[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Russ Fulcher

Republican · Representative, ID ·1

Score Components

28 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

92 → 23

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+47 (2nd most Republican district in U.S.)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: average commute time: 23.4 minutes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 0.2% (vs. 5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 3.4% (vs. 3.5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,330 (vs. $1,163 nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $445,300

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 12.5%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 82.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 39.1 (largest cohort 10-19 at 13.7%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 30.0% (vs. 33.7% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 75.3% (vs. 65.5% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6.6% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $79,577 (vs. $37,585 national median)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 986,280 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Idaho Constitutional Amendment — Prohibit Ranked-Choice Voting and Open Primaries (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 69.4% Yes — 30.6% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.13)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Idaho (Moscow) / Boise State University (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: JR Simplot Company (Boise — agribusiness/fertilizer/food processing) (4000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Iran War Powers Resolution — March 5, 2026	nay	2026-03-05	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage, July 3, 2025	yea	2025-07-03	deviating
Rescissions Act of 2025 (CPB Defunding, June 12, 2025)	yea	2025-06-12	deviating
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	yea	2025-01-07	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26 billion military aid)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion military aid	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
CHIPS and Science Act of 2022 — July 28, 2022	nay	2022-07-28	misaligned
Objection to Electoral College Certification — January 6-7, 2021	yea	2021-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Fulcher spent 15 years at Micron Technology as Director of Sales and Marketing, then in 2022 voted against the CHIPS Act — legislation that directly e"

Vote: on "Fulcher positions himself as a champion of local resource management, writing in a December 2025 let"

Fulcher's vote against the CHIPS Act — the single most economically consequential piece of legislation for Idaho in decades — represented a direct vote against his own district's economic interests. Micron, his former employer, is Idaho's largest pri

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Fulcher campaigns as a fiscal conservative who fights against the national debt, yet voted yea on the OBBBA which the CBO projected would add $3.4 tri"

Vote: on "Fulcher's website and campaign materials emphasize his commitment to serving Idaho constituents and "

Fulcher voted for the OBBBA which added $3.4 trillion to the deficit — a direct repudiation of his career-long fiscal conservatism — while simultaneously refusing to face constituents in person to explain the vote. The Coeur d'Alene Press noted he ha

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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