[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Mark Kelly

Democratic · Senator, AZ

Mark Kelly is the Democratic U.S. Senator (AZ). The platform has 7 voting records on file (2021-2026) and 52 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

60 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

88 → 18

Donor Influence 15%

4 → 1

Silence Risk 25%

31 → 8

Contradiction Risk 25%

87 → 22

Intelligence Volume 15%

73 → 11

Constituency Deviation 0%

41 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 39.0

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Average commute time: 25.4 minutes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 93.3%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 12.9% (955k)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 31.6%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 52.6% (3.88M)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 7.38 million (2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $394,500

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 30.2%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 67.4%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 12.5% (2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $79,964 (2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Arizona Proposition 211 — Campaign Finance Transparency (Voters' Right to Know Act) (2022) — passed, margin approved by voters

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Arizona Proposition 139 — Right to Abortion (state constitutional amendment) (2024) — passed, margin 62% to 38%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (including semiconductor and defense) (share 0.08)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 - Accommodation and Food Services (share 0.1)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.12)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.14)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Freeport-McMoRan (Copper and Gold Mining) (10800 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raytheon (Missiles and Defense Systems) (12500 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

US Department of Defense (Pentagon) legal action Mark Kelly sued the DOD, Secretary Pete Hegseth, and the Navy over a censure and threatened demotion, arguing it violated his First Amendment rights.

Pete Hegseth legal adversary Hegseth, as Defense Secretary, ordered a post-retirement demotion for Kelly from Navy Captain. Kelly subsequently sued Hegseth.

US Navy legal action / personnel dispute Kelly sued the Navy over a censure and threatened demotion. Hegseth ordered a post-retirement demotion for Kelly from Navy Captain.

Goldman Sachs paid speech / corporate engagement Despite taking a 'no corporate PAC money' pledge, Kelly gave at least 19 paid corporate speeches including to Goldman Sachs.

US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) policy opposition On January 25, 2026, Kelly declared he would vote against DHS funding following fatal ICE/Border Patrol shootings in Minneapolis, stating he would stop…

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) policy engagement / conflict Kelly pushed the Biden administration to close 'gaps' in the border wall in Yuma, Arizona during his 2022 campaign, despite having voted three times in 2021…

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) oversight Kelly voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) on January 20, 2025, mandating ICE detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for certain crimes. One year…

SpaceX shared interest (space exploration) On April 1, 2026, Kelly praised the Artemis II launch, a NASA mission for which SpaceX is a contractor. He voted against the bill that funded it (H.R. 1)…

Donald Trump political adversary Trump accused Kelly and five other congressional Democrats of sedition 'punishable by DEATH' after a video calling on military personnel to disobey unlawful…

Marco Rubio cabinet confirmation vote Kelly voted Yea on the confirmation of Marco Rubio as Secretary of State on February 4, 2025.

Kristi Noem political/legal adversary Kelly voted against Kristi Noem's confirmation as DHS Secretary. Noem later became his legal adversary as DHS Secretary during his lawsuit.

John Fetterman affiliation Kelly had 70% alignment with Republicans on 10 early key votes, second only to John Fetterman among Senate Democrats.

Adelita S. Grijalva co-sponsor of letter Co-led a letter with Arizona Senator Kelly to DHS calling for investigation into DHS conduct.

Angus King colleague Angus King appears in the known entities list near Mark Kelly, both listed as U.S. Senators (Angus King as 'Angus S., Jr. King').

With Honor PAC donor $5,000 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00661272/

Society For Cardiovascular Angiography And Interventions (Scai) PAC donor $5,000 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00519371/

Gridiron-PAC donor $5,000 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00451153/

National Marine Manufacturers Assn Boat PAC donor $7,500 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00245548/

Owner Operator Independent Drivers Association PAC donor $5,000 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00236778/

Foley & Lardner Political Fund donor $5,000 to Mark Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00105338/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
A bill to amend chapter 131 of title 5 to require certain restrictions on…	Nay	2026-09-30	unknown
A bill to amend the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 to…	Nay	2026-09-30	unknown
A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of…	Yea	2026-09-29	unknown
A resolution requesting information on Israel's human rights practices…	Yea	2026-09-29	unknown
A bill to protect the name, image, and likeness rights of, and provide…	Nay	2026-09-28	unknown
A concurrent resolution directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of…	Yea	2026-09-24	unknown
A bill to protect the name, image, and likeness rights of, and provide…	Nay	2026-09-24	unknown
A bill to protect the name, image, and likeness rights of, and provide…	Nay	2026-09-17	unknown
A bill to protect the name, image, and likeness rights of, and provide…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
To provide for a system of regulation of the offer and sale of digital…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
An act making continuing appropriations and extensions for fiscal year 2027…	Yea	2026-08-08	unknown
A bill to amend the Help America Vote Act of 2002 to require voters to provide…	Nay	2026-08-08	unknown
An act to impose sanctions and other measures with respect to the Russian…	Yea	2026-08-07	unknown
A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of…	Yea	2026-08-05	unknown
A bill to extend duty-free treatment provided with respect to imports from…	Yea	2026-08-03	unknown
A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from…	Yea	2026-07-30	unknown
An executive resolution authorizing the en bloc consideration in Executive…	Nay	2026-07-30	unknown
A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of…	Yea	2026-07-30	unknown
An executive resolution authorizing the en bloc consideration in Executive…	Nay	2026-07-29	unknown
A bill to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-07-29	unknown
A bill to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-07-28	unknown
A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from…	Yea	2026-07-23	unknown
A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of…	Yea	2026-07-16	unknown
An original bill to authorize appropriations for fiscal year 2027 for military…	Nay	2026-07-14	unknown
A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from…	Yea	2026-06-24	unknown
A joint resolution providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of…	Yea	2026-06-24	unknown
A concurrent resolution directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of…	Yea	2026-06-23	unknown
A bill a bill to increase the supply of housing in America, and for other…	Yea	2026-06-22	unknown
A bill a bill to increase the supply of housing in America, and for other…	Not Voting	2026-06-18	unknown
A resolution requesting information on Honduras's human rights practices…	Not Voting	2026-06-17	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

reversal 90/100

Platform: "Kelly voted three times in 2021 to defund border wall construction: on February 5, May 20, and August 4, voting against amendments to prohibit canceling border wall contracts for which funds had already been…

[ Show full platform position ]

Kelly voted three times in 2021 to defund border wall construction: on February 5, May 20, and August 4, voting against amendments to prohibit canceling border wall contracts for which funds had already been appropriated.

Vote: on "During his 2022 reelection campaign, Kelly pushed the Biden administration to close 'gaps' in the…"

Kelly voted three times in 2021 to defund border wall construction, then in 2022 campaigned on asking the Biden administration to close 'gaps' in the very same border wall in Yuma. A Tucson editorial captured the contradiction: 'Mark Kelly holds two opposing viewpoints at the same time.' The reversal spanned…

[ Show full analysis ]

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Kelly voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) on January 20, 2025, one of 12 Senate Democrats joining Republicans to mandate ICE detention of undocumented immigrants merely arrested for — not convicted of — certain…

[ Show full platform position ]

Kelly voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) on January 20, 2025, one of 12 Senate Democrats joining Republicans to mandate ICE detention of undocumented immigrants merely arrested for — not convicted of — certain crimes. His statement said: 'Federal authorities need to protect our communities from criminals. Keeping Arizonans safe is my top priority.'

Vote: on "On January 25, 2026, Kelly declared he would vote against DHS funding following fatal ICE/Border…"

Kelly voted to expand ICE detention authority (Laken Riley Act, Jan 2025), then one year later declared he would vote against DHS's entire budget after ICE/Border Patrol shootings in Minneapolis. Kelly argued the two positions were consistent — he supports enforcement tools but not 'chaos' — but critics saw a…

[ Show full analysis ]

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Kelly took a 'no corporate PAC money' pledge upon launching his Senate campaign in February 2019 and released a video about it, saying he would 'fight the influence of big money in politics.'"

Vote: on "The Intercept reported in March 2019 that Kelly had given 'at least 19 paid corporate speeches'…"

[ Show full analysis ]

Kelly pledged to reject 'a dime of corporate PAC money' in 2019, yet gave paid speeches to Goldman Sachs and other corporate clients, attended a fundraiser hosted by a DC lobbying firm, and accepted hundreds of thousands from corporate CEOs and lobbyists. The Intercept noted the pledge applied narrowly to PAC contributions rather than individual corporate-affiliated donors — a distinction campaign finance watchdogs flagged as a creative workaround.

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "During the 2020 campaign, Kelly criticized Trump border policies and voted against border wall funding. By 2022, he campaigned as a border security advocate who had pushed Biden to close gaps in the wall. His voting…

[ Show full platform position ]

During the 2020 campaign, Kelly criticized Trump border policies and voted against border wall funding. By 2022, he campaigned as a border security advocate who had pushed Biden to close gaps in the wall. His voting record in the 119th Congress (2025-2026) earned him a 70% rating for voting in 'lockstep with the GOP' on key issues including the Laken Riley Act and six Trump Cabinet confirmations.

Vote: on "During his 2022 reelection campaign, Kelly pushed the Biden administration to close 'gaps' in the…"

Kelly's career arc from border-wall defunder (2021) to border-security campaigner (2022) to Laken Riley supporter and 70% GOP-alignment senator (2025) represents a sustained rightward pivot on immigration enforcement. Phoenix New Times documented how Kelly voted with Republicans on 7 of 10 key early-2025 issues…

[ Show full analysis ]

statement_vs_disclosure 30/100

Platform: "On April 1, 2026, Kelly cheered the launch of Artemis II, praising American technology and space exploration: 'Artemis II is proof that only in the United States of America can we aim for the stars and actually reach…

[ Show full platform position ]

On April 1, 2026, Kelly cheered the launch of Artemis II, praising American technology and space exploration: 'Artemis II is proof that only in the United States of America can we aim for the stars and actually reach them.'

Vote: on "On July 1, 2025, Kelly voted Nay on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1), citing its $930…"

Kelly cheered the Artemis II launch as proof of American exceptionalism after voting against the OBBB that funded it with $9.9 billion. AZCIR fact-checked this as a 'mischaracterization' — Kelly supported NASA funding in negotiations but opposed the bill for its Medicaid/SNAP cuts. Both quotes come from direct…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 00:41:28 GMT (via scheduled run)

Escalating border crisis in Arizona (FY 2021-2023) while Kelly voted to defund border wall construction

515d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As Arizona's senator representing a border state with 370 miles of U.S.-Mexico frontier, Kelly would be expected to actively address the record 1.7 million illegal border crossings in FY 2021 and their impact on Arizona communities. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: During this period, Kelly voted on three separate occasions in 2021 to defund border wall construction (Feb 5, May 20, and Aug 4, 2021 amendments to prohibit canceling border wall contracts). The NRSC targeted him for 'ignoring the border crisis' and Arizona media noted he hadn't pressed Biden on the border. Kelly did not visit the border during this window. His pivot came only as the 2022 election approached: in his October 2022 debate, he called the border 'a mess' and said his party 'doesn't understand border issues,' later pushing the Biden administration to close 'gaps' in the Yuma border wall. His office was active on other issues including CHIPS Act negotiations and veterans' affairs during this same window. Primary URL: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nrsc-targets-democrats-border-states-arizona-nevada-new-ads

ideological & single-issue

With Honor PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

other / unclassified

Owner Operator Independent Drivers Association PAC, Society For Cardiovascular Angiography And Interventions (Scai) PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified

colleagues' leadership pacs

Gridiron-PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

With Honor PAC Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2024)

Society For Cardiovascular Angiography And Interventions (Scai) PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)

Gridiron-PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

National Marine Manufacturers Assn Boat PAC Retail & consumer $7,500 (2026)

Owner Operator Independent Drivers Association PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)

Foley & Lardner Political Fund Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2024)

International Brotherhood Of Electrical Workers Political Action Committee Labor unions $5,000 (2026)

Culac The PAC Of Credit Union National Association Labor unions $5,000 (2024)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Education & School Choice	72	35	50
Inflation, Cost of Living & Housing Affordability	90	40	45
Federalism, Permitting Reform & Federal Land Policy	70	45	40
Energy Policy & Grid Reliability	80	50	40
Border Security & Immigration	92	55	40
Jobs, Manufacturing & Semiconductor Investment	84	55	35
Public Safety, Fentanyl & Border Crime	85	60	30
Climate Resilience & Extreme Heat	76	65	25
Veterans Affairs & Military Communities	78	70	20
Water, Drought & Colorado River Policy	87	65	20
Social Security & Medicare Preservation	88	75	15
Financial Regulation & Digital Assets	55	80	15

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 3 elected officials hold documented connections.

$425.0MDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Connected Officials

John Fetterman U.S. Senate · affiliation
Adelita S. Grijalva U.S. House · co-sponsor of letter
Angus King U.S. Senate · colleague

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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