[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Juan Ciscomani

Republican · Representative, AZ ·6

Score Components

21 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veteran population: ~80,000 (estimated)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population: 25.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 70.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 39.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $77,758 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 308: In-State Tuition for Non-Citizen Residents (2022) — passed, margin 51.2% Yes – 48.8% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 139: Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) — passed, margin 61.6% Yes – 38.4% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5417 (share 0.079)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 5241 (share 0.087)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6113 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6221 (share 0.128)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 9281 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Pima County Government (6500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Banner University Medical Center (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Davis-Monthan Air Force Base (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raytheon Missiles & Defense (RTX) (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Arizona (15000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Arizona's 6th Congressional District encompasses the eastern Tucson suburbs, parts of rural Pima County, and Cochise County down to the Mexican border. It has a population of approximately 812,709 and is a toss-up seat (R+3). The district voted for Joe Biden by 0.1% in 2020 but elected Republican Juan Ciscomani in 20

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Agreement)) on 2023-05-31: Ciscomani was one of only two Arizona Republicans to support the bipartisan debt-ceiling compromise (149 Republicans Yes, 71 No). He broke with the majority of the state's GOP delegation—Andy Biggs, Paul Gosar, Debbie Lesko, and Eli Crane all voted No—arguing h

primary · 2023-05-31

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Budget Reconciliation (concurrence in Senate amendm	yea	2025-07-03	mixed
Laken Riley Act (mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants charged wit	yea	2025-01-07	mixed
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion aid packag	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling Agreement)	yea	2023-05-31	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "In 2022 Congressional campaign ad, Juan Ciscomani walked along the southern border and said: 'President Trump had the right approach to border securit"

Vote: on "Ciscomani's wife Laura's parents crossed the Mexican border illegally multiple times in the 1970s be"

Ciscomani championed Trump's border wall and hardline immigration rhetoric, yet his own wife's parents were undocumented immigrants who crossed illegally, and his father's immigration pathway relied on an unusual religious-worker visa. His brother-in

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "In a 2024 television ad, Ciscomani said: 'I trust women. I cherish new life. And I reject the extremes on abortion.' He stated he opposes a federal ba"

Vote: on "Ciscomani co-sponsored H.R. 7 (No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosu"

Ciscomani publicly claimed to 'reject extremes' on abortion and said he opposes a federal ban, but he co-sponsored H.R. 7 (a federal bill restricting insurance coverage of abortion) and voted to ban mail delivery of abortion medication. He also helpe

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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