[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Veronica Escobar

Democratic · Representative, TX ·16

Score Components

22 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

4 → 1

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

54 → 14

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 33.9

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 27.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 62.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 15.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 82.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2023 estimate): 776,702

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2023 ACS): $60,388

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: El Paso County Capital Improvement Bond ($323.8 million, 5 propositions for parks, coliseum, animal shelter, county annexes) (2024) — passed, margin All 5 propositions approved by voters

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: El Paso County Proposition B — Medical Examiner Bond ($26.7 million) (2024) — passed, margin Approved; precise margin not published in county records

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.115)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.168)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: City of El Paso (6200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University Medical Center of El Paso (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: El Paso Independent School District (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fort Bliss (U.S. Army) (40000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Texas's 16th Congressional District covers nearly all of El Paso and its suburbs, including Socorro, Horizon City, Fort Bliss, and San Elizario. It is the only Democratic stronghold in heavily Republican West Texas (Cook PVI D+19). The district is a majority-minority, heavily Hispanic (82.2%) community with a median

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Voted yea on H.R. 6679 (No Immigration Benefits for Hamas Terrorists Act) on 2024-01-31: Escobar voted to restrict immigration benefits for individuals tied to Hamas, joining 422 members in support while only 2 opposed. The vote aligned with her stated support for Israel's security while placing her in tension with her broader immigration advocacy and her di

primary · 2024-01-31

Voted yea on H.R. 3233 (National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Capitol Complex Act) on 2021-05-19: Escobar voted to establish an independent bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6 Capitol attack. She was one of 252 members (all 217 Democrats and 35 Republicans) who supported it, versus 175 Republicans who opp

primary · 2021-05-19

Voted nay on H.R. 4763 (Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 crypto regulation)) on 2024-05-22: Escobar voted against the crypto industry's top legislative priority, joining 133 House Democrats in opposition while 71 Democrats supported it. She has consistently voted against all major crypto legislation — 5 for 5 anti-crypto vo

primary · 2024-05-22

L3Harris Technologies pac_donor 2023-2024 cycle: $12,500 from PAC

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 crypto regul	nay	2024-05-22	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion Ukraine mili	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Condemning the slogan 'from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free' as ant	nay	2024-04-16	mixed
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (standalone $14.3 billion	nay	2024-02-06	deviating
No Immigration Benefits for Hamas Terrorists Act	yea	2024-01-31	mixed
National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Cap	yea	2021-05-19	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "On February 6, 2024, Escobar voted 'Nay' on the standalone Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (HR 8034), a bill providing $14.3 billion i"

Vote: on "On April 20, 2024, Escobar voted 'Yea' on the comprehensive national security supplemental package t"

Escobar voted against Israel-only military aid in February 2024, then voted for the same aid amount in April 2024 when it was bundled with humanitarian funding for Gaza and Ukraine aid. The evolution reflects her stated priority of coupling military

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "In July 2025, Escobar reintroduced the Dignity Act of 2025, a bipartisan immigration bill that provides legal status for undocumented immigrants but n"

Vote: on "In her 2018 primary and general election campaigns, Escobar advocated for comprehensive immigration "

Escobar campaigned on and first legislated for an immigration bill with a path to citizenship, then in 2025 removed the citizenship pathway from her Dignity Act citing Republican control. She publicly acknowledged the shift, framing it as pragmatic.

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "On December 10, 2025, Escobar voted against the Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) — the first time in her congressional caree"

Vote: on "In all six prior NDAAs (FY2020 through FY2025), Escobar voted in favor, securing Fort Bliss funding "

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Escobar voted for every NDAA in her first six years in Congress, calling it a product of 'serious bipartisan negotiation.' She then voted against the FY2026 NDAA, citing culture war provis

Last silence detection: Never

Republican meddling in El Paso mayoral election

197d silent

Expected position: As El Paso's congresswoman and a Democratic Party leader, Escobar was expected to publicly address Republican Mayor Renard Johnson's endorsement of a candidate largely funded by Rep

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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