[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John Fetterman

Democratic · Senator, PA

Score Components

30 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 33.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 68.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: SNAP enrollment: 1,964,591 individuals

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid enrollment rate: 23.17% (3,009,860 individuals)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 11.78%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $77,971

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Pennsylvania Constitutional Amendment — Voter ID Requirement (2025) (2025) — pending, margin legislative referral

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.101)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.112)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.155)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Penn State University (27000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Giant Eagle (supermarket chain) (32000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) (90000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Pennsylvania is the fifth-most populous state with approximately 13 million residents. It is a key swing state that voted for Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020, and Trump in 2024. The state has a median household income of $77,971 (2020-2024), slightly above the national median, with an 11.78% poverty rate. The population

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Voted yea on PN 11-1 (Cloture on Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense) on 2025-01-23: Fetterman was the only Democrat to vote to advance Hegseth's nomination past a procedural hurdle, though he ultimately voted against final confirmation. The procedural yea enabled the nomination to reach the floor despite Hegseth facing allegations of sexual misconduct and

primary · 2025-01-23

Voted yea on PN 11-3 (Confirmation of Kristi Noem as Homeland Security Secretary) on 2025-01-25: Fetterman joined six other Democrats in confirming Kristi Noem to head DHS — the department charged with carrying out Trump's mass deportation agenda. This confirmation directly contradicted his stated progressive immigration stance. The vote highlights the stark

primary · 2025-01-25

Voted yea on PN 12 (Confirmation of Pam Bondi as Attorney General) on 2025-02-05: Fetterman was the only Senate Democrat to vote to confirm Pam Bondi — Trump's attorney general nominee who had defended Trump during his first impeachment and backed his false election fraud claims. The vote passed 54-46. Fetterman stated his votes come from 'an open-mind and a

primary · 2025-02-05

Voted yea on H.R. 9745 (Continuing Resolution to End 40-Day Government Shutdown) on 2025-11-10: Fetterman was one of only eight Democrats (plus one independent) to vote with Republicans to end the 40-day government shutdown, breaking from his party's strategy of using the shutdown as leverage for ACA subsidy extensions. He stated 'I'm sorry to our military,

primary · 2025-11-10

Voted yea on S. 52 (ICC Sanctions Bill (procedural cloture)) on 2025-01-28: Fetterman was the only Democrat in the entire Senate to vote with Republicans to advance sanctions against the International Criminal Court over its arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant. He wrote on X he was 'deeply disappointed by the outcome' after Democrats blocked the bill.

primary · 2025-01-28

Voted yea on S. 5 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-20: Fetterman was one of only 12 Senate Democrats to vote for final passage and an original co-sponsor with four GOP senators. The bill mandates ICE detention of undocumented immigrants accused of nonviolent crimes. He called deportation of criminal migrants 'really common sense' and said he doesn't know 'why an

primary · 2025-01-20

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Continuing Resolution to End 40-Day Government Shutdown	yea	2025-11-10	deviating
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	nay	2025-07-01	aligned
Confirmation of Pam Bondi as Attorney General	yea	2025-02-05	deviating
ICC Sanctions Bill (procedural cloture)	yea	2025-01-28	aligned
Confirmation of Kristi Noem as Homeland Security Secretary	yea	2025-01-25	mixed
Cloture on Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense	yea	2025-01-23	deviating
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-20	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "In 2016, Fetterman was one of the first elected officials in the country to endorse Bernie Sanders for president, calling himself a member of 'Bernie'"

Vote: on "In December 2023, Fetterman stated 'I'm not a progressive. I'm just a regular Democrat.' He told The"

Fetterman was the first elected official in the nation to endorse Bernie Sanders and spent years branding himself as a progressive champion. He has now fully reversed, insisting he 'was never a progressive' — a claim contradicted by his own extensive

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Fetterman described himself as 'perhaps the most pro-immigration member of the Senate,' noting his wife Gisele came to the U.S. from Brazil as a child"

Vote: on "In January 2025, Fetterman became a co-sponsor of the Senate's Laken Riley Act — legislation requiri"

Fetterman called himself 'perhaps the most pro-immigration member of the Senate' yet co-sponsored and voted for the Laken Riley Act — the first bill Trump signed into law, mandating detention of undocumented immigrants for nonviolent offenses. He dis

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Fetterman was the first Democratic senator to visit Trump at Mar-a-Lago after the 2024 election, stating 'President Trump invited me to meet, and I ac"

Vote: on "In November 2025, Fetterman defended his voting record saying 'I vote a 91% Democratic line' and 'ma"

Fetterman went from being a Democratic hero and progressive icon to visiting Trump at Mar-a-Lago, confirming half of Trump's cabinet nominees, and being praised by Donald Trump Jr. while his own Democratic approval rating in Pennsylvania plunged from

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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