[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Lizzie Fletcher

Democratic · Representative, TX ·7

Score Components

14 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+23

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 5.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,466

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $380,500

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: 20.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian population share: 18.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 32.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 34.3

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 49.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 42.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 12%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $77,965

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 796,950

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amarillo Abortion Travel Ban Referendum (2024) (2024) — failed, margin rejected by city voters

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Texas Proposition 4 — Property Tax Relief (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 83.5% Yes — 16.5% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Houston Independent School District (27000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Plains All American Pipeline (Houston HQ) (4500 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress)	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea	2024-04-20	mixed
Merger Filing Fee Modernization Act of 2022	nay	2022-09-29	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Fletcher positions herself as a transparent, community-powered Democrat, with her 2025 op-ed pledging 'transparency and community power.' Her campaign"

Vote: on "Fletcher's 2023-2024 campaign raised only 2.45% of its funds from small individual donors ($59,050) "

Fletcher's public-facing brand emphasizes grassroots community power and transparency, yet her fundraising profile is dominated by PACs (39.4%) and large individual contributions, with only 2.45% from small donors. Oil & Gas and Pro-Israel PACs are h

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Fletcher voted for $26.38 billion in Israel military aid (H.R. 8034, April 2024), issued a statement supporting 'Israel's right to defend itself,' and"

Vote: on "Houston DSA and progressive activists protested outside Fletcher's office demanding she support a ce"

Fletcher's consistent support for Israel military aid and AIPAC endorsement stands in tension with her majority-minority district (32.1% Hispanic, 20.4% Black, 18.8% Asian), where progressive activists organized protests and a primary challenger spec

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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