[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Trent Kelly

Republican · Representative, MS ·1

Trent Kelly is the Republican U.S. Representative (MS's 1st congressional district). The platform has 5 voting records on file (2023-2025) and 39 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

56 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

86 → 17

Donor Influence 15%

41 → 6

Silence Risk 25%

85 → 21

Contradiction Risk 25%

40 → 10

Intelligence Volume 15%

39 → 6

Constituency Deviation 0%

10 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign‑Born Population: 2.56% (19,100 residents); 98.5% U.S.‑citizen

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 24.5% (national avg. 33.7%); 13.2% lack high‑school diploma

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: R+18 to R+20 (2024); Trump won by 27 points in 2020

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Racial/Ethnic Composition: 64.2% White, 27.9% Black, 3.98% Hispanic, remainder Asian/Two or More Races/Native American

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 73.4% (national avg. 65.5%); median home value $187,800

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 11.8% (LegisLetter); 15.5% (DataUSA 2024)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024 ACS): 746,893

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $62,385 (below national $78,538; above state threshold)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Mississippi Ballot Initiative Restoration (2024 legislative action — voters did NOT have a direct ballot measure in 2024 due to ongoing litigation over the ballot initiative process) (2024) — failed, margin Legislature did not restore full ballot initiative rights; House passed a restrictive proposal preventing abortion‑related initiatives

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Mississippi Initiative 65 — Medical Marijuana (2020, implemented 2021‑2022) (2020) — passed, margin 74% Yes to 26% No (statewide)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 61 - Educational Services (share 0.09)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (share 0.07)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.13)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 - Manufacturing (share 0.16)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.18)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Columbus Air Force Base (2500 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: University of Mississippi (Oxford) (4000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Toyota Motor Manufacturing Mississippi (Blue Springs) (2000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: North Mississippi Health Services (Tupelo) (7200 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: Mississippi's 1st Congressional District encompasses the northeast corner of the state — all or part of 22 counties — including Tupelo, Oxford (home to the University of Mississippi), Southaven (a Memphis suburb), Columbus, and Corinth. The Cook PVI is approximately R+18 to R+20, making it a solidly Republican district. Population is 746,893 with a median age of 38 (matching the national median). The district is 64.2% White, 27.9% Black, 3.98% Hispanic, with only 2.56% foreign‑born — among the lowest immigration rates in the nation. Median household income is $62,385 (below the national $78,538 but above the state $37,585 threshold), homeownership is 73.4%, and 24.5% of adults hold a bachelor's degree. The poverty rate is 11.8‑15.5%, with 26.5% of children living in poverty. 61.64% of the district is rural. Major industries are agriculture (catfish, soybeans, poultry), manufacturing (including a Toyota plant in Blue Springs), defense (Naval Air Station Meridian borders the district; Columbus Air Force Base is within it), healthcare, and retail trade. DeSoto County is the fastest‑growing area, fueled by suburbanization from Memphis.

secondary ✓ Verified

Boeing donor Boeing PAC donated $2,500 to Kelly's 2025-2026 campaign

Leidos donor Leidos PAC donated $1,000 to Kelly's 2025-2026 campaign

L3Harris Technologies oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee on House Armed Services Committee, Kelly oversees defense contractors including L3Harris

Raytheon Technologies (RTX) donor RTX Corp PAC donated $5,000 to Kelly's 2025-2026 campaign

US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) oversight Kelly voted Yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) which mandates ICE (a DHS component) detention for certain undocumented immigrants

House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence membership Kelly serves on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence

Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) oversight Kelly voted Yea on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (FY2025 Budget Reconciliation) on 2025-07-03, which aligns with DOGE-related fiscal policies

SpaceX donor SpaceX PAC donated $5,000 to Kelly's 2025-2026 campaign

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) oversight Kelly voted Yea on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) mandating ICE detention for undocumented immigrants charged with theft

US Department of Defense (Pentagon) oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee on House Armed Services Committee, Kelly has oversight of Department of Defense programs

US Army oversight Kelly's subcommittee chairmanship on House Armed Services Committee includes oversight of Army seapower and projection forces

US Air Force oversight Kelly's subcommittee chairmanship on House Armed Services Committee includes oversight of Air Force projection forces; Columbus Air Force Base is within his…

US Navy oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee, Kelly has direct oversight of Navy programs and Naval Air Station Meridian borders his district

SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation) oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee, Kelly oversees defense contractors including SAIC

CACI International oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee, Kelly oversees defense contractors including CACI

Anduril Industries PAC industry_connection Defense and aerospace PACs including Anduril Industries PAC dominate Kelly's 2025-2026 donor roll (Anduril found in related defense context)

General Dynamics oversight As Chairman of Seapower and Projection Forces Subcommittee on House Armed Services Committee, Kelly oversees defense contractors including General Dynamics

Highwater PAC donor $5,000 to Trent Kelly's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00832568/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Trent Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Fairbanks Morse LLC PAC donor $10,000 to Trent Kelly's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00743435/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: ""The President’s student loan forgiveness, helping out his rich buddies, and all those who went to these Ivy League schools, while our hard‑working class people in Mississippi are not getting anything is just tone deaf…

[ Show full platform position ]

"The President’s student loan forgiveness, helping out his rich buddies, and all those who went to these Ivy League schools, while our hard‑working class people in Mississippi are not getting anything is just tone deaf across the board." — Trent Kelly, November 2022 interview on MidDays radio.

Vote: on "Kelly signed a bipartisan Mississippi delegation letter (May 11, 2020) to Treasury Secretary…"

Kelly publicly called student‑loan forgiveness 'tone deaf,' yet he explicitly advocated for streamlined PPP loan forgiveness — a government debt‑relief program that forgave billions in business loans. Both are federal debt‑forgiveness mechanisms enacted by Congress, making his embrace of one and condemnation of the…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 00:44:45 GMT (via scheduled run)

In‑person constituent town halls in Mississippi (2025)

364d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As the representative for 746,893 constituents and facing significant criticism over votes on the FY2025 budget reconciliation bill that cuts Medicaid/SNAP, Kelly would be expected to hold accessible in‑person public town halls. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Advocacy group Indivisible Northeast Mississippi hosted a town hall in Tupelo on March 16, 2025, attended by more than 60 constituents. Organizers invited Kelly, along with Senators Wicker and Hyde‑Smith, but Kelly did not attend. Attendees lobbed questions at cardboard stand‑ins of the legislators. Kelly remained active during this window — issuing press releases, voting, posting to social media — but did not explain his absence or offer an alternative in‑person forum. Primary URL: https://www.yahoo.com/news/advocates-hold-town-hall-meeting-035900744.html

Rationale for objecting to 2020 Electoral College certification after Capitol breach

25d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: Having voted to object to Arizona's and Pennsylvania's electoral votes on January 6‑7, 2021 — after the violent breach of the Capitol — Kelly would be expected to publicly explain how he weighed the legal challenges (all rejected by courts) against the violent disruption of the certification process. Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Kelly posted on Facebook that 'I stand with President Trump' and said the election 'isn’t over until all legal votes are counted.' But when the House reconvened after the breach, he voted to object. The Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal reported that 'Kelly's office as of Thursday morning did not respond to a request for comment regarding his vote in Congress.' He also did not support the bipartisan Jan. 6 commission. Kelly was active on other topics — voting against impeachment, voting against the commission, and co‑sponsoring legislation — but never gave a detailed public justification for maintaining his objections after the violence. Primary URL: https://www.djournal.com/news/state-news/mississippis-gop-house-members-vote-to-block-biden-win-in-arizona-pennsylvania/article_5a702371-44f6-595f-981c-14b8339d2351.html

other candidates' committees

Huck PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

ideological & single-issue

Stanley Black & Decker Inc. Political Action Committee (amounts: $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Rolls-Royce North America PAC, Nelnet Inc PAC (Nelnet PAC), Osi Systems Inc PAC Osi PAC, Austal USA LLC Federal Political Action Committiee, Fairbanks Morse LLC PAC, Telapex Inc PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)…

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

other / unclassified

American Dental Political Action Committee, America'S Future, Together (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $6,500 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

colleagues' leadership pacs

American Security PAC, Jobs Freedom And Security PAC, Highwater PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $7,000 (2024)

Highwater PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Fairbanks Morse LLC PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $10,000 (2026)

Mississippi Farm Bureau Federation Furthering Agriculture For Rural Mississippians Fund PAC Agriculture & food $8,500 (2026)

Transdigm Group Inc. Employee Political Action Committee Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2024)

Allison Transmission Inc. PAC Transportation & auto $5,000 (2026)

Blue Origin LLC PAC Defense & aerospace $5,500 (2026)

Leidos Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $9,000 (2026)

Jobs Freedom And Security PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Austal USA LLC Federal Political Action Committiee Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2024)

Crop Insurance Professionals Association PAC-Cipa PAC Insurance $8,500 (2024)

U.S. Peanut PAC Agriculture & food $7,500 (2024)

America'S Future, Together Other / unclassified $6,500 (2026)

American Dental Political Action Committee Other / unclassified $5,000 (2024)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Healthcare Access & Rural Hospitals	82	55	30
Agricultural Policy & Farm Support	92	75	15
Immigration & Border Security	78	70	12
Election Integrity & Voting Laws	74	68	12
Government Spending & Debt Reduction	79	76	10
Second Amendment & Gun Rights	88	80	10
Veterans Affairs & Military Support	75	72	8
Tax Relief & Economic Policy	85	84	8
Energy Independence & Domestic Energy Production	80	78	7
Infrastructure & Water Resources	77	82	5
Small Business & Workforce Development	71	74	5
Environmental Regulation & Agriculture Balance	68	85	3

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$4.4BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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