[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Jeff Hurd

Republican · Representative, CO ·3

Score Components

14 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 26%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid enrollment rate: 31%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 71.1%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 12.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $70,890

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 79 — Enshrine Abortion Access in Colorado Constitution (2024) — passed, margin 61.7%-38.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: U.S. Forest Service (Region 2) (2000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Bureau of Land Management (Western Colorado offices) (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Intermountain Health (formerly SCL Health) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Colorado's 3rd Congressional District spans the entire Western Slope and southern Colorado, covering rural, agricultural, and mountain communities from Moffat County in the northwest to Montezuma County in the southwest and extending east to Otero and Las Animas counties. With approximately 729,000 residents, the dis

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Voted sponsored_unverified on H.R. 1997 (Productive Public Lands Act) on 2025-03-10: Hurd introduced this bill to revoke nine Biden-era BLM Resource Management Plans and reopen federal lands to expanded drilling, mining, and timber harvesting. This directly benefits top energy-sector donors like Koch Inc, Chevron, and Western Energy Alliance, while environme

inferential · 2025-03-10

Voted nay_unverified on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Public Lands Amendment (midnight provision)) on 2025-06-24: Hurd was the only Republican to vote against a last-minute amendment to the budget reconciliation bill that would have mandated the sale of public lands. He worked with Democratic Rep. Joe Neguse to strip the provision, stating 'public lan

inferential · 2025-06-24

Voted yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: Hurd joined all Republicans and 46 Democrats in passing this bill requiring mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of certain crimes. While aligned with his hardline campaign stance on immigration, the bill was criticized by civil liberties groups. The vote is consistent with his part

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted yea_unverified on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) on 2025-07-03: Hurd voted for a bill that CBO projects adds $3+ trillion to the deficit and cuts $1 trillion from Medicaid, despite having pledged just months earlier not to support any Medicaid coverage reductions. His district has the highest Medicaid enrollment of any Colorado congressional distr

inferential · 2025-07-03

Voted yea on H.J.Res. 40 (Resolution of Disapproval of Canada Tariffs under IEEPA) on 2026-02-11: Hurd was one of only 6 House Republicans to vote with Democrats to overturn Trump's 25% tariff on Canada, citing harm to farmers and manufacturers in his district. Trump withdrew his endorsement 10 days later, calling Hurd a 'RINO.' The vote illustrates cross-pr

primary · 2026-02-11

[vote] Hurd voted in May 2025 for the House budget reconciliation bill that eliminates billions of dollars in clean energy tax credits, including IRA credits that co-ops like San Miguel Power Association relied on for solar microgrids, battery backup, and energy efficiency projects in his district.

primary · 2025-05-22

[statement] Hurd joined 21 House Republicans in a March 2025 letter asking the House Ways and Means Committee chair to protect clean energy tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act, credits that encourage private sector investment and jobs in his district.

primary · 2025-03-23

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Resolution of Disapproval of Canada Tariffs under IEEPA	yea	2026-02-11	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act	yea_unverified	2025-07-03	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — Public Lands Amendment (midnight provision)	nay_unverified	2025-06-24	deviating
Productive Public Lands Act	sponsored_unverified	2025-03-10	aligned
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Hurd joined 21 House Republicans in a March 2025 letter asking the House Ways and Means Committee chair to protect clean energy tax credits from the I"

Vote: on "Hurd voted in May 2025 for the House budget reconciliation bill that eliminates billions of dollars "

Hurd publicly supported protecting clean energy tax credits in March 2025, but two months later voted for a budget that eliminates those same credits, impacting rural electric co-ops and solar installers across his district.

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Hurd signed a letter to House GOP leadership in April 2025 stating 'we cannot and will not support a final reconciliation bill that includes any reduc"

Vote: on "Hurd voted for H.R. 1 (the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act') in July 2025, which the Congressional Budge"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Hurd publicly pledged in April 2025 not to support any reconciliation bill with Medicaid coverage reductions, then voted in July 2025 for H.R. 1 which the CBO projects cuts $1 trillion fro

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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