[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Josh Harder

Democratic · Representative, CA ·9

Josh Harder is the Democratic U.S. Representative (CA's 9th congressional district). The platform has 5 voting records on file (2024-2025) and 38 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

31 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 15%

42 → 6

Silence Risk 25%

31 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

40 → 10

Intelligence Volume 15%

37 → 6

Constituency Deviation 0%

55 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population: 42.4%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 61.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 22.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 7.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 9.9%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $91,983 (2024 est.)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 3: Constitutional Right to Marriage (Repeal Proposition 8) (2024) — passed, margin 62.6% Yes – 37.4% No (statewide)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Proposition 1: Constitutional Right to Reproductive Freedom (2022) — passed, margin 66.6% Yes – 33.4% No (statewide)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 4529 (share 0.062)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 3119 (share 0.074)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 1119 (share 0.097)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 6221 (share 0.128)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 4931 (share 0.135)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Dignity Health / St. Joseph's Medical Center (3000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Stockton Unified School District (4000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kaiser Permanente (5000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: San Joaquin County Government (7000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Amazon (13000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 9th Congressional District encompasses most of San Joaquin County in the Central Valley, anchored by the cities of Stockton and Tracy, plus parts of Antioch in Contra Costa County. It has a population of approximately 774,000 and is rated D+4 (lean Democratic), making it one of the most competitive seats in California. Donald Trump carried the district by 2 points in 2024, a 15-point swing from Biden's 13-point win in 2020 — one of the largest swings nationwide. The district is majority-minority: 42.4% Hispanic, 33.1% White, 17.7% Asian. Economic indicators reflect a working-class region: median household income of $91,983 (above national median but below California's coastal districts), 9.9% poverty rate, 7.6% unemployment, 61.6% homeownership, and only 22.6% holding a bachelor's degree. The economy blends logistics and warehousing (Amazon is the county's largest private employer with 13,000+ workers), healthcare, agriculture and food processing, and manufacturing (Tesla). Water policy and agricultural resilience are perennial constituent concerns. Key issues: immigration, workforce development, education access, and rent burden.

secondary ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 5371 (Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 (Ending the 42-Day Government Shutdown)) on 2025-11-12: Harder voted against ending the longest government shutdown in U.S. history despite his district's heavy dependence on federal programs. An estimated 150,000 federal workers and contractors in California went without pay during the shutdown. Harder's opposition reflected a Democratic caucus stance against what leadership called a 'false choice,' but the material cost to constituents — including SNAP recipients and air traffic controllers in his district — created a direct constituent-interest tension.

inferential · 2025-11-12 ✓ Verified

Abundance PAC donor $10,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00903880/

Ag PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00900886/

Innovation For Good PAC donor $10,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00892901/

People In Rural Areas Transform Elections (Pirate) PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00854430/

Great Chain PAC donor $10,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00832576/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Defend The Dream donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00771238/

Defend The Vote donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00764233/

Put New Hampshire First donor $6,600 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00760009/

La Bamba PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00753947/

Truth To Power donor $10,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00747766/

Across The Aisle PAC donor $7,500 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (7 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00696591/

Medicare For All donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00685552/

Joining Ideas To Motivate Movement For You (Jimmy PAC) donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00680132/

Common Good PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00669929/

Bridge The Gap PAC donor $6,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (6 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00655423/

Jobs, Education, & Families First Jeff PAC donor $10,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00617803/

Progressive Turnout Project donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00580068/

Evergreen PAC donor $5,000 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00576090/

Fair Shot PAC donor $7,500 to Josh Harder's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00574970/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Not Voting	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Nay	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: ""Quick Reminder: We should be making it harder for billionaires to cheat on their taxes, not easier," Harder tweeted on January 11, 2024. He also tweeted in 2021: "The richest Americans dodge $160 billion in taxes each…

[ Show full platform position ]

"Quick Reminder: We should be making it harder for billionaires to cheat on their taxes, not easier," Harder tweeted on January 11, 2024. He also tweeted in 2021: "The richest Americans dodge $160 billion in taxes each year. It's time they pay their fair share (and cut middle class taxes while we're at it!)."

Vote: on "Harder's 2022 personal financial disclosure shows he owns between $15,000 and $50,000 in BVA Fund…"

Harder publicly crusaded against wealthy tax avoidance while personally holding investments in Cayman Islands feeder funds from his Bessemer Venture Partners career. His campaign argued he had no control over the funds' location, but the optics of a multimillionaire former VC calling for tax crackdowns while…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 01:03:39 GMT (via scheduled run)

party committees

New Democrat Coalition Action Fund (amounts: $9,500 (2026)) — interest area: party committees

other / unclassified

National Assn Of Landscape Professionals PAC, Across The Aisle PAC, Abundance PAC (amounts: $7,500 (2026), $8,500 (2026), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

ideological & single-issue

End Citizens United, Equality PAC, Progressive Turnout Project, Defend The Vote (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

colleagues' leadership pacs

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Jobs, Education, & Families First Jeff PAC, PAC To The Future, Synergy PAC, Frontline USA, Hmp, Leadership Opportunity Innovation Service PAC, Backpac, Doing Right - Results Action Unity Leadership PAC, Ca Luv PAC (California Leadership United For Victory PAC), Fair Shot PAC, Evergreen PAC, Bridge The Gap PAC, Common Good PAC, Joining Ideas To Motivate Movement For You (Jimmy PAC), Medicare For All, La Bamba PAC, Put New Hampshire First, Defend The Dream, Great Chain PAC, People In Rural Areas Transform Elections (Pirate) PAC, Innovation For Good PAC, Ag PAC, Truth To Power, AmeriPAC: The Fund for a Greater America (amounts: $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $7,500 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $6,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $6,600 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

Wine And Spirits Wholesalers Of America, Inc. PAC Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2024)

Wine Institute Political Action Committee Alcohol & tobacco $7,500 (2024)

Abundance PAC Other / unclassified $10,000 (2026)

Ag PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Innovation For Good PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

People In Rural Areas Transform Elections (Pirate) PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Great Chain PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Defend The Dream Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Defend The Vote Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2024)

Put New Hampshire First Colleagues' leadership PACs $6,600 (2024)

La Bamba PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Truth To Power Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2024)

Across The Aisle PAC Other / unclassified $8,500 (2026)

Medicare For All Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Education & Workforce Development	78	40	55
Inflation, Cost of Living & Energy Prices	90	45	50
Immigration & Agricultural Labor	88	50	45
Agricultural Water Supply & Delta/Valley Water Policy	95	55	40
Government Spending & Deficit Reduction	70	50	35
Housing Affordability & Homeownership	82	55	35
Reproductive Freedom & Civil Rights	68	50	35
Public Safety & Crime	80	60	30
Agriculture & Farm Economy (including specialty crops and dairy)	92	65	30
Environmental Regulation & Water Quality	75	65	25
Social Security & Retirement Security	74	65	20
Healthcare Access & Rural Hospital Viability	86	70	20

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$4.7BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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