Andrew R. Garbarino

Republican · Representative, NY ·2

Score Components

3 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

30 → 3

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Total Population: 793,264

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 16.5)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Northwell Health (85000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 2nd Congressional District encompasses the South Shore of Long Island, spanning parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties. It is a predominantly suburban, middle-class district with a strong presence of commuters, municipal workers, and union labor, which historically contributes to Garbarino's moderate voting

secondary

Voted yea on H.Res.878 (Providing for the expulsion of Representative George Santos from the United States House of Representatives) on 2023-12-01: Voted to expel fellow New York Republican George Santos from the House prior to a criminal conviction, prioritizing the ethics report findings over conference preservation.

primary · 2023-12-01

Voted yea on H.R.8404 (Respect for Marriage Act) on 2022-07-19: Garbarino joined 46 other Republicans in voting to codify federal protections for same-sex and interracial marriages, diverging from the majority of the GOP conference.

primary · 2022-07-19

Voted yea on H.R.3684 (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act) on 2021-11-05: Garbarino was one of only 13 House Republicans to vote for the bipartisan infrastructure package, breaking with party leadership to secure federal public works funding.

primary · 2021-11-05

The Federal Election Commission dismissed a complaint (MUR 8062) alleging that Representative Garbarino violated soft-money restrictions by utilizing funds from his former state campaign committee, Friends of Andrew Garbarino, in connection with his federal election.

primary · 2023-08-14

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Providing for the expulsion of Representative George Santos from the United Stat	yea	2023-12-01	deviating
Respect for Marriage Act	yea	2022-07-19	deviating
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act	yea	2021-11-05	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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