[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Gilbert Ray Cisneros

Democratic · Representative, CA ·31

Score Components

30 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 25.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 63.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 11.8% (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $91,833 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 22 (App-Based Drivers as Independent Contractors) (2020) — passed, margin 58.6% Yes to 41.4% No (statewide)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 16 (Repeal Ban on Affirmative Action) (2020) — failed, margin 57.2% No to 42.8% Yes (statewide)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.095)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 23 (share 0.107)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.123)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.134)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kaiser Permanente (regional) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: California State University, Fullerton (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Knott's Berry Farm (Buena Park) (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Beckman Coulter (Brea) (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raytheon (Fullerton) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 39th Congressional District, as configured during Cisneros's 2019-2021 term, encompassed parts of northern Orange County, eastern Los Angeles County, and southwestern San Bernardino County including Fullerton, Yorba Linda, Rowland Heights, Chino Hills, and Diamond Bar. The district is demographically div

secondary

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 535 (PFAS Action Act of 2019) on 2020-01-10: Cisneros voted to regulate PFAS chemicals in drinking water, a priority for military communities in his district affected by contamination near bases. The vote aligned with constituent health interests while potentially opposing chemical manufacturing donors who had contributed to his

inferential · 2020-01-10

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 7120 (George Floyd Justice in Policing Act of 2020) on 2020-06-25: Cisneros voted for sweeping policing reforms including a ban on chokeholds and qualified immunity reform, aligning with his diverse majority-Hispanic district's interests in police accountability. The vote crossed pressure from law enforcement organizations and so

inferential · 2020-06-25

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 5430 (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) Implementation Act) on 2019-12-19: Cisneros voted for the USMCA trade deal backed by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, aligning with business interests while labor unions in his district had historically opposed NAFTA and expressed concerns about enforcement mechanisms. He justified

inferential · 2019-12-19

Voted yea on H.Res. 755 (Impeachment of Donald J. Trump — Article I (Abuse of Power)) on 2019-12-18: Cisneros voted to impeach a sitting president from a district that had only recently flipped from Republican control and where Trump had strong support in parts of the district. The vote came after he co-authored a Washington Post op-ed with six other freshma

primary · 2019-12-18

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
George Floyd Justice in Policing Act of 2020	yea_unverified	2020-06-25	aligned
PFAS Action Act of 2019	yea_unverified	2020-01-10	aligned
United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) Implementation Act	yea_unverified	2019-12-19	mixed
Impeachment of Donald J. Trump — Article I (Abuse of Power)	yea	2019-12-18	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Campaign tweet (January 11, 2018): 'I refuse to take PAC or special interest money & support a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United.'"

Vote: on "In July 2019, Cisneros's Q2 FEC filing showed he had accepted $257,000 from PACs in the first six mo"

Cisneros explicitly pledged to refuse all PAC money in 2018 but accepted $257,000 from PACs within his first six months in office. His campaign later claimed the pledge applied only to corporate PACs, not labor or leadership PACs.

reversal 90/100

Platform: "November 26, 2018: Rep.-elect Cisneros joined 15 other Democrats signing a letter declaring they would not support Nancy Pelosi in the January 3 floor"

Vote: on "January 3, 2019: Cisneros voted for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House with his very first vote as"

After publicly signing an anti-Pelosi letter and stating he would not support her, Cisneros voted for Pelosi as Speaker with his first official House vote, saying the letter was meant to encourage new leadership rather than block her.

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "2018 campaign: Cisneros pledged to 'stand up to big oil and energy companies,' rejected all oil money, and made combating climate change a cornerstone"

Vote: on "Cisneros's foundation held investments in 31 oil and gas sector companies; he personally reported up"

Cisneros campaigned against the oil industry and pledged to reject oil money while his personal foundation and financial portfolio held extensive investments in oil and gas companies. His campaign argued the foundation investments were not personal h

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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