[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Robin L. Kelly

Democratic · Representative, IL ·2

Score Components

14 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

36 → 9

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+35 (shifted D+3 since last redistricting)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: average commute time: 30.2 minutes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: public transit utilization: 5.8% (vs. 5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median rent: $1,124 (vs. $1,163 nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median home value: $166,900 (vs. $303,400 nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 15.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 36.3%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Black population share: 46.6% (largest racial group)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median age: 39.2 (vs. 38.5 nationally; largest cohort 10-19 at 13.9%)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: bachelor's degree or higher: 24.9% (vs. 33.7% nationally, 10.5% lack high school diploma)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: homeownership rate: 64.3% (vs. 65.5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: unemployment rate: 9.4% (vs. 3.5% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: poverty rate: 13.1% (vs. 12.4% nationally)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: median household income: $64,304 (vs. $37,585 national median)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: population: 742,590 (2024 LegisLetter ACS)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Illinois Amendment 1 — Right to Collective Bargaining (2022) (2022) — passed, margin 58.6% Yes — 41.4% No

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 (share 0.1)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 0.12)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 0.17)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Ingalls Memorial Hospital / UChicago Medicine (Harvey) (3000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Iran War Powers Resolution — March 5, 2026	yea	2026-03-05	deviating
Lower Health Care Premiums for All Americans Act (December 2025)	nay	2025-12-17	aligned
Government Funding Continuing Resolution — November 2025 Shutdown Deal	nay	2025-11-12	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — House final passage, July 3, 2025	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 (CPB Defunding, June 12, 2025)	nay	2025-06-12	aligned
Laken Riley Act (119th Congress, January 7, 2025)	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($26 billion military aid)	yea	2024-04-20	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($61 billion military aid	yea	2024-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "Kelly serves on the Health Subcommittee of the Energy and Commerce Committee, which has jurisdiction over pharmaceutical regulation. She has positione"

Vote: on "Kelly's top two contributing industries are Health Professionals ($192,461) and Pharmaceuticals/Heal"

Kelly campaigns as a champion of lowering prescription drug prices and authored the Kelly Report on Health Disparities, yet her top two donor industries are Health Professionals ($192,461) and Pharmaceuticals/Health Products ($189,112) — the combined

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Kelly accepted AIPAC PAC contributions in March and April 2025, according to FEC filings. She previously traveled to Israel multiple times on AIPAC-af"

Vote: on "In October 2025, Kelly pledged at a Senate candidates' forum that she would no longer accept AIPAC f"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Kelly accepted AIPAC contributions in March-April 2025, had previously traveled to Israel on AIPAC delegations, and cultivated Chicago Jewish community relationships over nearly a decade.

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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