[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
Congress → Officials → Warren Davidson

Warren Davidson

Republican · Representative, OH ·8

Warren Davidson is the Republican U.S. Representative (OH's 8th congressional district). The platform has 2 voting records on file (2025-2026) and 38 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components
49 MODERATE
Connection Density 20%
22 → 4
Donor Influence 15%
41 → 6
Silence Risk 25%
85 → 21
Contradiction Risk 25%
59 → 15
Intelligence Volume 15%
37 → 6
Constituency Deviation 0%
15 → 0
Voting Misalignment 0%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 30.7% (national avg. 33.7%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+26 (2024)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: 74.5% White (non-Hispanic), 13% Black, remainder Hispanic/Asian/other
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 71.9% (national avg. 65.5%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 7.5% (national avg. 12.4%)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2023 ACS Estimate): 788,819
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $78,441 (ACS 2019-2023 5-Year Estimate)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 2 — Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 57.0% Yes to 43.0% No (statewide)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 1 — Right to Make Reproductive Decisions Including Abortion Initiative (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 56.8% Yes to 43.2% No (statewide)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (incl. military/defense) (share 0.1)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.12)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.16)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.22)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: GE Aerospace (Butler County) (1500 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Procter & Gamble (Butler County operations) (1800 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cleveland-Cliffs (AK Steel) (2000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Miami University (Oxford, OH) (4000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Wright-Patterson Air Force Base (32000 employees)
secondary ✓ Verified
[constituency_baseline] District summary: Ohio's 8th Congressional District sits on the state's western edge bordering Indiana, encompassing all or parts of Butler, Darke, Mercer, Miami, Preble, and Clark counties. Major cities include Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Springfield, Troy, and Piqua. The district is heavily Republican with a Cook PVI of R+26. The population is 74.5% White (non-Hispanic), 13% Black…
[ Show full fact ]
[constituency_baseline] District summary: Ohio's 8th Congressional District sits on the state's western edge bordering Indiana, encompassing all or parts of Butler, Darke, Mercer, Miami, Preble, and Clark counties. Major cities include Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Springfield, Troy, and Piqua. The district is heavily Republican with a Cook PVI of R+26. The population is 74.5% White (non-Hispanic), 13% Black, with a median household income of approximately $78,441 — well above the national median. Poverty rate is 7.5%, significantly below the national average of 12.4%. Homeownership is high at 71.9%. The district's economy is anchored in manufacturing, agriculture, defense (Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, the largest single-site employer in Ohio with ~32,000 workers, borders the district), healthcare, and education (Miami University). The district has a strong automotive manufacturing presence with approximately 12,800 auto-related jobs. Historically represented by Speaker John Boehner, the seat has been held by Davidson since a 2016 special election.
secondary ✓ Verified
Voted yea on H.J.Res. 118 (119th Congress) (Iran War Powers Resolution (March 2026)) on 2026-03-05: Davidson was one of only two House Republicans to vote with Democrats to limit Trump's authority to continue military operations against Iran without congressional authorization. He cited his West Point background and the Constitution's war powers clause. The resolution failed 212-219. This vote placed him at odds…
[ Show full fact ]
Voted yea on H.J.Res. 118 (119th Congress) (Iran War Powers Resolution (March 2026)) on 2026-03-05: Davidson was one of only two House Republicans to vote with Democrats to limit Trump's authority to continue military operations against Iran without congressional authorization. He cited his West Point background and the Constitution's war powers clause. The resolution failed 212-219. This vote placed him at odds with 217 of 219 Republicans and the President of his own party in a high-stakes national-security vote.
primary · 2026-03-05 ✓ Verified
Troy Balderson legislative ally Balderson was one of only four Ohio House members, including Warren Davidson, to vote against H.R. 8035 (Ukraine aid) on April 20, 2024.
Coinbase donor Crypto firm Coinbase (or its executives) has contributed $35,500 to support Warren Davidson as of his 2026 primary cycle.
Highwater PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00832568/
Broker Action Coalition PAC (Bacpac) For Association Of Independent Mortgage Experts donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00820712/
Western Alliance Bancorporation Political Action Committee (Wabpac) donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00817585/
Champion American Values donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00770214/
Buckeye Liberty PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00693796/
Cgcn PAC donor $6,600 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00690735/
American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/
In The Arena PAC donor $5,500 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00623512/
Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00592089/
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00570226/
Making A Sensible Shift In Elections PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00563429/
House Freedom Fund donor $10,800 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00552851/
Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. PAC (Aka Bread Financial PAC) donor $9,500 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00551812/
Consumer Credit Insurance Association Dba Consumer Credit Industry Assoc PAC (Ccia PAC) donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00550483/
Innovation PAC donor $10,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00540187/
Jobs Freedom And Security PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00536540/
Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation PAC - Dtcc PAC donor $5,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00497917/
Eye Of The Tiger PAC donor $10,000 to Warren Davidson's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00467431/
BillVoteDateAlignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood… Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
Water Resources Development Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
PROOF Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act Yea 2026-09-16 unknown
Retire through Ownership Act Nay 2026-09-16 unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act Nay 2026-09-15 unknown
GUARD Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing… Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act Yea 2026-09-15 unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act Nay 2026-09-14 unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act Nay 2026-09-14 unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act Nay 2026-09-03 unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require… Yea 2026-09-02 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period… Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
AGOA Extension Act Nay 2026-09-01 unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R… Yea 2026-09-01 unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act Nay 2026-08-31 unknown
Last contradiction analysis: Never
statement_vs_disclosure 60/100
Platform: ""I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal…
[ Show full platform position ]
"I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal spending be offset by a cut somewhere else." — Warren Davidson, Vote Smart profile, summarizing his repeated public statements.
"
Vote: on "Davidson voted Yea on H.R. 3746, the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension)…"
Davidson campaigned as a fiscal hawk who votes against debt ceiling increases and demands PAYGO offsets, yet he voted for the 2023 debt ceiling deal that suspended borrowing limits without dollar-for-dollar expenditure cuts. He publicly praised the deal despite its $1.5+ trillion deficit impact, calling it the 'best…
[ Show full analysis ]
Davidson campaigned as a fiscal hawk who votes against debt ceiling increases and demands PAYGO offsets, yet he voted for the 2023 debt ceiling deal that suspended borrowing limits without dollar-for-dollar expenditure cuts. He publicly praised the deal despite its $1.5+ trillion deficit impact, calling it the 'best since 2011' — a pragmatic concession that conflicts with absolutist deficit-hawk rhetoric.
position_evolution 30/100
Platform: ""I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal…
[ Show full platform position ]
"I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal spending be offset by a cut somewhere else." — Warren Davidson, Vote Smart profile, summarizing his repeated public statements.
"
Vote: on "Davidson stated he voted against H.R. 1 (119th Congress, the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act') because…"
Davidson's deficit-hawk stance is consistent across the 2023 deal and 2025 megabill — he voted Yea on one and Nay on the other based on differing assessments of spending cuts. The 2023 bill contained provisions to claw back unspent COVID funds and rescind IRS funding; the 2025 bill he opposed lacked offsetting cuts…
[ Show full analysis ]
Davidson's deficit-hawk stance is consistent across the 2023 deal and 2025 megabill — he voted Yea on one and Nay on the other based on differing assessments of spending cuts. The 2023 bill contained provisions to claw back unspent COVID funds and rescind IRS funding; the 2025 bill he opposed lacked offsetting cuts. This represents a reasonable evolution rather than a reversal: same principle, different legislative vehicles.
statement_vs_disclosure 30/100
Platform: ""I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal…
[ Show full platform position ]
"I'm a fiscal conservative. I believe deficits do matter. I've voted twice against raising the ceiling on the national debt, and voted in favor of PAYGO legislation, which requires that every dollar in new federal spending be offset by a cut somewhere else." — Warren Davidson, Vote Smart profile, summarizing his repeated public statements.
"
Vote: on "Davidson voted Yea on H.R. 4763 (FIT21), a bill he co-sponsored that creates a new regulatory…"
Davidson's small-government, anti-regulatory posture contrasts with co-sponsoring FIT21, which creates new federal regulatory frameworks for digital assets. His crypto industry donors ($35,500) raise a mild alignment question, though crypto donors are not among his top-5 sectors. The tension between deregulatory…
[ Show full analysis ]
Davidson's small-government, anti-regulatory posture contrasts with co-sponsoring FIT21, which creates new federal regulatory frameworks for digital assets. His crypto industry donors ($35,500) raise a mild alignment question, though crypto donors are not among his top-5 sectors. The tension between deregulatory rhetoric and building new regulatory infrastructure is inherent to any financial services legislation.
Last silence detection: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:34:03 GMT (via scheduled run)
Social Security and Medicare reform specifics
1095d silent
Expected position: As a self-described 'devout fiscal hawk' on the House Financial Services Committee who advocates for balanced budgets and spending cuts, Davidson would be expected to articulate specific proposals for addressing entitlement trust fund…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Expected position: As a self-described 'devout fiscal hawk' on the House Financial Services Committee who advocates for balanced budgets and spending cuts, Davidson would be expected to articulate specific proposals for addressing entitlement trust fund solvency, which is the largest driver of long-term federal deficits. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Davidson has been highly vocal on fiscal discipline — opposing spending bills for lacking sufficient cuts, introducing legislation to abolish the IRS, and advocating for a Balanced Budget Amendment. However, a review of his official press releases and public statements shows no detailed platform on Social Security or Medicare reform. His official campaign website (davidsonforcongress.com) does not list an 'Issues' page addressing entitlements. This silence is notable given that fiscal conservatives like Reps. Thomas Massie and Chip Roy have publicly engaged with TRUST Act-style proposals, and the Social Security trust fund insolvency date (2034) falls within a timeframe he has cited for deficit urgency. Primary URL: https://davidson.house.gov/media-center/press-releases
Constituent town halls and in-person public forums (2024-2025)
603d silent
Expected position: As the representative for 788,819 constituents in Ohio's 8th District, Davidson would be expected to hold regular public town halls to solicit constituent feedback, particularly during the contentious FY2025 budget reconciliation debate…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Expected position: As the representative for 788,819 constituents in Ohio's 8th District, Davidson would be expected to hold regular public town halls to solicit constituent feedback, particularly during the contentious FY2025 budget reconciliation debate that directly impacted district healthcare and SNAP beneficiaries. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Davidson held only one rare public town hall in this window — on August 27, 2025 in Trenton, Ohio — after months of criticism for refusing to face constituents. The Butler County Democratic Party organized a 'Where's Warren?' town hall in April 2025 on his behalf, citing his refusal to appear. When he did hold the August 2025 town hall, over 500 constituents attended, and the event devolved into shouting with Davidson falling silent after 20 minutes. He was active during this window on X, in floor speeches, and on Fox Business, proving he was publicly communicative — just not in unscripted constituent settings. Primary URL: https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2025/08/27/capacity-crowd-expected-at-rep-warren-davidson-town-hall/85821045007/
other candidates' committees
Huck PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees
colleagues' leadership pacs
Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Jobs Freedom And Security PAC, Innovation PAC, Making A Sensible Shift In Elections PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), In The Arena PAC, Buckeye Liberty PAC, Highwater PAC…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Jobs Freedom And Security PAC, Innovation PAC, Making A Sensible Shift In Elections PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), In The Arena PAC, Buckeye Liberty PAC, Highwater PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs
other / unclassified
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC, Cgcn PAC, Champion American Values, Broker Action Coalition PAC (Bacpac) For Association Of Independent Mortgage Experts (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $6,600 (2024), $5,000…
[ Show full donor-interest summary ]
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC, American Revival PAC, Cgcn PAC, Champion American Values, Broker Action Coalition PAC (Bacpac) For Association Of Independent Mortgage Experts (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $6,600 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified
corporate pacs, industry unlisted
Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation PAC - Dtcc PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted
party committees
House Freedom Fund (amounts: $10,800 (2024)) — interest area: party committees
Highwater PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)
Champion American Values Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)
Buckeye Liberty PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Cgcn PAC Other / unclassified $6,600 (2024)
American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)
In The Arena PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
Seal PAC Supporting Electing American Leaders PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2026)
Making A Sensible Shift In Elections PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)
House Freedom Fund Party committees $10,800 (2024)
TopicPriorityAlignmentDeviation
Marijuana / Cannabis Policy 55 45 30
Agriculture and Rural Interests 65 60 25
Abortion and Reproductive Rights 72 70 25
Healthcare Costs and ACA 78 75 20
Government Spending and Debt 85 70 18
Education and School Choice 70 72 15
Foreign Policy and War Powers 68 80 12
Tax Burden and Fiscal Policy 92 85 10
Immigration and Border Security 90 88 8
Law Enforcement and Public Safety 80 88 7
Second Amendment Rights 82 90 6
Energy Independence and Fossil Fuels 88 92 5
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Contradiction Risk30%Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence20%Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk15%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume15%Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation0%Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment0%Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]
Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 1 elected official holds documented connections.
$4.8BDonor Contributions
0Money Chains
0Traced Hops
Connected Officials
Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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