound betrayal to hardworking American fam"

Vote: on "The NRCC reported that after voting against the OBBB, Budzinski toured St. Louis Lambert Airport 'to"

Budzinski voted against the OBBB and called it a 'betrayal,' yet the NRCC documented she subsequently toured St. Louis Lambert Airport touting federal funding included in the bill — a 'vote no and take the dough' pattern identified in other members.

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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