[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael Baumgartner

Republican · Representative, WA ·5

Score Components

7 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 39.2

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: Approximately 63% (below national average of 65.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+14

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: Approximately 33% (near national average of 33.7%; WSU, Gonzaga, and EWU presence elevates district-wide rate)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: Approximately 13% (above state average of 9.5%; higher in rural eastern counties)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veterans as share of civilian adult population: Approximately 11% (above national average, reflecting Fairchild AFB and regional military heritage)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Native American population share: Approximately 3% (Colville, Spokane, and other tribal nations present in district)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: Approximately 9% (concentrated in agricultural communities in Grant, Adams, and Franklin counties)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White non-Hispanic population share: Approximately 79%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: Approximately $62,400 (below Washington state median of $90,325 and below national median of $74,580; significant rural-urban divide within district)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 2109 — Repeal Capital Gains Tax (2024) (2024) — failed, margin Statewide: 41% Yes — 59% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 2117 — Repeal of Carbon Cap and Trade (2024) (2024) — passed, margin Statewide: 62% Yes — 38% No (eastern Washington voted more heavily for repeal)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 Public Administration (military and federal) (share 0.08)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 Retail Trade (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 Educational Services (share 0.1)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 Agriculture Forestry Fishing and Hunting (share 0.1)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.18)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: MultiCare Deaconess Hospital (Spokane) (4000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fairchild Air Force Base (5000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Spokane Public Schools (5500 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-01-07	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

Columbia Snake River System dam removal debate and its impact on WA-05 agricultural irrigation and navigation

119d silent

Expected position: The four Lower Snake River dams in southeastern Washington are among the most contested infrastructure questions in WA-05. The dams provide irrigation water to hundreds of thousands

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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