[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Michael Guest

Republican · Representative, MS ·3

Michael Guest is the Republican U.S. Representative (MS's 3rd congressional district). The platform has 3 voting records on file (2021-2025) and 29 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

37 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 15%

30 → 5

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

48 → 12

Intelligence Volume 15%

26 → 4

Constituency Deviation 0%

51 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 72.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White Population: 58.4% (431,000)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black Population: 33.5% (247,000)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 18%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $60,128

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Mississippi Amendment - State Flag (2020) — passed, margin 71% yes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Mississippi Initiative 65 - Medical Marijuana (2020) — passed, margin 68% yes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing (share 0.04)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.1)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.11)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care & Social Assistance (share 0.15)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Educational Services sector (36368 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Manufacturing sector (38740 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Health Care & Social Assistance sector (51969 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District covers central portions of the state including the Jackson metropolitan area and surrounding rural counties. The district is 58.4% white and 33.5% Black, with a median household income of $60,128 and 18% poverty rate. Key industries include healthcare, manufacturing, and education. The district is heavily agricultural with timber and…

[ Show full fact ]

secondary ✓ Verified

Voted yea on H.R. 7567 (Defense appropriations bill) on 2025-06-01: Guest serves on Armed Services Committee andvoted for defense appropriations aligned with defense contractor donors. This vote benefits his top donor sector while MS-03's 18% poverty rate and healthcare as top employer suggest constituent interest in domestic spending over military expansion

primary · 2025-06-01 ✓ Verified

Voted yea on H.R. 3233 (National Commission to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol) on 2021-05-19: Guest was one of only 35 House Republicans to vote for the independent commission. Trump opposed this vote and later campaigned against Guest. MS-03 voted 71% for Trump in 2024, making Guest's January 6 vote a cross-pressure event between his party leader (opposed) and constituent…

[ Show full fact ]

primary · 2021-05-19 ✓ Verified

Voted nay on H.Res. 503 (Impeaching Joseph R. Biden, Jr., President of the United States, for high crimes and misdemeanors) on 2025-06-24: MS-03 has a 33.5% Black population and 18% poverty rate. Biden's impeachment was rejected by House Republicans including Guest, who had previously supported investigating January 6. Voting against impeaching Biden while having voted to investigate January 6 represents a…

[ Show full fact ]

primary · 2025-06-24 ✓ Verified

[vote] Guest voted against establishing the Pelosi Select Committee on January 6, preferring an independent bipartisan commission

primary · 2021-01-06 ✓ Verified

[vote] Guest voted against the Democratic impeachment of Trump, stating the resolution was 'a partisan attempt to score political points'

primary · 2019-12-18 ✓ Verified

Anti-Woke Fund donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00894717/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Mississippi Farm Bureau Federation Furthering Agriculture For Rural Mississippians Fund PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00730903/

Conservatives Harvesting Success PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00678813/

American Revival PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00592089/

Brunini PAC; The donor $6,600 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00527283/

Cadence Bank PAC donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00506733/

Eye Of The Tiger PAC donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00467431/

Huck PAC donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00448373/

Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00428052/

Airbus Group, Inc. PAC donor $7,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00421230/

Osi Systems Inc PAC Osi PAC donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00414896/

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. PAC donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00411116/

Telapex Inc PAC donor $6,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00408500/

Nucor Corporation Political Action Committee donor $6,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00379628/

American Academy Of Pediatric Dentistry PAC donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00365965/

Entergy Corporation PAC (Enpac) donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (7 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00363879/

Balch & Bingham Fed. Pol. Comm. donor $10,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00358440/

Asian American Hotel Owners Association PAC (Aahoa PAC) donor $5,000 to Michael Guest's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00336743/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Guest stated he voted for the January 6 commission because 'the American people deserve to know what happened' on January 6"

Vote: on "Guest voted against establishing the Pelosi Select Committee on January 6, preferring an…"

Guest initially opposed the Democratic Pelosi Select Committee as 'partisan' but then voted for the bipartisan independent January 6 commission - demonstrating a position evolution where he supported investigation through a different mechanism after opposing the initial proposal

reversal 60/100

Platform: "Guest stated he voted for the January 6 commission because 'the American people deserve to know what happened' on January 6"

Vote: on "Guest voted against the Democratic impeachment of Trump, stating the resolution was 'a partisan…"

Guest claimed the American people deserve to know what happened on January 6 and voted for investigation, yet voted against impeaching Trump for actions related to January 6 - a direct contradiction between his stated support for accountability and his vote against consequences for the president

Last silence detection: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 00:33:12 GMT (via scheduled run)

Trump endorsement and primary challenger

152d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As one of the 35 Republicans who voted for Jan 6 commission, Guest would be expected to address Trump's opposition and his primary challenger Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Trump publicly opposed Guest due to his Jan 6 commission vote. Guest's primary challenger Jullie Kelley used Trump's opposition as a campaign weapon. Guest gave interviews on defense spending and appropriations but avoided direct response to Trump's attacks or the political vulnerability created by his Jan 6 vote Primary URL: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/30/republicans-jan-6-probe-primaries-backlash-00043242

Gaetz ethics committee report

26d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As Chairman of the House Ethics Committee, Guest would be expected to comment on the committee's handling of Matt Gaetz ethics report Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Guest was thrust into the national spotlight as chairman when the Ethics Committee considered the Matt Gaetz report. He gave no public statements on the ethics process, committee deliberations, or Gaetz's committee assignment to Judiciary despite Gaetz's controversial nomination. He was active on other legislative matters during this window Primary URL: https://mississippitoday.org/2024/11/19/matt-gaetz-ethics-report-michael-guest-mississippi-chairman/

other candidates' committees

Huck PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

other / unclassified

Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC, Brunini PAC; The, American Revival PAC, Anti-Woke Fund (amounts: $7,000 (2026), $6,600 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

colleagues' leadership pacs

Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Conservatives Harvesting Success PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues'…

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

law & lobbying firms

Honeywell International PAC, Balch & Bingham Fed. Pol. Comm., American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: law & lobbying firms

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Telapex Inc PAC, Osi Systems Inc PAC Osi PAC (amounts: $6,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $7,500 (2026)

Anti-Woke Fund Other / unclassified $10,000 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Mississippi Farm Bureau Federation Furthering Agriculture For Rural Mississippians Fund PAC Agriculture & food $8,500 (2026)

Conservatives Harvesting Success PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $10,000 (2024)

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Brunini PAC; The Other / unclassified $6,600 (2024)

Cadence Bank PAC Finance & banking $5,000 (2026)

Eye Of The Tiger PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

Huck PAC Other candidates' committees $5,000 (2024)

Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2024)

Airbus Group, Inc. PAC Transportation & auto $10,000 (2026)

Osi Systems Inc PAC Osi PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. PAC Technology $5,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Impeachment/Constitutional Oversight	55	-90	85
Healthcare Access & Rural Hospital Viability	92	-35	68
Education Funding & Public Schools	85	45	35
Social Security, Medicare & Retirement Security	80	50	30
Jobs, Manufacturing & Economic Development	90	35	30
Agriculture, Forestry & Rural Land Use	88	60	28
Foreign Policy & War Powers	60	40	25
Tax Policy & Cost of Living	82	55	22
Infrastructure, Water & Broadband	83	65	18
Government Reform & Term Limits/Institutional Changes	58	70	12
Public Safety, Fraud & Border Enforcement	78	75	12
Energy, Environment & EPA Overreach	75	80	10

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$3.4BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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