[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Sarah Elfreth

Democratic · Representative, MD ·3

Sarah Elfreth is the Democratic U.S. Representative (MD's 3rd congressional district). The platform has 4 voting records on file (2025) and 70 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

54 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

41 → 8

Donor Influence 15%

31 → 5

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

48 → 12

Intelligence Volume 15%

83 → 12

Constituency Deviation 0%

92 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+): 42.7%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Asian (Non-Hispanic): 10.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Black or African American (Non-Hispanic): 17.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population White (Non-Hispanic): 56.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024): 5.57%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024): $133,046

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Maryland Question 1 (2024) — Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment (2024) — passed, margin 74% yes – 26% no

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.09)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.13)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Howard County Public School System (9000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Naval Academy (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Maryland Medical System (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory (8500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fort Meade (U.S. Army/NSA) (56000 employees)

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[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Maryland's 3rd Congressional District encompasses all of Howard County and portions of Anne Arundel and Carroll counties in central Maryland, including the state capital of Annapolis. It is a safely Democratic, affluent, and highly educated district with a median household income of approximately $133,046 — well above the national median. The district is home to critical federal installations including Fort Meade (NSA headquarters), the U.S. Naval Academy, and Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, making defense and public administration dominant economic sectors. The population is majority White (57%), with significant Black (17.5%) and Asian (10.5%) communities. The district's economy centers on professional services, healthcare, public administration, and defense contracting.

secondary ✓ Verified

Voted nay on H.R. 22 (Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act) on 2025-02-06: Elfreth voted against legislation requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration, which opponents described as a voter-suppression measure. Her vote aligns with her Democratic district and party, but the bill passed narrowly (220-208), making her opposition part of a near-party-line stand.

primary · 2025-02-06 ✓ Verified

Voted nay on H.R. 5371 (FY26 National Defense Authorization Act) on 2025-09-10: Elfreth voted against the annual defense bill despite her district housing Fort Meade, NSA, Johns Hopkins APL, and the Naval Academy — and despite securing 29 of her own provisions in the bill. She cited politicization and lack of guardrails on troop deployment. This pits constituent defense-industry interests against her stated…

[ Show full fact ]

inferential · 2025-09-10 ✓ Verified

National Security Agency (NSA) employment Elfreth's district (Maryland's 3rd Congressional District) includes Fort Meade, which houses NSA headquarters and employs 56,000 people, making federal…

Defense Information Systems Agency (DISA) employment Elfreth's district includes critical federal installations including Fort Meade (NSA headquarters), which houses DISA.

Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) legislative_opposition Elfreth voted nay on H.R. 4 (Rescissions Act of 2025) which would have codified DOGE cuts to public broadcasting and international aid.

AIPAC / United Democracy Project donor The United Democracy Project, a super PAC affiliated with AIPAC, spent $4,217,711 in independent expenditures supporting Sarah Elfreth's 2024 primary…

Donald Trump donor At least 12 donors to Elfreth's campaign who gave between $1,000 and $6,600 also gave major support to far-right Republicans including Donald Trump, according…

International Assoc Of Fire Fighters PAC donor $7,500 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C70003108/

Alsopac donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00859538/

Thales USA Inc. Political Action Committee (Thales USA PAC) donor $6,500 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00828905/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Caci PAC donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00783423/

Defend The Vote donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00764233/

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) donor $7,500 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00762427/

Tenable, Inc. Political Action Committee (Tenable PAC) donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00718056/

Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. PAC (Booz Allen PAC) donor $8,500 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00709816/

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. PAC (Kratos PAC) donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00686709/

Elect Democratic Women donor $10,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00685297/

Earn International Union Of Operating Engineers donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00624817/

Chugach Alaska Corporation PAC (Cac PAC) donor $6,500 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00564377/

Leidos Inc. PAC donor $10,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (6 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00546234/

National Independent Automobile Dealers Association PAC Fund donor $5,000 to Sarah Elfreth's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00507699/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
PROOF Act	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Nay	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Sarah Elfreth's campaign benefited from $4.2 million in independent expenditures by AIPAC's United Democracy Project, which promotes unconditional U.S. support for Israel, and AIPAC declared her victory 'underscores…

[ Show full platform position ]

Sarah Elfreth's campaign benefited from $4.2 million in independent expenditures by AIPAC's United Democracy Project, which promotes unconditional U.S. support for Israel, and AIPAC declared her victory 'underscores that it is entirely consistent with progressive values to stand with the Jewish state.'

Vote: on "In her July 25, 2025 statement, Elfreth called on Israel to 'take immediate action to address the…"

Elfreth accepted $4.2M in support from AIPAC, a group that opposes conditioning U.S. aid to Israel, but later called for Israel to take immediate action on civilian protection and humanitarian access. These are distinct policy moments — accepting super PAC support vs. her own substantive policy statement — rather…

[ Show full analysis ]

statement_vs_disclosure 30/100

Platform: "Elfreth's campaign touted her as a steadfast gun safety advocate, and she was endorsed by gun-control groups. She voted against ghost guns and firearms in schools in the Maryland Senate."

Vote: on "According to Maryland Bay News, critics including a rival campaign manager argued Elfreth's gun…"

Elfreth's campaign presented her as a strong gun-control advocate, while rival campaign operatives claimed specific votes showed a softer record. Both claims derive from interpretations of her Maryland Senate voting record, and the primary source record of those specific votes is not cited in either article.

Last silence detection: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:48:41 GMT (via scheduled run)

Israel-Gaza war and U.S. military aid to Israel (April–May 2024 primary campaign)

43d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As a Democratic candidate for Congress receiving over $4.2 million in AIPAC-affiliated super PAC support, Elfreth would be expected to articulate a clear position on the Israel-Gaza war, U.S. military aid to Israel, and calls for a ceasefire during the height of her contested primary. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: During this window, Elfreth was an active campaigner issuing positions on abortion rights, the environment, and her legislative record. However, she made no substantive public statements on the Israel-Gaza war. The Intercept reported on May 11, 2024 that 'neither Dunn nor his rival, state Sen. Sarah Elfreth, has been particularly outspoken in support of or against Israel.' Her campaign website did not mention Israel. She declined to take a public position on conditioning aid to Israel, despite both candidates being asked at an April forum. Her first substantive statement on Gaza would not come until July 25, 2025. Primary URL: https://theintercept.com/2024/05/11/maryland-harry-dunn-sarah-elfreth-aipac-israel/

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Peraton PAC, Chugach Alaska Corporation PAC (Cac PAC), Tenable, Inc. Political Action Committee (Tenable PAC), Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac), Thales USA Inc. Political Action Committee (Thales USA PAC) (amounts: $7,000 (2026), $6,500 (2026)…

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

colleagues' leadership pacs

Victory Now PAC, Alsopac, AmeriPAC: The Fund for a Greater America (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

other / unclassified

Mid Manhattan Political Action Committee (Mid PAC) (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified

alcohol & tobacco

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: alcohol & tobacco

ideological & single-issue

League Of Conservation Voters Action Fund, EMILY's List, Elect Democratic Women, Defend The Vote (amounts: $6,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $7,500 (2026)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

alcohol, tobacco & gambling

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) (amounts: $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: alcohol, tobacco & gambling

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2026)

International Assoc Of Fire Fighters PAC Labor unions $7,500 (2024)

Alsopac Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Thales USA Inc. Political Action Committee (Thales USA PAC) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $6,500 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Caci PAC Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2026)

Defend The Vote Ideological & single-issue $7,500 (2026)

Applied Research Associates, Inc. PAC (Arapac) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $7,500 (2026)

Tenable, Inc. Political Action Committee (Tenable PAC) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

Booz Allen Hamilton Inc. PAC (Booz Allen PAC) Defense & aerospace $8,500 (2026)

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. PAC (Kratos PAC) Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2024)

Elect Democratic Women Ideological & single-issue $10,000 (2024)

Earn International Union Of Operating Engineers Labor unions $5,000 (2024)

Chugach Alaska Corporation PAC (Cac PAC) Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $6,500 (2026)

Leidos Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $10,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Child Welfare and Family Policy	60	30	70
National Security and Defense Spending	90	-70	70
Small Business and Economic Development	65	40	60
Transportation and Infrastructure	80	45	55
Education Funding and Policy	75	50	50
Environmental Protection and Climate	70	55	45
Healthcare Access and Costs	85	60	40
Israel and Foreign Policy	55	40	35
LGBTQ+ Rights and Transgender Issues	65	70	30
Government Spending and Deficit Reduction	70	75	25
Federal Workforce and Government Operations	95	85	15
Voting Rights and Election Integrity	80	95	5

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$3.2BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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