[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael Cloud

Republican · Representative, TX ·27

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English language at home: 29.6% of households (Spanish: 27.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Drives alone to work: 79.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 38.0

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 4.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 8.28% (64.4k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Citizenship rate: 94.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 37.2% (289k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 54.6% (424k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 777,664 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,212

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $211,700

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 21.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 66.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 15.7% (Data USA 2024); 11.8% (ACS 5-Year)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $68,094 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 1 — Property Tax Reduction (2023) (2023) — passed, margin approved by voters

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 6 — Water Infrastructure Fund (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 77.5% to 22.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction (share 0.045)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 23 - Construction (share 0.107)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.111)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-22	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "On June 26, 2025, Cloud publicly warned as a Freedom Caucus fiscal hawk: 'It's going to take the Senate taking seriously what was in the House bill.' "

Vote: on "On July 3, 2025, Cloud voted Yea on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, Roll Call 190) — the sam"

Cloud publicly warned the Senate version of the OBBB would add $1 trillion to the deficit over 10 years and vowed the Freedom Caucus would not support it. Within one week, he voted for the same bill, then told Texas Politics: 'You never get everythin

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "In his official newsletter after the OBBB vote, Cloud celebrated the bill, saying: 'This bill enacts the largest mandatory spending reforms in history"

Vote: on "Cloud's district is 54.6% Hispanic — a majority-minority district. The OBBB's Medicaid work requirem"

Cloud celebrated the OBBB as a 'big win for South Texas' and touted $1.94 million in earmarks he secured, but his 54.6% Hispanic district — with a 15.7% poverty rate — stood to lose health coverage and food assistance under the bill's Medicaid work r

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Cloud voted against McCarthy for Speaker on 11 ballots (Jan 3-6, 2023) as part of the 'Never Kevin' Freedom Caucus bloc, branding himself an anti-esta"

Vote: on "On the 12th ballot (Jan 6, 2023), Cloud flipped and voted for McCarthy after a deal was struck givin"

Cloud positioned himself as an anti-establishment insurgent, voting against McCarthy 11 times and stating 'I came here to change how Washington works.' He then flipped on ballot 12 after securing concessions. While the rules changes were real, the ev

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Trump's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) fired thousands of federal workers in Cloud's district — the Corpus Christi Caller-Times reported t"

Vote: on "In his official newsletter after the OBBB vote, Cloud celebrated the bill, saying: 'This bill enacts"

Cloud championed DOGE from his Oversight subcommittee position and celebrated the OBBB as a 'big step' toward fiscal reform. Meanwhile, his Corpus Christi constituents protested that DOGE was firing federal workers in their community and the OBBB cut

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and direct constituent accessibility in TX-27

216d silent

Expected position: As the representative of a district where local activists and residents repeatedly requested in-person town halls, Cloud would be expected to provide direct public forums for consti

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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