[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ken Calvert

Republican · Representative, CA ·41

Score Components

17 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

51 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 6.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $626,200

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 40.2% (321k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 18.9% (151k people, 2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 31.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 74.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 8.74% (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $103,180 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Riverside County Transient Occupancy Tax measures (various cities) (2024) — mixed, margin city-by-city; Palm Springs measures generally passed

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 50 — Redistricting Commission Suspension (statewide, directly impacted CA-41 boundaries) (2025) — passed, margin passed by voters; turned CA-41 from Trump+6 to Harris+14

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 - Accommodation and Food Services (share 0.078)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.087)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.114)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.128)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Corona Regional Medical Center (1400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Agua Caliente Casino Resort Spa (Rancho Mirage) (1800 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Desert Regional Medical Center (Palm Springs) (2200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: March Air Reserve Base (9600 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 41st Congressional District encompasses the Inland Empire and Coachella Valley regions of Riverside County, including the cities of Corona, Palm Springs, Rancho Mirage, Palm Desert, Indian Wells, La Quinta, and portions of Riverside. With approximately 798,000 residents, the district has a median househo

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 8774 (Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2025 — On Passage) on 2024-06-28: As chair of the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, Calvert sponsored and passed an $833 billion defense spending bill ($8.57 billion above FY2024). Four of his top five career donors are defense contractors (General Atomics, Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics

primary · 2024-06-28

General Dynamics major_donor 1991-2024: $227,300 total ($122,800 individuals + $104,500 PAC).

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution (Senate Amendment) — Advancing Reconciliation	yea_unverified	2025-04-10	mixed
Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2025 — On Passage	yea	2024-06-28	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	yea_unverified	2022-12-08	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Calvert voted for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (H.R. 1) on November 16, 2017, which imposed a $10,000 cap on the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction. He"

Vote: on "In a January 2025 op-ed, Calvert wrote: 'Another priority I have is increasing the amount of state a"

Calvert voted for the 2017 tax law imposing a $10,000 SALT deduction cap that disproportionately harmed high-tax states like California. Seven years later, as his district shifted to become more competitive and California homeowners felt the cap's im

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Calvert voted against the Equality Act (H.R. 5) on February 25, 2021, which would have prohibited discrimination based on sex, sexual orientation, and"

Vote: on "Calvert voted for the Respect for Marriage Act (H.R. 8404) on December 8, 2022, joining 38 other Rep"

Calvert voted against the Equality Act in 2021, continuing a nearly three-decade record opposing LGBTQ civil rights legislation (including voting for DOMA in 1996 and campaigning against a gay opponent). In 2022, he voted for the Respect for Marriage

Last silence detection: Never

Cancellation of $1.2 billion ARCHES hydrogen hub funding affecting California's 41st Congressional District

30d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a district that stood to benefit from 220,000 jobs tied to the Alliance for Renewable Clean Hydrogen Energy Systems (ARCHES) hydrogen hub — which touches pa

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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