[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Marcy Kaptur

Democratic · Representative, OH ·9

Score Components

33 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

55 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Veterans: Large Vietnam-era veteran population (14,185), plus Gulf War-era veterans

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Public transit commuting share: 0.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 40.5

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 5.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 3.1% (24.2k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 7.65% (59.8k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black or African American population share: 11.9% (90.9k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 76.5% (583k)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 781,702 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $920

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $174,200

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 27.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 67.9%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 10.5% (ACS 5-Year); 14.8% (Data USA 2024, broader measure)

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $66,739 (2024)

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 2 — Marijuana Legalization Initiative (November 2023) (2023) — passed, margin 57.0% to 43.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Ohio Issue 1 — Reproductive Freedom Amendment (November 2023) (2023) — passed, margin 56.6% to 43.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.113)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.157)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.184)

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No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	yea	2026-04-30	mixed
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — On Passage	nay	2026-01-22	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — On Passage (Ending the 43-D	nay_unverified	2025-11-12	misaligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	nay	2025-07-03	mixed
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	yea	2025-01-22	deviating
Proposing a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution — On Passage	nay	2018-04-12	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 90/100

Platform: "Kaptur voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5, Roll Call 23) on January 7, 2025, requiring mandatory DHS detention of undocumented immigrants charged "

Vote: on "Kaptur voted Nay on the DHS appropriations bill (H.R. 7147) on January 22, 2026. Her press release s"

Kaptur voted for the Laken Riley Act (mandatory ICE detention) in January 2025 — one of only 46 Democrats to do so — but one year later voted against funding DHS/ICE, calling ICE operations 'illegal and un-American' and demanding reform. The Laken Ri

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Kaptur voted Nay on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act), stating: 'This bill is callously cruel — an immoral transfer of wealth from the working class"

Vote: on "Kaptur voted Nay on H.R. 5371, the continuing resolution that ended the 43-day government shutdown o"

Kaptur voted against the CR (H.R. 5371) that contained $3 million in Community Project Funding for OH-09, then subsequently took credit for over $11 million in grants and funding she had 'secured' for her district — including from the very appropriat

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Kaptur voted Yea on the Farm Bill (H.R. 7567, Roll Call 154) on April 30, 2026, one of 14 Democrats crossing party lines. The bill preserved SNAP cuts"

Vote: on "Kaptur bragged in 2025 about bringing over $11 million in funding projects to her district and 'secu"

Kaptur voted for the Farm Bill on April 30, 2026 — one of 14 Democrats crossing party lines — even though the bill locked in SNAP cuts from the OBBB that she had condemned as 'callously cruel' and 'an immoral transfer of wealth.' The Farm Bill preser

Last silence detection: Never

ICE agent doxxed by Democratic colleague Rep. Salud Carbajal — agent subsequently injured by rock attack

11d silent

Expected position: As a member of Congress representing a district with 3.1% foreign-born population where she has publicly supported 'secure borders and legal immigration,' Kaptur would be expected t

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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