[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Sean Casten

Democratic · Representative, IL ·6

Score Components

12 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: 2024 general election margin (Casten vs. Conforti): Casten 53.5% – Conforti 46.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 77.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+): 44.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Hispanic: 16.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population White (non-Hispanic): 72.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 5.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2023 ACS 5-year): $99,953

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Amendment 1 (2022) - Right to Collective Bargaining (2022) — passed, margin 59% yes – 41% no

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.14)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 - Finance and Insurance (share 0.16)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: DuPage County Government (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Advocate Health Care (Good Samaritan Hospital, Downers Grove) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Civic Committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago / major corporations HQs (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Illinois's 6th Congressional District covers parts of Cook and DuPage counties in Chicago's western suburbs, including Downers Grove, Wheaton, Lisle, Orland Park, and Western Springs. It is a solidly Democratic, affluent, and highly educated district represented by Sean Casten since 2019, when he flipped a longtime R

secondary

Voted nay on H.R. 1023 (To repeal section 134 of the Clean Air Act, relating to the greenhouse gas reduction fund) on 2024-03-22: Casten voted to protect the $27 billion Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (green bank) against GOP repeal. As a former clean-energy entrepreneur and co-chair of the Congressional Sustainable Investment Caucus, this vote aligned with h

primary · 2024-03-22

Voted nay on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump tax-and-spending reconciliation)) on 2025-07-03: Casten voted against the bill that cut an estimated $1 trillion from Medicaid and $187 billion from SNAP while extending Trump-era tax cuts. His affluent district (median income $99,953, poverty rate 5.3%) is less dependent on these programs, but his finan

primary · 2025-07-03

Voted nay on H.R. 5009 / H.R. 8070 (Servicemember Quality of Life Improvement and National Defense Authorization Act for FY 2025) on 2024-06-14: Casten voted against the annual defense authorization bill, citing GOP-added 'poison pills' attacking LGBTQI+ service members and women's reproductive healthcare access. His suburban district has limited direct defe

inferential · 2024-06-14

Voted nay on H.R. 7217 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (standalone Israel aid without Gaza humanitarian funding)) on 2024-02-06: Casten voted against a standalone Israel military aid package that omitted humanitarian assistance for Gaza, breaking with right-leaning pro-Israel donors. This vote precipitated his return of $50,000 to Pro-

primary · 2024-02-06

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump tax-and-spending reconciliation)	nay	2025-07-03	mixed
Servicemember Quality of Life Improvement and National Defense Authorization Act	nay	2024-06-14	aligned
To repeal section 134 of the Clean Air Act, relating to the greenhouse gas reduc	nay	2024-03-22	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (standalone Israel aid wit	nay	2024-02-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Casten voted against H.R. 7217, the Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (2024), stating the standalone bill 'fails to provide a single pen"

Vote: on "Two months later, Casten voted in favor of the comprehensive supplemental funding package (H.R. 8035"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Casten opposed standalone Israel aid lacking humanitarian provisions but supported a comprehensive package including both military and humanitarian aid. This reflects a nuanced policy evol

Last silence detection: Never

Calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza (October 2023 – February 2024)

144d silent

Expected position: As a Democratic representative from a diverse, educated suburban district with significant Arab-American and Jewish populations, Casten would be expected to take a clear public posi

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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