[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Kevin Kiley

Independent · Representative, CA ·3

Kevin Kiley is the Independent U.S. Representative (CA's 3rd congressional district). The platform has 4 voting records on file (2024-2025) and 36 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

55 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

22 → 4

Donor Influence 15%

40 → 6

Silence Risk 25%

95 → 24

Contradiction Risk 25%

76 → 19

Intelligence Volume 15%

34 → 5

Constituency Deviation 0%

85 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Medicaid Dependency Rate: 25%+ (estimated)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 42.3%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 8.7%

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $85,340

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 35 (Medi-Cal funding) (2024) — passed, margin 71.3% yes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 2 (School bonds) (2024) — passed, margin 58.2% yes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 36 (Criminal sentencing enhancements) (2024) — passed, margin 68.5% yes

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Accommodation and Food Services (share 0.08)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Retail Trade (share 0.11)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Construction (share 0.1)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.12)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS Healthcare and Social Assistance (share 0.16)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Raley's Supermarkets (2800 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Blue Shield of California (3200 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: County of Placer (4500 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Sutter Health (12000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kaiser Permanente (15000 employees)

secondary ✓ Verified

[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: California's 3rd Congressional District (Kiley's previous district before 2026 switch) encompasses the northern Sierra Nevada and northeastern Sacramento suburbs including Placer, El Dorado, Nevada, and Sacramento counties. The district has approximately 778,710 residents with median household income around $85,000 and includes both affluent suburbs (Roseville, Rocklin) and rural mountain communities. The economy is driven by healthcare, technology, construction, and tourism. The district was traditionally competitive but voted 55.4% for Kiley in 2024. For 2026, Kiley is running in the newly redrawn 6th District (Democratic-leaning) under nonpartisan primary system.

secondary ✓ Verified

Voted yea on DHS Funding Bill (Department of Homeland Security appropriations FY2026) on 2025-04-27: Voted to fund DHS while running for district affected by immigration policy; aligns with Republican donor interests while district has mixed views on immigration enforcement

primary · 2025-04-27 ✓ Verified

Voted yea on H.R. 26 (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act extension) on 2025-01-01: Voted for extension adding to deficit while simultaneously citing fiscal responsibility as campaign platform; wealthy donor tax cuts funded by cutting social services voters depend on

primary · 2025-01-01 ✓ Verified

House Energy and Commerce Committee committee_membership Kevin Kiley serves on the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

Itserve Alliance PAC donor $7,500 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00833855/

Doordash Inc. Political Action Committee (Dashpac) donor $6,600 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (5 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00820167/

Mvl PAC donor $10,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00817338/

Stop Collectivism Or Totalitarianism Triumphs PAC donor $6,600 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00807909/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

No Nonsense PAC donor $10,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00760397/

Jobs And The Economy PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00752790/

Raptor PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00749481/

Support Taxfighters & Elect Effective Leaders PAC donor $6,600 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00744532/

Vitoria PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00712695/

Buckeye Liberty PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00693796/

Forever Youth Organization Utilizing A New Generation PAC donor $10,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00683508/

American Revival PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00639229/

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) donor $7,500 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00592089/

Building America'S Republican Representation PAC donor $10,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00572271/

E-PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00570945/

First In Freedom PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00540146/

Abbvie PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00536573/

Victory And Freedom PAC donor $5,000 to Kevin Kiley's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00525212/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
PROOF Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Yea	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Yea	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
Local Access to Courts Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Kiley called for congressional stock trading ban: 'We need to pass a bill that would ban stock trading by members of Congress' during House floor remarks"

Vote: on "Kiley served nine years as California Republican in Assembly and Congress before switching…"

Publicly called for banning congressional stock trading while continuing to trade stocks himself through personal accounts tracked by Quiver Quantitative; no blind trust established to eliminate conflicts during his committee service on Judiciary and Education

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Kiley stated in March 2026: 'This reflects the way I've approached the job from the beginning of my tenure' - describing his switch to Independent as consistent bipartisan approach"

Vote: on "Kiley served nine years as California Republican in Assembly and Congress before switching…"

Claims his Independent switch reflects consistent bipartisan approach despite nine years voting and serving as Republican with no prior Independent positioning; the switch coincides with unfavorable district redistricting rather than principle

platform_vs_disclosure 60/100

Platform: "After switching to Independent, Kiley stated he will continue to caucus with Republicans for 'administrative purposes' and committee assignments"

Vote: on "Kiley served nine years as California Republican in Assembly and Congress before switching…"

Claims Independent status to appeal to nonpartisan voters while maintaining Republican caucus arrangement that functionally gives Republicans his vote on all procedural matters; 'independent' positioning appears strategic rather than structural

Last silence detection: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 00:53:22 GMT (via scheduled run)

Stock trading ban advocacy follow-through

433d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As Kiley publicly called for congressional stock trading ban on House floor, he should disclose his own trading activity and whether he has placed holdings in blind trust Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Kiley advocated for stock trading ban but continues to trade stocks; Quiver Quantitative tracks his trading activity with no evidence of blind trust arrangement to eliminate conflicts of interest during his committee service on Judiciary and Education Primary URL: https://www.quiverquant.com/congresstrading/politician/Kevin%20Kiley-K000401

Trump administration policy positions

414d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As self-described independent who claims to evaluate bills on merits, Kiley should have public positions on Trump administration executive orders, DOGE cuts, and immigration policies Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Kiley's public statements focus on congressional institutional authority and bipartisan process but contain no direct criticism of Trump administration policies; his House.gov statements avoid naming Trump or administration figures while supporting or abstaining on controversial executive actions Primary URL: https://kiley.house.gov/resources

Medicaid cuts in reconciliation budget

374d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As representative of district where over 25% of residents rely on Medicaid, Kiley should address how his votes for reconciliation budget affecting healthcare align with constituent interests Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Local media reported Kiley voted for budget cuts affecting Medicaid but his public statements focus on fiscal responsibility and government efficiency rather than addressing specific impact on his district's 25%+ Medicaid dependency rate Primary URL: https://www.facebook.com/repgaramendi/posts/house-republicans-like-rep-kevin-kiley-are-voting-for-devastating-medicaid-cuts-/1201030671408054/

colleagues' leadership pacs

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Raptor PAC, Road To Freedom Campaign Committee, Buckeye Liberty PAC, Eureka PAC, Majority Committee PAC-Mc PAC, American Security PAC, Eye Of The Tiger PAC, Victory And Freedom PAC, First In Freedom PAC, E-PAC, Building America'S Republican Representation PAC, Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC), Forever Youth Organization Utilizing A New Generation PAC, Buckeye Liberty PAC, Support Taxfighters & Elect Effective Leaders PAC, Jobs And The Economy PAC, No Nonsense PAC, Stop Collectivism Or Totalitarianism Triumphs PAC, Mvl PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $7,500 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $6,600 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $10,000 (2026), $6,600 (2024), $10,000 (2026)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

Alticor Political Action Committee (Altipac), Dunkin' PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

party committees

Congressional Leadership Fund, Republican Governance Group/Tuesday Group PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $7,000 (2026)) — interest area: party committees

other candidates' committees

Huck PAC, Vitoria PAC (amounts: $10,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026)) — interest area: other candidates' committees

other / unclassified

American Revival PAC, Itserve Alliance PAC, Congressional Leadership Fund (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $7,500 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: other / unclassified

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $5,000 (2024)

Itserve Alliance PAC Other / unclassified $7,500 (2024)

Doordash Inc. Political Action Committee (Dashpac) Technology $6,600 (2024)

Mvl PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

Stop Collectivism Or Totalitarianism Triumphs PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $6,600 (2024)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,050 (2026)

No Nonsense PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

Jobs And The Economy PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Raptor PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Support Taxfighters & Elect Effective Leaders PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $6,600 (2024)

Vitoria PAC Other candidates' committees $5,000 (2026)

Buckeye Liberty PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Forever Youth Organization Utilizing A New Generation PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $10,000 (2026)

American Revival PAC Other / unclassified $5,000 (2026)

Electing Majority Making Effective Republicans (Emmer PAC) Colleagues' leadership PACs $7,500 (2024)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Medicaid and Medi-Cal Funding	92	-85	90
Healthcare Access and ACA Protections	88	-75	80
Poverty Alleviation and Social Safety Net	72	-70	75
Education Funding and School Infrastructure	70	-20	55
Federal Spending and Fiscal Policy	68	25	45
Professional and Technical Services Growth	58	-10	40
Criminal Justice and Public Safety	74	40	35
Small Business and Retail Economy	65	30	35
Housing and Construction Workforce	62	20	30
Independent/Unaffiliated Governance and Transparency	50	35	25
Tax Policy	60	55	20
Immigration and Border Security	55	70	15

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains.

$4.3BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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