[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Neal P. Dunn

Republican · Representative, FL ·2

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

56 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Drives alone to work: 74.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 38.9

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 93.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 5.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American population share: 22.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 64.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 792,630 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,265

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $253,800

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 31.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 64.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.7% (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $64,208 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 4 — Right to Abortion Initiative (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 57.2% to 42.8% (60% supermajority required)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Florida Amendment 3 — Recreational Marijuana Legalization (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 55.9% to 44.1% (60% supermajority required)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (military and state government) (share 0.09)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 - Accommodation and Food Services (tourism/hospitality) (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.16)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — Ending the DHS Partia	yea	2026-04-29	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	yea	2025-11-12	mixed
GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Ac	yea	2025-07-17	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment and Fin	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	yea	2025-04-10	mixed
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-07	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion)	yea	2024-04-20	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "In October 2017, Dunn celebrated the House budget resolution, issuing a statement that it would 'achieve $6.5 trillion in total deficit reduction over"

Vote: on "Dunn voted Yea on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1, Roll Call 190) on July 3, 2025. The CBO fo"

Dunn campaigned as a fiscal conservative, celebrated the 2017 budget for achieving '$6.5 trillion in deficit reduction' and called for a balanced budget amendment. Eight years later, he voted for the OBBB, which the CBO projected would add $3-4 trill

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Dunn, a urologist and surgeon for 25 years, has positioned himself as a healthcare expert in Congress. He sits on the Energy and Commerce Committee, w"

Vote: on "Dunn's Yea vote on the OBBB enacted the largest Medicaid cut in U.S. history — approximately $930 bi"

Dunn, a career urologist and healthcare provider, voted for legislation that independent analysts found would enact the deepest Medicaid cuts in U.S. history. His district's 10.7% poverty rate, large rural population, and 22.4% Black community — grou

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "On January 6, 2021, Dunn voted to object to the certification of Electoral College results from Arizona and Pennsylvania, joining 146 other House Repu"

Vote: on "Dunn was one of 12 Florida House Republicans who voted against certifying Biden's 2020 electoral vic"

Dunn objected to the certification of a free and fair election based on unsubstantiated claims of fraud — a vote that the Republican Accountability Project characterized as part of a 'failed coup' to 'have the election decided by themselves rather th

Last silence detection: Never

In-person town halls and direct constituent accessibility in FL-02

96d silent

Expected position: As the representative of the Florida Panhandle — including Tallahassee, home to thousands of state and federal workers — Dunn would be expected to hold in-person town halls to engag

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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