[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

William R. Keating

Democratic · Representative, MA ·9

Score Components

14 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population 70+ years: 17.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024 ACS): 5.4%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 46.8

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 82.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 76.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 estimate): 788,493

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024 ACS): $100,749

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Question 1 — Millionaires Tax (4% surtax on income over $1M) (2022) — passed, margin 52.0% Yes, 48.0% No

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Question 2 — Repeal MCAS High School Graduation Requirement (2024) — passed, margin 59.6% Yes, 40.4% No

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 (share 0.098)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.106)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.146)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Massachusetts Maritime Academy (500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (1000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cape Cod Healthcare (5000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Massachusetts's 9th Congressional District covers Cape Cod, the South Coast (including New Bedford and Fall River), and parts of the South Shore and South Boston suburbs. It is the least Democratic district in Massachusetts (Cook PVI D+6) but still leans Democratic. The population of approximately 788,000 is predomin

secondary

Voted nay on H.R. 23 (Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (ICC sanctions over Israel arrest warrants)) on 2025-01-09: Keating voted against imposing sanctions on the ICC for issuing arrest warrants against Israeli officials. He was among 140 Democrats who opposed the bill (against 45 who supported it). While AIPAC contributed only $6,000 to his 2023-2024 ca

primary · 2025-01-09

Voted yea on H.R. 8035 (Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion Ukraine military aid)) on 2024-04-20: Keating, a senior Foreign Affairs Committee member, voted for $61 billion in Ukraine military aid and personally visited Kyiv days later to deliver the vote tally to Zelensky. His career top-5 PAC donor RTX Corp ($74,600) benefits

primary · 2024-04-20

Voted yea on H.R. 3746 (Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension / spending cuts)) on 2023-05-31: Keating voted to suspend the debt ceiling, joining 165 Democrats while 46 opposed. His district has a median age of 46.8 with 17% of residents over 70 — a population heavily dependent on Social Security and Medicare that would have been devasta

primary · 2023-05-31

[vote] On May 31, 2023, Keating voted for the Fiscal Responsibility Act (H.R. 3746) to suspend the debt ceiling, which included cuts to SNAP benefits, the end of the federal student loan pause, and work requirements for older Americans receiving food assistance.

primary · 2023-05-31

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act (ICC sanctions over Israel arrest warrants)	nay	2025-01-09	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion Ukraine mili	yea	2024-04-20	mixed
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (debt ceiling suspension / spending cuts)	yea	2023-05-31	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "In 2023, Keating said Social Security was 'under attack' and told constituents at a legislative breakfast that 'behind the debt-ceiling issue is an ef"

Vote: on "On May 31, 2023, Keating voted for the Fiscal Responsibility Act (H.R. 3746) to suspend the debt cei"

Keating publicly warned that Social Security was 'under attack' via the debt ceiling fight, positioning himself as a defender of entitlements, then voted for a deal that included SNAP cuts and work requirements for older Americans, creating tension b

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "As a member of the House Armed Services Committee, Keating oversees defense contractors including Boeing. On February 28, 2024, he sold Boeing stock v"

Vote: on "Keating's spokesperson stated that the congressman 'relies on his financial adviser to make independ"

Keating sold Boeing stock on the eve of a DOJ criminal investigation while serving on the Armed Services Committee, but his spokesperson attributed the trade timing to an independent financial adviser. Both facts are documented in the same secondary

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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