[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Kevin Hern

Republican · Representative, OK ·1

Score Components

38 HIGH

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

30 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

50 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 3.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 28.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 13.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $56,432

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Oklahoma State Question 802 (Medicaid Expansion) (2020) — passed, margin 62.7% yes, 37.3% no

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Oklahoma State Question 820 (Recreational Marijuana Legalization) (2022) — failed, margin 53.7% no, 46.3% yes

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Agriculture (Cattle, poultry, row crops) (share 0.06)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Retail Trade (share 0.11)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Oil and Gas Extraction (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Healthcare and Social Assistance (share 0.14)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Manufacturing (Aerospace/defense) (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: ONEOK Inc (2800 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: AAON Inc (3200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Oklahoma - Tulsa (4200 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: St. John Health System (8500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Spirit AeroSystems (12000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District is anchored by Tulsa, the state's second-largest city, encompassing northeastern Oklahoma including Rogers, Wagoner, Creek, and Washington counties. The district has a population of approximately 809,593 with a median household income around $56,000 and a poverty rate of 13.2%. T

secondary

Voted yea on H.Con.Res. 21 (Removal of troops from Syria) on 2023-04-01: Voted for troop withdrawal aligning with isolationist conservative base while defense contractor donors (General Dynamics, Lockheed) support continued Middle East engagement

primary · 2023-04-01

Voted yea on H.R. 4 (Rescissions package eliminating $9B in previously appropriated spending) on 2025-01-27: Voted for targeted spending cuts after previously accepting PPP loans; frames himself as deficit hawk while personal business benefited from pandemic spending he now seeks to rescind

primary · 2025-01-27

Voted yea on H.R. 8029 (Department of Homeland Security appropriations FY2026) on 2025-04-27: Voted to fund DHS while running for Senate seat previously held by DHS Secretary Mullin and supporting Trump administration immigration priorities aligned with donor interests in defense contracting

primary · 2025-04-27

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Department of Homeland Security appropriations FY2026	yea	2025-04-27	aligned
Rescissions package eliminating $9B in previously appropriated spending	yea	2025-01-27	misaligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 - Raising debt ceiling with spending caps	nay	2023-05-31	deviating
Removal of troops from Syria	yea	2023-04-01	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "In 2022: Opposed Biden student loan forgiveness, stating government cancellation is 'completely unfair'"

Vote: on "Hern's KTAK Corporation received $1 million to $2 million in PPP loans during COVID-19 pandemic; loa"

Opposed student loan forgiveness as 'unfair' while his own business received PPP loan forgiveness adding to deficit; called out by White House Twitter as hypocrisy in August 2022

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Stood on House floor speaking in support of 20% spending cuts to government programs"

Vote: on "Hern's KTAK Corporation received $1 million to $2 million in PPP loans during COVID-19 pandemic; loa"

Advocated for 20% spending cuts to government programs as fiscal conservative while his business benefited from pandemic-era government spending programs

position_evolution 30/100

Platform: "Hern voted against Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (raised debt ceiling) claiming 'swampy maneuver'"

Vote: on "Hern's KTAK Corporation received $1 million to $2 million in PPP loans during COVID-19 pandemic; loa"

Voted against debt ceiling increase citing 'swampy maneuver' while his own PPP loan forgiveness was enabled by that same spending framework

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "In 2018 campaign: 'While there is no easy fix to this [deficit spending], the first step is clear: stop adding to it.'"

Vote: on "Hern's KTAK Corporation received $1 million to $2 million in PPP loans during COVID-19 pandemic; loa"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Campaign statement pledged to 'stop adding to' deficit while his business simultaneously received $1-2M in federally-backed PPP loans that were ultimately forgiven, adding to deficit he cl

Last silence detection: Never

STOCK Act compliance after 2021 violations

1743d silent

Expected position: After 2021 STOCK Act violation for failing to disclose $2.7M in trades, Hern should have publicly addressed steps taken to ensure future compliance Evidence of activity on adjacent

Healthcare policy positions on industry he owns stocks in

1164d silent

Expected position: As congressman owning $550K-$1.1M in UnitedHealth and other healthcare stocks through his trust, Hern should publicly address how his healthcare committee work avoids conflicts with

Congressional stock trading ban

252d silent

Expected position: As Ways and Means Health Subcommittee member with significant stock holdings and prior STOCK Act violations, Hern should have public position on proposed stock trading ban for Congr

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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