[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

H. Morgan Griffith

Republican · Representative, VA ·9

Score Components

26 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

53 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Car-dependent commuting: 78.2% drive alone; 0.6% use public transit; mean commute 24.9 min

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/ethnic composition: 87.4% White, 4.2% Black, 3.1% Hispanic, 2.3% Two or more races

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index (2026 rating): R+45 — Safe Seat; shifted from R+23

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 3.8% (national: 3.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 23.9% (national: 33.7%) — below average educational attainment

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 44 (national: 38.5) — older; 15% of residents are 70+

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.2% (national: 12.4%); historically highest poverty rate of any Virginia CD at 18.7% in 2017

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 73.0% (national: 65.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 780,117

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $58,380 (national: $37,585) — lowest of any Virginia congressional district

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Virginia Question 1: Property Tax Exemption for Veterans (2024) (2024) — passed, margin Approved by wide margin

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Virginia Constitutional Amendment: Right to Abortion (2026 proposed) (2026) — pending, margin Legislature passed; on 2026 ballot

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.07)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 2121 (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.21)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Radford University (1800 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Volvo Trucks North America (Dublin, VA plant) (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Carilion Clinic (7500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Ballad Health (8000 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Power Plant Reliability Act of 2025 (Griffith-sponsored bill to keep coal plants	yea	2025-12-16	aligned
Protecting America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for o	nay	2025-12-11	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (budget reconciliation — Medicaid/SNAP cuts, tax refo	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 (gutting foreign assistance, CPB funding, USAID)	yea	2025-06-12	misaligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8B military and econ	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (emergency $14.3B Israel m	yea	2023-11-02	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Griffith stated on July 3, 2025: 'On Medicaid, we strengthened the program for the traditional Medicaid population. That population includes pregnant "

Vote: on "The AFL-CIO assessed H.R. 1 as legislation that 'would enact devastating cuts to Medicaid, SNAP, and"

Griffith claimed H.R. 1 'strengthened' Medicaid for 'pregnant women, the disabled, the elderly, and the young,' while the AFL-CIO, CBO, and both Virginia Democratic Senators assessed the bill would enact devastating cuts to Medicaid and SNAP. Griffit

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Griffith stated: 'I support helping Ukraine in its fight to defend its own borders' and 'It is better to send money to help the Ukrainians fight than "

Vote: on "Griffith voted against H.R. 5692 (Ukraine Security Assistance and Oversight Supplemental Appropriati"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Griffith's Ukraine stance evolved from early support (2022 Lend-Lease, 2022 supplemental) to opposition (voting against 2023 and early 2024 Ukraine funding bills H.R. 5692 and H.R. 2882) a

Last silence detection: Never

Griffith has repeatedly refused to hold in-person town halls, prompting multiple 'empty chair' town hall events across his district in early 2025

485d silent

Expected position: As the elected representative of 780,117 constituents in Virginia's 9th district since 2011, Griffith would be expected to hold regular open, in-person town halls where voters can a

Griffith did not address the Stream Protection Rule's substance at a 2015 OSM public hearing in Big Stone Gap, then left before hearing constituent testimony

0d silent

Expected position: As the congressman representing Virginia's coalfield communities most directly impacted by the Stream Protection Rule, Griffith would be expected to engage substantively with propos

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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