[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Julie Fedorchak

Republican · Representative, ND ·0 ·Since 2025-01-03

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+39

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 2.8%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 35.9

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 4.51% (35,400 people)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Native American population share: ~5% (four reservations within district)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 32.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 62.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 6.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $76,657

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: North Dakota Measure 2 — Congressional Age Limits (2024) (2024) — failed, margin 49.1% Yes — 50.9% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 21 (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Minot Air Force Base (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bobcat Company (West Fargo manufacturing) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Altru Health System (Grand Forks) (4000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Sanford Health (Fargo) (11000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: North Dakota's at-large congressional district encompasses the entire state — the eighth-largest congressional district by land area in the nation. Home to approximately 784,841 constituents, the district is predominantly rural with an economy anchored in agriculture (wheat, soybeans, corn, sugar beets, cattle), ener

secondary

Voted sponsored on H.R. 3843 (Baseload Reliability Protection Act (sponsored)) on 2025-06-11: Fedorchak introduced legislation to protect baseload power plants (coal, natural gas, nuclear) from early retirement — directly benefiting the coal industry that is a major employer and donor in North Dakota. The bill aligns with her PSC background where she express

primary · 2025-06-11

Voted yea on H.R. 5371 (Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 (September 2025 CR)) on 2025-09-19: Fedorchak voted yea on the continuing resolution to fund the government through November 21, 2025. Her vote aligned her with the governing wing of the GOP rather than the conservative hardliners who opposed CRs. She subsequently blamed Democrats whe

inferential · 2025-09-19

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Iran War Powers Resolution (March 5, 2026)	nay	2026-03-05	aligned
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 (September 2025 CR)	yea	2025-09-19	deviating
Baseload Reliability Protection Act (sponsored)	sponsored	2025-06-11	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	yea	2025-05-22	misaligned
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Fedorchak touted the OBBBA, claiming Medicaid work requirements would not result in 'fewer people receiving those benefits' and that the bill would st"

Vote: on "The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates the reforms would result in more than 10 milli"

Fedorchak claimed the OBBBA Medicaid provisions would not result in 'fewer people receiving those benefits' and would 'protect the program for the people it's intended to help.' The nonpartisan CBO projected 10+ million nationwide coverage losses; th

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Fedorchak campaigned on being a fiscal conservative and energy policy expert, emphasizing the need for 'responsible' government spending."

Vote: on "Fedorchak dismissed the CBO scoring of the OBBBA as unreliable, stating the CBO's score of the 2017 "

Fedorchak campaigns as a fiscal conservative who demands responsible spending, yet dismissed the CBO's deficit projections for the OBBBA as unreliable and insisted growth would offset the cost — a supply-side argument that contradicts her stated comm

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "As chair of the North Dakota Public Service Commission, Fedorchak was responsible for regulating the energy industry. Her opponent Trygve Hammer point"

Vote: on "Fedorchak responded: 'All of my campaign donations have been publicly reported, completely transpare"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Fedorchak accepted campaign donations from energy companies she regulated — including $10,000 from North American Coal weeks before approving their mine — while maintaining all decisions w

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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