[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Robert P. Bresnahan

Republican · Representative, PA ·8

Score Components

23 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

72 → 18

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+4 (shifted R+2 since last redistricting)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,063

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $213,300

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: projected OBBBA SNAP loss: 11,500 constituents

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: projected OBBBA health coverage loss: 21,000+ constituents

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: disability rate: 16.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: SNAP utilization: 17.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid enrollment: ~200,000 (approximately 25% of district)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 96%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 8.92% (68,600 people)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 15.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 74.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 42.9 (20.5% over 65)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 27.3% (9.1% lack high school diploma)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 70.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 10.4% (LegisLetter) / 13.9% (Data USA 2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $67,979 (poorest PA district)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 768,757 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Pennsylvania Constitutional Amendment — Voter ID Requirement (2025) (2025) — pending, margin legislative referral, not yet on ballot

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House passage, May 22 and July 3, 2025	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
FY 2025 Budget Resolution (Reconciliation Framework, February 2025)	yea	2025-02-25	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Bresnahan represents PA-08, the poorest congressional district in Pennsylvania. He purchased a 2024 Robinson R66 helicopter worth between $1 million a"

Vote: on "Bresnahan campaigned on prohibiting stock trading by members of Congress, telling voters during the "

Bresnahan represents the poorest district in Pennsylvania yet owns a secret $1-1.5 million personal helicopter he failed to disclose — a striking disconnect between his campaign persona as a blue-collar advocate and his personal wealth (estimated at

statement_vs_disclosure 50/100

Platform: "Bresnahan campaigned on prohibiting stock trading by members of Congress, telling voters during the 2024 campaign that lawmakers should be banned from"

Vote: on "By August 2025, Bresnahan had executed 626 stock trades worth $7.24 million — becoming the second-mo"

Bresnahan campaigned on banning congressional stock trading and introducing the TRUST Act, yet became the second-most active stock trader in Congress — executing 626 trades worth $7.24 million — including in companies directly related to his committe

statement_vs_disclosure 50/100

Platform: "On May 15, 2025 — one week before voting for the OBBBA which included massive Medicaid cuts — Bresnahan dumped $130,000 worth of stock in Centene, Ele"

Vote: on "Bresnahan voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) on May 22 and July 3, 2025. The nonpartisan CBO projected "

Bresnahan sold $130,000 in stock of the four largest Medicaid-managed care companies (Centene, Elevance Health, UnitedHealth, CVS Health) on May 15, 2025 — just days before voting to cut $1 trillion from Medicaid on May 22. The timing — dump Medicaid

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Bresnahan repeatedly campaigned on and pledged after taking office to protect Medicaid and Social Security. His campaign website stated: 'I will alway"

Vote: on "Bresnahan voted yea on the OBBBA (H.R. 1) on May 22 and July 3, 2025. The nonpartisan CBO projected "

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Bresnahan's repeated, unambiguous pledges — 'If a bill is put in front of me that guts the benefits my neighbors rely on, I will not vote for it' — were directly contradicted by his yea vo

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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