[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jared F. Golden

Democratic · Representative, ME ·2

Score Components

35 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic Population: 1.92%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic): 91.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Age: 45.2

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 28.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 74.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 13.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $64,428

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Maine Question 4 — Automotive Right to Repair (2023) (2023) — passed, margin 84%-16%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (Accommodation and Food Services) (share 0.09)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (Manufacturing) (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (Retail Trade) (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (Health Care and Social Assistance) (share 0.19)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: The Jackson Laboratory (2300 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Northern Light Health (12000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Hannaford Supermarkets (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: MaineHealth (23000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bath Iron Works (General Dynamics) (7000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Maine's 2nd Congressional District is the largest district east of the Mississippi River, spanning approximately 27,000 square miles of rural northern and Downeast Maine. The district serves 692,100 residents with a median household income of $64,428. It encompasses cities including Lewiston-Auburn, Bangor, and Water

secondary

[vote] In 2025, Golden has voted repeatedly with House Republicans on government funding and the SAVE Act, including being the only Democrat to support GOP continuing resolutions. He voted against certifying some 2020 electoral results. He has defended Trump's Iran strikes and opposed a war powers resolution, while other Democrats sought to constrain the pre

primary · 2025-09-19

[statement] In a 2024 op-ed, Golden said a second Trump term would not be a 'unique threat' to American democracy and that the 'alarmist rhetoric' about Trump was overblown.

primary · 2024-07-02

No connections mapped

No voting records ingested

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Golden's 2018 campaign pledge and ongoing website claim: 'refusing to accept donations from corporate PACs' and 'Walked the talk by refusing to accept"

Vote: on "In 2024, Golden accepted $116,000 in trade association PAC contributions including $3,500 from the A"

Golden's signature anti-corruption pledge to refuse corporate PAC money is contradicted by his acceptance of $116,000 in trade association PAC donations from groups funded by the same corporations — a distinction without a legal difference under FEC

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Golden voted against the House assault weapons ban in July 2022, saying 'I don't support any version of that.' He was one of only five Democrats to op"

Vote: on "After the Lewiston mass shooting killed 18 people in his hometown on October 25, 2023, Golden revers"

Golden opposed an assault weapons ban in 2022 as one of only five House Democrats to vote nay. After a mass shooting killed 18 people in his hometown of Lewiston, he publicly reversed, apologized for his 'failure,' and called on Congress to ban assau

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "In a 2024 op-ed, Golden said a second Trump term would not be a 'unique threat' to American democracy and that the 'alarmist rhetoric' about Trump was"

Vote: on "In 2025, Golden has voted repeatedly with House Republicans on government funding and the SAVE Act, "

Golden publicly downplayed the 'unique threat' of a second Trump term in July 2024, then proceeded to vote with Republicans more than any other House Democrat in 2025 — including on government funding bills that Democratic leadership opposed. While n

Last silence detection: Never

Trade association PAC money contradicting 'no corporate PAC' pledge

393d silent

Expected position: Golden made a signature 2018 campaign promise to refuse all corporate PAC money, a pledge still advertised on his campaign website in 2025. He is expected to explain why trade assoc

Why he voted to allow trans-identifying athletes in women's sports

0d silent

Expected position: As a centrist Democrat representing a Trump-won district, Golden would be expected to explain a culturally salient vote to constituents. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Da

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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