[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ed Case

Democratic · Representative, HI ·1

Score Components

19 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voter Index: D+44

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,982

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 58.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian share of population: 49.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 5.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $104,305

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Hawaii State Constitutional Convention Question (2024 general election) (2024) — passed, margin 51.1% for, 48.9% against

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Healthcare and Social Assistance (62) (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Construction (23) (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Defense / Public Administration (92) (share 0.18)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Tourism / Accommodation and Food Services (72) (share 0.25)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hawaiian Airlines (transportation/tourism) (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Hawaii System (education) (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Outrigger Hospitality Group (tourism/hotels) (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: State of Hawaii (government) (23000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Department of Defense (military installations, Pearl Harbor, Indo-Pacific Command) (35000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Hawaii's 1st Congressional District encompasses urban Honolulu on Oahu (from Makapu'u to Mililani and Kapolei) and serves approximately 719,645 constituents. It is rated D+44 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index — among the safest Democratic seats in America. It is a majority-minority district: 49.6% Asian, 15.8% White,

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Voted nay on H.R. 2670 (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2025 (Initial FY26 version)) on 2025-09-10: Case broke with his typical support for NDAA bills, voting against the initial $893 billion House version. He cited the Trump administration's 'disruptive if not destructive' impact on military leadership, the inclusion of divisive culture-w

primary · 2025-09-10

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Omnibus, Apr 2024)) on 2024-04-20: Case voted for a broader $26.38 billion Israel aid package bundled with Ukraine and Indo-Pacific funding. The vote reversed his February opposition to standalone Israel aid, demonstrating that packaging shaped his position. The omnibus bill

inferential · 2024-04-20

Voted nay on H.R. 7217 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Standalone, Feb 2024)) on 2024-02-06: Case voted with the Democratic majority (166 Dems opposed, 46 supported) against a standalone $17.6B Israel military aid bill that lacked Ukraine funding and humanitarian aid for Gaza. Hawaii's progressive constituency had been pressing for a ceasef

primary · 2024-02-06

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2025 (Initial FY26 version)	nay	2025-09-10	deviating
Laken Riley Act (2025 version)	nay_unverified	2025-01-07	aligned
Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023	nay	2024-05-01	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Omnibus, Apr 2024)	yea_unverified	2024-04-20	mixed
Laken Riley Act (2024 version)	nay	2024-03-07	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Standalone, Feb 2024)	nay	2024-02-06	deviating
Protecting the Right to Organize Act of 2021 (PRO Act)	yea	2021-03-09	aligned
Raise the Wage Act of 2019	yea	2019-07-18	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "On February 6, 2024, Case voted Nay on H.R. 7217 — a standalone $17.6 billion Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act — joining 166 House Demo"

Vote: on "On April 20, 2024, just 74 days later, Case voted Yea on H.R. 8034 — a $26.38 billion Israel Securit"

Case voted against standalone Israel military aid on Feb 6, 2024, citing the bill's lack of Ukraine and humanitarian components, yet voted for a much larger Israel aid package ($26.38B) on April 20, 2024, when it was bundled with other priorities. Wh

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Case told Civil Beat in April 2019: 'I completely believe in campaign finance and ethical reform... I'm a strong supporter of H.R. 1, the For The Peop"

Vote: on "In April 2019, Civil Beat reported that Case raised 99% of his first-quarter campaign contributions "

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Case publicly champions campaign finance reform and the For The People Act while simultaneously running a campaign funded almost entirely by corporate PACs and special interest money — wit

Last silence detection: Never

Revolving door — Outrigger Hotels lobbying and tourism policy influence

2674d silent

Expected position: As a congressman who served as the top legal officer of Hawaii's largest locally-owned hotel chain (Outrigger Enterprises) and as a registered lobbyist for Outrigger Hotels Hawaii,

Native Hawaiian sovereignty and federal recognition — post-Akaka Bill legislative vacuum

2674d silent

Expected position: As a Native Hawaiian (on his mother's side) representing a district with a large Native Hawaiian population and as a co-introducer of the Akaka Bill during his first congressional s

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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