[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John R. Carter

Republican · Representative, TX ·31

John R. Carter is the Republican U.S. Representative (TX's 31st congressional district). The platform has 3 voting records on file (2023-2025) and 33 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

43 LOW

Connection Density 20%

29 → 6

Donor Influence 15%

41 → 6

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

40 → 10

Intelligence Volume 15%

30 → 5

Constituency Deviation 0%

11 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 843,922 (2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 70.2%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 38.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.0%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $96,016 (2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 16: Codifying Citizenship Requirement for Voting in State Elections (2025) — passed, margin 76.2% Yes – 23.8% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 13: Increase Homestead Exemption to $140,000 (2025) — passed, margin 83.6% Yes – 16.4% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 4: Property Tax Relief (Homestead Exemption Increase) (2023) — passed, margin 83.3% Yes – 16.7% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5417 (share 0.079)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5241 (share 0.087)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6113 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 9281 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6221 (share 0.125)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Williamson County Government (2000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Round Rock Independent School District (6000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Baylor Scott & White Health (7000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Dell Technologies (13000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fort Cavazos (III Armored Corps) (48000 employees)

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[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Texas's 31st Congressional District covers a strip of Central Texas from the northern Austin suburbs in Williamson County through Bell County to Temple and Gatesville. The district has a population of approximately 844,000 and is rated R+29 (stable Republican). It is one of only two Texas districts never represented by a Democrat. The economy is anchored by the defense sector (Fort Cavazos, formerly Fort Hood), technology (Dell Technologies headquarters in Round Rock), healthcare (Baylor Scott & White), and higher education (Texas State University Round Rock, Southwestern University). The district is 63.4% White, 24.2% Hispanic, and 7.2% Black, with a median household income of $96,016, well above the national median, though with significant income variation between suburban and rural areas.

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[ Show full fact ]

Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation – Concurrence in Senate Amendment)) on 2025-07-03: Carter voted with all 218 of his Republican colleagues on this near-party-line vote (218-214) enacting sweeping budget reconciliation including deep cuts to Medicaid and SNAP alongside permanent tax cuts. TX-31 has 6% poverty and an estimated 12-15% of constituents rely on Medicaid. Top donor sectors — real estate ($944K career), securities, and defense — stood to benefit from the bill's tax provisions. Constituent groups held protests outside Carter's Belton office opposing the cuts, creating a cross-pressure between donor-aligned fiscal policy and the material interests of lower-income constituents.

primary · 2025-07-03 ✓ Verified

House Appropriations Committee membership Rep. John Carter is a senior member of the House Appropriations Committee.

Boeing donor Defense sector contributions to Carter's campaigns totaled $533,862 over his career. Defense aerospace PACs are significant donors. Boeing is a major defense…

One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) voted_for Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on 2025-07-03, a near-party-line budget reconciliation bill that included cuts to Medicaid and SNAP alongside…

General Dynamics donor Defense sector contributions to Carter's campaigns totaled $533,862. General Dynamics is a major defense contractor relevant to Military Construction and…

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Caci PAC donor $7,500 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00783423/

American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/

Samsung Electronics America Inc Political Action Committee donor $6,500 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00590315/

Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00563726/

First In Freedom PAC donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00540146/

Nssf PAC/National Shooting Sports Foundation donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00480863/

Alliance For Pharmacy Compounding PAC (Comp PAC) donor $7,500 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00424143/

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. PAC donor $15,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00411116/

Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00404392/

Dell Technologies PAC donor $5,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00369751/

Oracle America Inc. PAC donor $7,500 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00323048/

Lockheed Martin Corporation Employees' Political Action Committee donor $10,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00303024/

Bae Systems Inc. Political Action Committee (Bae Systems USA PAC) donor $10,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00281212/

Leonardo Drs PAC donor $10,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00275123/

American Society Of Anesthesiologists PAC (Asa PAC) donor $10,000 to John R. Carter's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00255752/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In his constituent newsletter, Rep. Carter promises to deliver 'principled small government' and pledges to 'fight to cut ridiculous spending.'"

Vote: on "In his year-end newsletter, Rep. Carter touted bringing back $225 million in local projects to his…"

Both quotes come from the same secondary source (wbdaily.com) citing Carter's own newsletters. His 'principled small government' rhetoric conflicts with his touting of $225 million in earmarked spending, which tripled year-over-year.

Last silence detection: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 00:33:20 GMT (via scheduled run)

law & lobbying firms

Greenberg Traurig PAC, American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC, Honeywell International PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $8,000 (2026)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms

other / unclassified

American Revival PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

ideological & single-issue

First In Freedom PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

other candidates' committees

Vitoria PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Cubic Corporation Employees PAC, U.S. Anesthesia Partners Inc. PAC, Metropolitan Anesthesia Consultants (amounts: $8,500 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

party & leadership pacs

Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024))…

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

colleagues' leadership pacs

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Common Sense Common Solutions PAC, Eureka PAC, Building America'S Republican Representation PAC, In The Arena PAC, Growing Our Own Dynamic Economy Now, America Reloaded, 31 Days PAC, Keep Texas Texas PAC, Raptor PAC, Defending America'S Value Everywhere (Team Dave), Republicans United To Defend You PAC (Rudy PAC), Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, First In Freedom PAC, Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Buckeye Liberty PAC, Be Victorious Over Democrats PAC (amounts: $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Mr. Southern Missourian In The House PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Eye Of The Tiger PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Conservative Opportunity Leadership & Enterprise PAC - Colepac Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Republicans United To Defend You PAC (Rudy PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Keep Texas Texas PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

31 Days PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Caci PAC Defense & aerospace $7,500 (2026)

Be Victorious Over Democrats PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Raptor PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Metropolitan Anesthesia Consultants Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2024)

Vitoria PAC Other candidates' committees $5,000 (2026)

Buckeye Liberty PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

America Reloaded Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
War Powers and Military Intervention Restraint	61	58	27
Healthcare Access and Cost Reduction	80	62	22
Property Tax Relief and Homestead Exemption Expansion	94	78	12
Public Safety, Fraud Enforcement, and Consumer Protection	73	80	10
Federal Spending, Debt, and Government Oversight	82	81	10
Water, Infrastructure, and Environmental Stewardship	68	83	9
Education and Early Childhood Investment	79	84	9
Border Security and Immigration Enforcement	91	88	8
Tax Reduction and IRS Reform	76	82	8
Election Integrity and Citizenship Requirements	74	85	7
Judicial Structure and Constitutional Amendments	55	86	6
Energy Independence and Resource Development	78	90	5

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$4.5BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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