[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Josh Gottheimer

Democratic · Representative, NJ ·5

Score Components

21 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

52 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+12

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 43.3

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian population share: 16.4% (127,000 people, largest subgroup Korean)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 17.4% (136,000 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population share: 26.4% (205,000 people)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 55.0% (highest in NJ)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 73.4%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 4.1% (LegisLetter) / 5.66% (Data USA 2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $132,937

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New Jersey Public Question 1 — Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 62%-38%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 52 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bergen New Bridge Medical Center (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Valley Health System (Paramus/Ridgewood) (6000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hackensack Meridian Health (15000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New Jersey's 5th Congressional District stretches across the entire northern border of the state, encompassing most of Bergen County as well as parts of Passaic, Sussex, and Warren counties. Home to approximately 778,374 constituents, the district is among the wealthiest and most highly educated in the nation, with a

secondary

Voted abstain on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act — Initial House Vote (January 7, 2025)) on 2025-01-07: Gottheimer was absent for the initial Laken Riley Act vote — the first bill of the new Congress — along with fellow gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill. Both drew fire from opponents who accused them of skipping a controversial vote to avoid taking a position

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted nay on H.Res. 189 (Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas) on 2025-03-06: Gottheimer voted with the overwhelming Democratic majority against censuring Rep. Al Green for disrupting Trump's address to Congress. Only 10 Democrats voted yea. The vote reflects his positioning: while he breaks with Democrats on Israel and financial regulation, on high-pr

primary · 2025-03-06

Voted nay on H.R. 5376 (Build Back Better Act (2021) — SALT deduction cap opposition) on 2021-11-19: Gottheimer led a group of moderate Democrats who threatened to vote against the Build Back Better Act unless the SALT deduction cap was raised — a tax provision disproportionately benefiting high-income households in high-tax states like NJ. His district has

primary · 2021-11-19

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House passage	nay	2025-05-22	aligned
Censuring Representative Al Green of Texas	nay	2025-03-06	deviating
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-22	deviating
Laken Riley Act — Initial House Vote (January 7, 2025)	abstain	2025-01-07	mixed
National Security Supplemental (Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan aid package)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act (Standalone GOP bill, February 2	yea	2024-02-06	aligned
Build Back Better Act (2021) — SALT deduction cap opposition	nay	2021-11-19	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Gottheimer campaigned for governor on an 'affordability agenda for Jersey,' calling himself a fighter for 'hardworking Jersey families' and pledging t"

Vote: on "Gottheimer's net worth is estimated at $42-52 million, making him one of the 25 wealthiest members o"

Gottheimer campaigns as a populist champion of 'hardworking Jersey families' and affordability, yet he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress with a net worth exceeding $40M — largely built through aggressive Wall Street options trading while s

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Gottheimer presents himself as a moderate, bipartisan deal-maker who co-founded the Problem Solvers Caucus and works 'across the aisle.' He has campai"

Vote: on "Gottheimer voted against his party majority 75 times in the 118th Congress (7.5%), ranking 144th in "

Gottheimer brands himself as a bipartisan moderate who can work with both parties, yet his voting record shows systematic defection toward GOP positions on Israel, financial regulation, and immigration — areas where his top donor interests (AIPAC, Wa

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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