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[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS
// Legislative Integrity Monitor
Goblin House Intelligence
CongressOfficials → Jake Ellzey

Jake Ellzey

Republican · Representative, TX ·6
Score Components
5 LOW
Connection Density 20%
0 → 0
Donor Influence 10%
0 → 0
Silence Risk 25%
0 → 0
Contradiction Risk 25%
0 → 0
Intelligence Volume 10%
45 → 5
Constituency Deviation 5%
0 → 0
Voting Misalignment 5%
0 → 0
% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 66.5%
secondary
[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 34.9%
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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 11.7%
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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $79,905
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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 4 — $18 Billion Property Tax Relief (November 2023) (2023) — passed, margin 83%–17%
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.108)
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.115)
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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.116)
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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Health Care & Social Assistance (sector-wide) (40680 employees)
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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Manufacturing (sector-wide) (43614 employees)
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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Retail Trade (sector-wide) (43793 employees)
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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Texas's 6th Congressional District encompasses areas south and southeast of the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex, including Ellis, Navarro, Anderson, Hill, and Cherokee counties, plus portions of Tarrant, Dallas, Freestone, and Johnson counties. It is a majority-minority district (52.3% White, 34.9% Hispanic, 14.1% Black)
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Voted yea on H.Res.845 (Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib for comments on the Israel-Hamas war) on 2023-11-07: Ellzey joined 234 Republicans and 22 Democrats in voting to censure Tlaib, the only Palestinian American in Congress. The vote aligned with his top donor AIPAC's priorities and reinforced his consistently pro-Israel voting record.
primary · 2023-11-07
Voted yea on H.R.3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension with SNAP work requirements and discretionary spending caps)) on 2023-05-31: Ellzey voted to avert default, stating 'Republicans control one-half of one-third of the federal government. Today, we cut federal spending by 2 trillion dollars.' The bill passed 314-117 with broad bi
primary · 2023-05-31
Voted yea on S.5 (Laken Riley Act (requiring mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants charged with certain crimes)) on 2025-01-07: Ellzey co-sponsored related legislation and said 'the tragic death of Laken Riley is a reminder of why we must enforce our immigration laws.' His district is 34.9% Hispanic and 17.3% foreign-born, but is a solidly Repu
primary · 2025-01-07
Voted yea on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (extending 2017 tax cuts, restructuring Medicaid and SNAP, border security, energy provisions)) on 2025-07-03: Ellzey voted for the bill that passed 218-214. The bill cut SNAP by roughly $267 billion over 10 years and imposed new Medicaid work requirements. His district has a 9–11.7% poverty rate and 26.3% of ad
primary · 2025-07-03
Voted nay on H.Con.Res.38 (War Powers Resolution to remove U.S. Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities in Iran) on 2026-03-05: Ellzey voted against restraining Trump's Iran military operations, telling an interviewer 'We're on day four of taking down the largest state sponsor of terror.' His top donors include defense contractors (Huntington Ingalls $40,
primary · 2026-03-05
Voted yea on H.R.8034 (Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.4 billion in military and security assistance to Israel)) on 2024-04-20: Ellzey voted with the overwhelming 366-58 bipartisan majority for Israel aid. His top career donor is AIPAC ($88,008). The bill's passage directly served the legislative priority of his largest funding sou
primary · 2024-04-20
Voted yea on H.R.8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion in military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine)) on 2024-04-20: Ellzey was among only 101 House Republicans to vote for Ukraine aid while 112 Republicans opposed it. He called Zelenskyy a 'Churchillian figure' and said 'the world's on fire, and everybody knows it. The f
primary · 2024-04-20
Ellzey served as a commercial airline pilot for Southwest Airlines after retiring from the U.S. Navy. Southwest Airlines pilots' union PACs (Air Line Pilots Assn, Southwest Airlines Pilots Assn) are among his top contributors.
secondary · 2024-12-31
No connections mapped
BillVoteDateAlignment
War Powers Resolution to remove U.S. Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities nay 2026-03-05 aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (extending 2017 tax cuts, restructuring Medicaid and yea 2025-07-03 mixed
Laken Riley Act (requiring mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants c yea 2025-01-07 aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.4 billion in military yea 2024-04-20 aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion in militar yea 2024-04-20 deviating
Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib for comments on the Israel-Hamas war yea 2023-11-07 aligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension with SNAP work requir yea 2023-05-31 aligned
Last contradiction analysis: Never
No contradictions detected
Last silence detection: Never
No active silences
No donor interests mapped
No constituency baseline modelled
No platform commitments archived
No committee memberships recorded
Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

ComponentWeightSignal
Silence Risk25%Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk25%Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density20%Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume10%Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence10%Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation5%Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment5%Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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