[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Salud O. Carbajal

Democratic · Representative, CA ·24

Salud O. Carbajal is the Democratic U.S. Representative (CA's 24th congressional district). The platform has 8 voting records on file (2024-2026) and 48 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

46 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

50 → 10

Donor Influence 15%

50 → 8

Silence Risk 25%

31 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

40 → 10

Intelligence Volume 15%

60 → 9

Constituency Deviation 0%

35 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+25 (shifted D+4 since last redistricting)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: average commute time: 21.4 minutes (vs. 26.4 nationally)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 1.7% (vs. 5% nationally)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 5.9% (vs. 3.5% nationally)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $2,110 (vs. $1,163 nationally — nearly double)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $836,800 (vs. $303,400 nationally)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 39.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 56.1%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 37.4 (29% in the 20-39 working-age bracket)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 39.2% (15.9% post-graduate; 13.9% lack a high school diploma)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 55.2% (vs. 65.5% nationally — renter-heavy district)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 7.6% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $97,920 (vs. $37,585 national median)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 757,747 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 36 — Homelessness, Drug Addiction and Theft Reduction Act (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 68.4% Yes — 31.6% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1 — Behavioral Health Services and Bond Measure (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 50.2% Yes — 49.8% No

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.115)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.127)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.167)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wine industry (Santa Barbara County and San Luis Obispo County vineyards and wineries) (10000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

Boeing employment Boeing is part of the aerospace employer base in the district; Carbajal voted on Boeing-related defense matters as Armed Services member.

Congressional Research Service potential constituent resource Carbajal's district data references statistics from LegisLetter ACS, a service associated with CRS data.

One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) voted nay Voted nay on H.R. 1 (OBBBA) on 2025-07-03; bill projected to add $3.4 trillion to deficits and cut Medicaid/SNAP.

SpaceX employment SpaceX conducts launches from Vandenberg Space Force Base, a top employer in Carbajal's district (6000 employees).

L3Harris Technologies donor Listed among Carbajal's top PAC donors at $10,000+ for the 2023-2024 cycle.

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) donor $10,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00762427/

Across The Aisle PAC donor $10,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00696591/

With Honor PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00661272/

Cox Enterprises Inc. PAC donor $10,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00477653/

VoteVets donor $10,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00418897/

Chc Bold PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00365536/

Granite Construction Inc. Employee PAC - Granitepac donor $6,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00337394/

The Home Depot Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00284885/

Allied Pilots Association Political Action Committee donor $10,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00267849/

American Society Of Anesthesiologists PAC (Asa PAC) donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00255752/

National Air Traffic Controllers Assoc PAC donor $5,500 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00238725/

National Tank Truck Carriers PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00188011/

Pg&E Corporation Employees Energy PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00177469/

Wine And Spirits Wholesalers Of America, Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00147173/

Vulcan Materials Co. P. A. C. donor $5,000 to Salud O. Carbajal's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00116020/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Nay	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Carbajal voted yea on H.R. 8034 ($26 billion Israel military aid) on April 20, 2024, calling it critical to 'break the gridlock on the life-saving aid and critical assistance needed to address these challenges.' He…

[ Show full platform position ]

Carbajal voted yea on H.R. 8034 ($26 billion Israel military aid) on April 20, 2024, calling it critical to 'break the gridlock on the life-saving aid and critical assistance needed to address these challenges.' He stated support for Israel's self-defense 'should always come with the clear message that compliance with international law is a fundamental condition to any American alliance, including with Israel.' He called on Israel to 'lay out clear and transparent reforms in their tactics that will prevent future deaths of civilians and aid workers.'

Vote: on "Despite his criticism of Netanyahu and calls for humanitarian aid and ceasefire, Carbajal has…"

[ Show full analysis ]

Carbajal criticizes Netanyahu's 'reckless rhetoric,' condemns civilian deaths, calls for humanitarian aid and ceasefire, and demands Israel comply with international law — yet continues to vote for unconditional military aid packages and refuses to support legislation conditioning aid. This creates a persistent tension: he uses the language of progressive foreign policy (ceasefire, humanitarian access, two-state solution, criticism of Netanyahu) while maintaining the voting record of a mainstream pro-Israel Democrat. Notably, AIPAC is absent from his top contributor list, so his position is not donor-driven — it appears to be a principled triangulation between supporting Israel's defense and advocating for Palestinian humanitarian needs that has frustrated activists on both sides.

Last silence detection: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 00:54:33 GMT (via scheduled run)

other / unclassified

American Waterways Operators-PAC, Western Growers Political Action Committee, Across The Aisle PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,500 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

party committees

Chc Bold PAC, VoteVets (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: party committees

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Peraton PAC, Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac), Vulcan Materials Co. P. A. C. (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

ideological & single-issue

With Honor PAC, Defend The Vote (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

Wine And Spirits Wholesalers Of America, Inc. PAC Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2026)

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2026)

Wine Institute Political Action Committee Alcohol & tobacco $10,000 (2024)

Independent Pilots Assoc PAC Labor unions $5,000 (2026)

Defend The Vote Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2026)

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $10,000 (2026)

Transdigm Group Inc. Employee Political Action Committee Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2026)

Across The Aisle PAC Other / unclassified $10,000 (2026)

With Honor PAC Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2026)

Blue Origin LLC PAC Defense & aerospace $5,500 (2026)

Leidos Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2026)

Cox Enterprises Inc. PAC Telecom & media $10,000 (2026)

National Union Of Healthcare Workers Federal Committee On Political Education Labor unions $5,500 (2024)

National Asphalt Pavement Association PAC (Napa-PAC) Real estate & construction $5,000 (2024)

VoteVets Party committees $10,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Housing Affordability and Cost of Living	88	40	55
Labor, Wages, and Unemployment	85	50	45
Public Safety and Criminal Justice	65	45	35
Immigration and Border Policy	82	55	30
Civil Rights, LGBTQ+ Protections, and Women's Rights	75	60	30
Education and Workforce Development	72	55	25
Climate, Environment, and Wildfire Resilience	80	65	25
Foreign Policy and Military Affairs	60	70	15
Healthcare Access and ACA Protections	78	72	15
Government Spending, Debt, and Fiscal Policy	70	75	10
Tribal and Regional Water/Agriculture Policy	63	70	10
Disaster Relief and Emergency Management	68	85	5

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$5.5BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

<iframe src="/api/cost-embed/11107" width="100%" height="400" frameborder="0" style="border:1px solid #1e2733;border-radius:6px;"></iframe>

View Full Entity Profile →