[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michelle Fischbach

Republican · Representative, MN ·7

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population share: Approximately 6% (concentrated in food processing corridor — Willmar, Marshall, Worthington areas have significant Somali, Latino, and Hmong immigrant communities)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 43.1 (above national median; rural out-migration of young adults is documented across western Minnesota)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: Approximately 72% (above national average of 65.5%; reflects rural housing stock and lower price points)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+15 (shifted significantly from D+5 under Collin Peterson era; Fischbach won by approximately 13 points in 2020 and 2022)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: Approximately 24% (well below Minnesota average of 38.4% and national average of 33.7%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: Approximately 12% (above Minnesota average of 9.5%; higher in tribal communities and rural areas)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Native American population share: Approximately 4% (White Earth, Red Lake, Leech Lake, and other Ojibwe tribal nations present in northern MN-07)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: Approximately 7% (concentrated in food processing communities including Willmar, Marshall, and Worthington)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White non-Hispanic population share: Approximately 82%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: Approximately $61,200 (below Minnesota median of $80,441 and below national median of $74,580; significant rural poverty in western counties)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Minnesota Amendment 1 — Dedicated Funding for Environment and Outdoor Heritage (2008, reference baseline) (2008) — passed, margin Statewide: 56% Yes — 44% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Minnesota Amendment 1 — Legislative Approval for Spending (2024) (2024) — failed, margin Statewide: 38% Yes — 62% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 Educational Services (share 0.07)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 Retail Trade (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 Manufacturing (food processing — sugar, turkey, grain) (share 0.11)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.17)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 Agriculture Forestry Fishing and Hunting (share 0.14)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Sanford Health (Moorhead / Thief River Falls / regional) (3500 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Jennie-O Turkey Store (Willmar — Hormel subsidiary) (2000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Minnesota State University Moorhead (1600 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress)	yea_unverified	2025-01-07	mixed
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	yea_unverified	2024-04-20	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (Debt Ceiling)	nay_unverified	2023-05-31	deviating
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022	nay_unverified	2022-08-12	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Fischbach has consistently described herself as a fiscal conservative committed to reducing government spending and the national debt, citing deficit "

Vote: on "Fischbach voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which the Congressional Budget Offi"

Fischbach's stated fiscal conservatism — including her nay on the Fiscal Responsibility Act for being insufficiently austere — is directly contradicted by her yes vote on the OBBBA, which CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit, represen

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Fischbach has consistently described herself as a fiscal conservative committed to reducing government spending and the national debt, citing deficit "

Vote: on "Fischbach has been a consistent advocate for farm subsidies, crop insurance programs, and commodity "

Fischbach's stated fiscal conservatism and her consistent support for federal farm subsidy programs — which represent substantial government spending — create a documented internal tension in her public positioning; both quotes come from the same sec

Last silence detection: Never

Sugar program trade-offs: domestic sugar price supports and their cost to MN-07 food manufacturing workers

1460d silent

Expected position: Fischbach is a consistent defender of the domestic sugar program — price supports and import quotas that benefit American Crystal Sugar and Red River Valley sugar beet farmers. Howe

Ethanol blend wall and its impact on corn farmer income in MN-07

1460d silent

Expected position: MN-07 produces substantial corn destined for ethanol production. EPA's small refinery exemptions from the Renewable Fuel Standard have reduced ethanol demand and suppressed corn pri

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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