[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

John Joyce

Republican · Representative, PA ·13

Score Components

28 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

92 → 23

Intelligence Volume 10%

51 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: foreign-born population: 2.18% (16,700 people)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 90.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 43.5

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 22.5%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 75.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 11% (Data USA 2024); 7.2% (LegisLetter)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $69,259

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Pennsylvania Constitutional Amendment — Voter ID Requirement (2025) (2025) — pending, margin legislative referral

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.119)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 0.138)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.16)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Letterkenny Army Depot (Chambersburg) (3800 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Lockheed Martin (Bedford County facility) (2500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: WellSpan Health (regional hospital system) (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District encompasses the south-central Pennsylvania region stretching from the Maryland border through the Appalachian ridges to central Pennsylvania, including all of Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin, and parts of Cumberland, Perry, and

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Voted yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07: Joyce voted yea on mandatory ICE detention for undocumented immigrants accused of nonviolent crimes — the first bill signed into law in Trump's second term. The vote aligns with the GOP majority but matters for a district that is 98.9% native-born and 90.6% White — making it a politically costless hardlin

primary · 2025-01-07

Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023) on 2023-05-31: Joyce joined the governing wing of the GOP in supporting the Biden-McCarthy debt ceiling deal, stating it would 'secure the financial future of our children and grandchildren' by clawing back COVID funds and unlocking energy resources. He voted with a majority of Republicans (149 yea,

primary · 2023-05-31

Voted yea on H.J.Res. 11 (Objection to Pennsylvania Electoral College Certification — January 6, 2021 Joint Session) on 2021-01-06: Joyce spoke on the House floor in support of the objection to Pennsylvania's electors hours after the Capitol riot, citing Pennsylvania Supreme Court actions he called 'unconstitutional.' He was one of 147 Republicans who voted

inferential · 2021-01-06

Voted nay on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024) on 2024-04-20: Joyce voted against $61 billion in Ukraine aid while the GOP majority voted nay (112-101). He also voted for MTG's amendments to defund Ukraine assistance and end lend-lease authority. Republicans for Ukraine gave him an 'F' grade. He had earlier voted for the 2022

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)) on 2025-07-03: Joyce voted yea on legislation the CBO projected would cut $1.02 trillion from Medicaid and add $3.4 trillion to the deficit. His district has 57,005 healthcare workers — the largest employment sector in PA-13 — and an 11% poverty rate. As a physician, his vote contradicted his professio

inferential · 2025-07-03

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)	yea	2025-07-03	misaligned
Laken Riley Act	yea	2025-01-07	misaligned
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024	nay	2024-04-20	misaligned
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023	yea	2023-05-31	mixed
Objection to Pennsylvania Electoral College Certification — January 6, 2021 Join	yea	2021-01-06	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

platform_vs_vote 90/100

Platform: "Joyce campaigned for Congress in 2018 because 'none of the other candidates adequately addressed healthcare.' He is a dermatologist and co-founded the"

Vote: on "The CBO projected the OBBBA would cut approximately $1.02 trillion from Medicaid and CHIP nationally"

Joyce ran for Congress to address healthcare and brands himself as the only dermatologist-physician in Congress, yet voted for legislation that the CBO projected would cut $1.02 trillion from Medicaid and CHIP, threatening coverage for millions of vu

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "As a fiscal conservative, Joyce criticized deficit spending and argued for mandatory spending cuts. In 2019, he voted against the Bipartisan Budget Ac"

Vote: on "Joyce voted yea on the OBBBA on July 3, 2025, which the CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the"

Joyce voted against the 2019 Bipartisan Budget Act on fiscal-discipline grounds, stating he was 'disappointed' in deficit spending, yet voted yea on the OBBBA — legislation the nonpartisan CBO projected would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit, extendi

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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