[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Harriet M. Hageman

Republican · Representative, WY ·0 ·Since 2025-01-03

Score Components

31 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

20 → 5

Contradiction Risk 25%

82 → 21

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Car-dependent commuting: 74.8% drive alone; 0.9% use public transit; mean commute 18.8 min

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/ethnic composition: 84.5% White, 10.7% Hispanic

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Federal land ownership: 46.7% of Wyoming is federally owned — 6th highest share nationally

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index (2026 rating): R+50 — Solid Seat; R shift +3 from prior cycle

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 30.6% (national: 33.7%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 3.7% (national: 3.5%)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.8% (national: 12.4%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 71.8% (national: 65.5%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 582,397 — third-largest congressional district by land area, least populous district

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $76,176 (national: $37,585)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Wyoming SJR 0002 (2025): Demand release of federal lands to state (failed) (2025) — failed, margin Failed after public outcry against public lands transfer

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Wyoming Constitutional Amendment A (2024): Property tax exemption for veterans (2024) — passed, margin Approved by wide margin

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 (share 0.15)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 211 (share 0.08)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 2121 (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: National Park Service (Yellowstone, Grand Teton, etc.) (2200 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cheyenne Regional Medical Center (2000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Peabody Energy (North Antelope Rochelle Mine, Powder River Basin) (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Wyoming (5000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Protecting America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for f	nay	2025-12-11	misaligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 ($9B in cuts: $1.1B from Corporation for Public Broadcas	yea	2025-06-12	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (budget reconciliation — Medicaid/SNAP cuts, tax refo	yea	2025-05-22	aligned
House Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Resolution ($4.5 trillion in tax cuts, $1.5 trilli	yea	2025-04-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act (mandatory immigration detention for theft-related offenses)	yea	2025-01-07	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26.38B military aid to I	yea	2024-04-20	aligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8B military and econ	nay	2024-04-20	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($17.6B standalone militar	yea_unverified	2024-02-06	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Hageman voted yea on H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, and issued a press release stating the bill 'delivers on President Trump's agenda by cutt"

Vote: on "The AFL-CIO assessed H.R. 1 as legislation that 'would enact devastating cuts to Medicaid, SNAP, and"

Hageman's official press release celebrated H.R. 1 as delivering for 'working families' and tax cuts 'for all Americans,' while the AFL-CIO assessed the bill would 'enact devastating cuts to Medicaid, SNAP, and other important social safety programs

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Hageman condemned Donald Trump as a 'racist and xenophobic' candidate in 2016, called him 'the weakest candidate,' and joined Cruz supporters at the 2"

Vote: on "Hageman earned Trump's endorsement in 2022, telling the New York Times she 'heard and believed the l"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Hageman went from calling Trump 'racist and xenophobic' and 'the weakest candidate' while actively working to block his nomination at the 2016 GOP convention, to calling him 'the greatest

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Hageman told a Cody town hall audience regarding H.R. 1: 'The bill would make the 2017 tax cuts permanent and eliminate taxes on overtime hours, incre"

Vote: on "The Cody town hall report noted that H.R. 1 'in its current form may also increase taxes on those ea"

At the same Cody town hall reported in a single article, Hageman claimed the bill would deliver 'the largest tax cut in history for all Americans,' while the same article noted the bill 'may also increase taxes on those earning less than $15,000 annu

Last silence detection: Never

Hageman switched to virtual/tele-town halls after contentious in-person forums and cited 'safety concerns' — then continued holding only controlled-format events with pre-screened questions for nearly a year

401d silent

Expected position: As Wyoming's sole congressional representative for 582,397 constituents, Hageman would be expected to hold regular open, in-person town halls where voters can ask unfiltered questio

Hageman blew off constituents' questions about public lands sales at the Greybull town hall, discarding written questions and claiming she had 'already addressed this issue'

0d silent

Expected position: As Wyoming's representative in a state where 46.7% of land is federally owned and public lands access is a defining cultural and economic issue, Hageman would be expected to fully a

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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