[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Glenn Grothman

Republican · Representative, WI ·6

Score Components

31 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Manufacturing employment: 92,928 — highest share of manufacturing jobs of any congressional district nationally

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+23 — Solid Seat

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 28.7% (national: 33.7%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 2.7% (national: 3.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 5.7% (national: 12.4%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White population share: 87.5% — significantly above national average

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 71.7% (national: 65.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 738,897

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $75,789 (national: $37,585)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Wisconsin Constitutional Amendments: Limit Governor's power to spend federal funds (August 2024) (2024) — failed, margin Voters rejected both GOP-authored questions limiting governor's spending power on federal money, widely seen as a win for Democrats

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Wisconsin Constitutional Amendment Question 2: Ban on non-legislated election officials (April 2024) (2024) — passed, margin 54.1% Yes to 45.9% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Wisconsin Constitutional Amendment Question 1: Ban on private election grants (April 2024) (2024) — passed, margin 53.8% Yes to 46.2% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.04)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.24)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Agnesian HealthCare / SSM Health (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Fond du Lac County government (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Brunswick Corporation (Mercury Marine) (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Sargento Foods (cheese manufacturing) (2500 employees)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Protecting America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for f	nay	2025-12-11	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (budget reconciliation — Medicaid/SNAP cuts, tax refo	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Suspending Normal Trade Relations with Russia and Belarus Act	nay	2022-03-17	deviating
Continuing Resolution to fund federal government through December 11, 2020	nay	2020-09-22	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "At the Algoma Town Hall in Oshkosh on February 21, 2025, Grothman told constituents that cutting Medicaid funding 'would be a mistake' and, when asked"

Vote: on "On July 3, 2025, Grothman voted Yea on H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Roll Call 190), which"

Grothman told constituents at a February 2025 town hall that cutting Medicaid 'would be a mistake' and hedged on whether he'd oppose a bill with Medicaid cuts. Five months later, he voted for H.R. 1, which the AFL-CIO, CBO, and constituent analyses p

reversal 60/100

Platform: "Grothman told constituents in a 'Special Edition' newsletter that Republicans had 'done everything to keep the government open' and passed a 'clean' c"

Vote: on "On September 22, 2020, Grothman voted Nay on H.R. 8337, a continuing resolution to fund the governme"

Grothman claimed in 2025 to be a 'reliable vote to keep the government running' while attacking Democrats for shutdown brinkmanship, yet voted against a 2020 continuing resolution (H.R. 8337) that kept the government open, citing procedural complaint

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Grothman voted against H.R. 7108, the Suspending Normal Trade Relations with Russia and Belarus Act, one of only 8 House members (all Republicans) to "

Vote: on "Grothman co-sponsored H.R. 7014, a separate bill that would also suspend normal trade relations with"

Grothman co-sponsored a bill suspending trade relations with Russia (H.R. 7014) while voting against another bill doing the same thing (H.R. 7108). His rationale — objections to Magnitsky Act amendments he said could target anti-abortion and anti-sam

Last silence detection: Never

Grothman has refused in-person town halls for over a year, using only telephone 'townhalls' with pre-selected questions

426d silent

Expected position: As the elected representative of Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District serving 738,897 constituents, Grothman would be expected to hold regular open in-person town halls where vote

Grothman has not held a public-facing press release or town hall addressing the impact of H.R. 1's Medicaid cuts on his district's estimated 30,145 residents projected to lose coverage

90d silent

Expected position: After voting for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act on July 3, 2025, which the AFL-CIO assessed would enact 'devastating cuts to Medicaid, SNAP, and other important social safety progra

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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