[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Joe Courtney

Democratic · Representative, CT ·2

Score Components

15 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 4.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 42.6

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 39.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 73.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 5.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $97,479

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Connecticut Early Voting Amendment (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 59.4% Yes — 40.6% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Connecticut (Storrs campus) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Mohegan Sun Casino / Mohegan Tribal Nation (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: General Dynamics Electric Boat (Groton/New London shipyard) (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District encompasses all of eastern Connecticut, including the cities of New London, Norwich, Windham, Enfield, and Vernon, as well as the University of Connecticut (Storrs) and the U.S. Coast Guard Academy (New London). The district serves approximately 722,183 constituents with a med

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Voted nay on H.Res. 189 (Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas) on 2025-03-06: Courtney voted against censuring fellow Democrat Al Green for disrupting Trump's address to Congress. Only 10 House Democrats joined Republicans in voting to censure Green. Connecticut Democrat Jim Himes was among the 10, while Courtney and the rest of Connecticut's delegatio

primary · 2025-03-06

Voted nay on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: Courtney voted against mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of certain crimes. He joined 170 Democrats in opposition while 46 Democrats voted yea. The vote reflects his progressive immigration stance in a district that is 79.9% White with a relatively small immigrant population comp

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted nay on H.R. 8369 (Israel Security Assistance Support Act) on 2024-05-16: Courtney voted against the standalone GOP bill that would have compelled arms deliveries to Israel and removed presidential discretion. Only 16 House Democrats supported this bill. Courtney's opposition aligned him with the overwhelming majority of his party, and he previously vot

primary · 2024-05-16

Voted nay on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)) on 2025-07-03: Courtney voted against the GOP reconciliation bill that the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to deficits and cause 10+ million Americans to lose health coverage. His district has 5.4% poverty and 4.9% unemployment, with thousands of residents relying on Medicaid and SNAP. The vote w

primary · 2025-07-03

Voted nay on H.R. 2670 (Servicemember Quality of Life Improvement and National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2025) on 2024-06-14: As Ranking Member of the Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee and representative of a defense-dependent district (Electric Boat, 11,000+ jobs), Courtney would normally champion the NDAA. He voted nay after Repub

primary · 2024-06-14

[statement] Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont, Courtney's fellow Democrat, publicly called for rethinking the Jones Act in his January 2025 State of the State address, citing widespread voter frustration over energy costs and limited natural gas pipeline capacity. Courtney acknowledged the disagreement saying 'we agree to disagree.'

primary · 2025-06-06

General Dynamics major_donor 2001-2024: $376,896 via individual ($287,896) and PAC ($89,000) contributions. General Dynamics owns Electric Boat, Cour

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas	nay	2025-03-06	deviating
Laken Riley Act	nay	2025-01-07	deviating
Servicemember Quality of Life Improvement and National Defense Authorization Act	nay	2024-06-14	mixed
Israel Security Assistance Support Act	nay	2024-05-16	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Courtney positions himself as a champion of working families and a progressive reliable voting with the AFL-CIO and opposing Trump administration poli"

Vote: on "Courtney receives more campaign money from the defense industry — over $607,000 from Misc Defense an"

Courtney presents himself as a progressive advocate for working families, yet his top career donor is a defense contractor whose submarine division he directly authorizes billions in federal funding for as Seapower Subcommittee Ranking Member. The de

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In May 2025, Courtney penned an op-ed dismissing calls to repeal the Jones Act, a century-old protectionist maritime law, as 'a page out of Project 20"

Vote: on "Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont, Courtney's fellow Democrat, publicly called for rethinking the Jone"

Courtney publicly broke with his Democratic governor over the Jones Act — defending a protectionist maritime law that limits domestic shipping competition and drives up energy costs for constituents, while Lamont argued for reform in response to vote

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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