[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Adriano Espaillat

Democratic · Representative, NY ·13

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

53 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+67

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 11.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American: 26.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic or Latino: 51.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 35.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 12.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 22.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $53,573

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York State Equal Rights Amendment (Proposition 1, 2024) (2024) — passed, margin 61.7% Yes – 38.3% No statewide; overwhelmingly supported in NY-13

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.18)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.3)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: City College of New York (CUNY) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Montefiore Health System (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Columbia University (16000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital / Columbia University Medical Center (22000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 13th Congressional District encompasses Upper Manhattan (Harlem, East Harlem, Washington Heights, Inwood, Hamilton Heights) and parts of the northwest Bronx (Bedford Park, Kingsbridge Heights, Marble Hill). It is the most Democratic district in New York with a Cook PVI of D+67. The district is a majority-m

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Voted nay on H.R. 7148 (Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026) on 2026-01-22: Voted against the GOP appropriations package. As a member of the House Appropriations Committee, this vote put him in opposition to the funding mechanism for government operations, reflecting his progressive stance against Republican spending priorities.

primary · 2026-01-22

Voted yea on H.Res. 771 (Standing with Israel as it defends itself against Hamas (118th Congress)) on 2023-10-25: Voted in favor of a resolution expressing solidarity with Israel after the October 7 Hamas attack, aligning with his AIPAC funding. This vote was notable because progressive members of his caucus, including Rep. Rashida Tlaib, voted against it ov

primary · 2023-10-25

Voted nay on H.R. 4665 (Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2023-09-28: Voted against the State Department appropriations bill. Consistent with progressive opposition to foreign operations funding but notable for a Foreign Affairs Committee member whose career top industry is Pro-Israel.

primary · 2023-09-28

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Homeowner Energy Freedom Act (119th Congress, 2026)	nay	2026-02-25	deviating
Undersea Cable Protection Act (119th Congress, 2026)	nay	2026-02-12	deviating
Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026	nay	2026-01-22	deviating
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2025 — Rule Providing for Con	nay	2025-09-11	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Budget Reconciliation, 119th Congress) — Final Concu	nay	2025-07-03	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
Standing with Israel as it defends itself against Hamas (118th Congress)	yea	2023-10-25	aligned
Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs Appropriations Act	nay	2023-09-28	aligned
National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023	nay	2022-07-14	deviating
Abolish ICE Resolution (115th Congress)	nay	2018-07-18	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Espaillat railed about 'defending democracy' on the anniversary of the January 6 Capitol riot and has positioned himself as a champion of democratic n"

Vote: on "An internal Manhattan Democratic Party ethics probe found Espaillat and three allies engaged in 'vot"

Espaillat publicly positioned himself as a defender of democracy on the January 6 anniversary, yet a Manhattan Democratic Party ethics probe found he engaged in vote manipulation and voter suppression in his own party's 2023 election.

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Espaillat has branded himself a progressive fighter and serves as Deputy Whip of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, stating "I stand behind my orig"

Vote: on "OpenSecrets data shows Espaillat's top 2023–2024 donor is AIPAC ($118,210), and his top contributing"

Espaillat's self-portrayal as a progressive champion for marginalized communities contrasts with his acceptance of $118,210 from AIPAC, the most powerful pro-Israel lobby, while constituents in his majority-minority district demanded a ceasefire in G

Last silence detection: Never

Response to AIPAC funding criticism from progressive constituents

938d silent

Expected position: As a self-described progressive and Congressional Progressive Caucus Deputy Whip whose top donor is AIPAC, Espaillat would be expected to address growing constituent concern over th

In-person town hall on Gaza ceasefire during height of constituent demand

116d silent

Expected position: As NY-13's representative whose constituents organized vigils, marches, and a 1,000+ signature petition demanding a ceasefire town hall, Espaillat would be expected to engage public

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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