[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Timothy M. Kennedy

Democratic · Representative, NY ·26

Timothy M. Kennedy is the Democratic U.S. Representative (NY's 26th congressional district). The platform has 3 voting records on file (2025-2026) and 34 verified facts on file covering this member's voting positions, financial disclosures, and stated platform commitments.

Score Components

48 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

63 → 13

Donor Influence 15%

55 → 8

Silence Risk 25%

48 → 12

Contradiction Risk 25%

40 → 10

Intelligence Volume 15%

36 → 5

Constituency Deviation 0%

14 → 0

Voting Misalignment 0%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+30

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 8.58%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 17.0%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 35.6%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 60.7%

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 772,895

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[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $65,395

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[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York State Proposition 1 — Equal Rights Amendment (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 61.7%-38.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 722511 — Full-Service Restaurants (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 561320 — Temporary Help Services (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 522110 — Commercial Banking (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 445110 — Supermarkets and Other Grocery Stores (share 0.04)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 622110 — General Medical and Surgical Hospitals (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: General Motors Tonawanda Engine Plant (1300 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: M&T Bank (7400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Catholic Health Systems (8600 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kaleida Health (10000 employees)

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[ Show full fact ]

[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 26th Congressional District is located in Western New York and includes the cities of Buffalo, Lackawanna, Niagara Falls, Lockport, and North Tonawanda. It encompasses parts of Erie and Niagara counties, anchored by the Buffalo-Niagara Falls metropolitan area. The district has a population of approximately 773,000 and is predominantly White (Non-Hispanic) at 65.9%, with a significant Black or African American population (15.6%) and a growing Hispanic community (7.6%). The Cook Partisan Voting Index is D+30, making it one of the safest Democratic seats in the state. The economy is transitioning from heavy industry to a mix of healthcare, education, logistics, and tourism, though it retains a strong manufacturing base. The median household income is $65,395, slightly above the state median but with a higher poverty rate of 17%, compared to the national average of 12.4%. Housing is relatively affordable with a median property value of $208,200 and a homeownership rate of 60.7%.

secondary ✓ Verified

Voted yea on H.R. 7147 (Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026) on 2026-04-17: Kennedy voted Yea on final passage of the DHS funding bill to end a partial government shutdown. This placed him with the bipartisan governing majority against a faction of progressive Democrats who opposed funding ICE. Kennedy represented a district with a key border crossing (Peace Bridge) and a major TSA workforce…

[ Show full fact ]

primary · 2026-04-17 ✓ Verified

US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) oversight Kennedy voted 'Yea' on April 17, 2026 for final passage of bipartisan DHS funding bill (H.R. 7147) which averted a government shutdown, stating the bill was…

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) legislative opposition Kennedy voted Nay on H.R. 29 (Laken Riley Act) on 2025-01-07 against mandatory ICE detention for theft-related crimes, aligning with progressive stance. Later…

Kirsten Gillibrand fundraising comparison In the quarter ending September 30, 2025, Kennedy raised $359,781, outperforming Senator Gillibrand according to FEC reports.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) legislative reference Kennedy's December 5, 2024 press release stated he voted to reject a bill that would have 'defunded essential government programs and services', which…

Chuck Schumer fundraising comparison In the quarter ending September 30, 2025, Kennedy raised $359,781, outperforming Senator Schumer according to FEC reports.

Claudia Tenney fundraising comparison In the quarter ending September 30, 2025, Kennedy raised $359,781, outperforming fellow Western New York Representative Claudia Tenney according to FEC reports.

Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00895235/

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC donor $10,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (3 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00797670/

Suffolk Construction Company, Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00796623/

La Bamba PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00753947/

The Guidehouse PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00740605/

Transdigm Group Inc. Employee Political Action Committee donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00714329/

Medicare For All donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00685552/

Lseg Us Holdco Inc. PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2026 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00640243/

Future Forum PAC donor $5,500 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (4 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00625988/

Jobs, Education, & Families First Jeff PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00617803/

Progressive Turnout Project donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00580068/

Fair Shot PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00574970/

Port Authority Police Benevolent Assoc Inc PAC Aka Papba PAC donor $10,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (2 contributions), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00544932/

Abbvie PAC donor $5,000 to Timothy M. Kennedy's principal committee in the 2024 cycle (1 contribution), FEC Schedule A line 11C. https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00536573/

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
An Act to amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to allow early childhood…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Water Resources Development Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Ratepayer Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
PROOF Act	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-16	unknown
National Fraud Enforcement Division Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Retire through Ownership Act	Yea	2026-09-16	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Fostering the Use of Technology to Uphold Regulatory Effectiveness in…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills H.R. 9576 and H.R. 10326, providing…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Diesel Emissions Reduction Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
GUARD Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers…	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Impeaching Donald John Trump, President of the United States, for high crimes…	Nay	2026-09-15	unknown
Whistleblower Protection Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
Tax Relief for Fraud Victims Act	Yea	2026-09-15	unknown
National Wildlife Refuge System Invasive Species Strike Team Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Local Communities & Bird Habitat Stewardship Act	Yea	2026-09-14	unknown
Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act	Nay	2026-09-03	unknown
Protecting Domestic Mining Act	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to require…	Nay	2026-09-02	unknown
Providing for the condemnation and denouncement of socialism in all its forms…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
In the matter of allegations relating to Representative Chuck Edwards	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
AGOA Extension Act	Yea	2026-09-01	unknown
To amend the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 to extend the time period…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 1501, H.R. 9436, and H.R…	Nay	2026-09-01	unknown
Prison Staff Safety Enhancement Act	Yea	2026-08-31	unknown

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "On December 5, 2024, Kennedy issued a press release stating he voted 'to reject a dangerous Republican bill that would have undermined and defunded essential government programs and services.'"

Vote: on "On April 17, 2026, Kennedy voted 'Yea' on the final passage of the bipartisan DHS funding bill…"

Kennedy voted to reject a 2024 GOP spending bill that he claimed would defund essential services, but later voted to fund DHS under a Republican-controlled Congress in 2026. His votes reflect a shift from blanket opposition to GOP-led funding measures to supporting a bipartisan deal to end a shutdown, highlighting…

[ Show full analysis ]

Last silence detection: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 00:55:50 GMT (via scheduled run)

Arrests at a pro-Palestinian encampment at the University at Buffalo on May 1, 2024

7d silent

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Expected position: As the representative for New York's 26th district, which includes the University at Buffalo, Kennedy would be expected to comment on a major police action on campus involving students and a major political issue. Kennedy had previously stated, 'I've been a strong supporter of Israel my whole life.' Evidence of activity on adjacent topics: Local and student news outlets reported that Kennedy remained silent on the arrests and the clearing of the encampment, unlike other local officials who issued statements. During this same period, Kennedy was actively issuing press releases and posting on social media about other topics, including a local restaurant roundtable and infrastructure funding. Primary URL: https://www.ubsentinel.com/article/2024/05/buffalo-pro-palestine-protests-arrests-ub-north-campus-encampment

corporate pacs, industry unlisted

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Zurich Holding Company Of America Inc. Committee For Good Government (Z-PAC, Zurich PAC), Avangrid PAC, Delaware North Companies, Inc. Political Action Committee, Lseg Us Holdco Inc. PAC, The Guidehouse PAC, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co Stewardship PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $6,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: corporate pacs, industry unlisted

ideological & single-issue

League Of Conservation Voters Action Fund, Progressive Turnout Project (amounts: $7,450 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: ideological & single-issue

other / unclassified

Building Foundations & Landmark Opportunities PAC (Bflo PAC), Future Forum PAC (amounts: $5,000 (2026), $6,500 (2026)) — interest area: other / unclassified

colleagues' leadership pacs

[ Show full donor-interest summary ]

Impact, PAC To The Future, Building Relationships In Diverse Geographic Environments PAC (Bridge PAC), Gridiron-PAC, New Economy PAC, Off The Sidelines PAC, Fair Shot PAC, Jobs, Education, & Families First Jeff PAC, Medicare For All, La Bamba PAC, AmeriPAC: The Fund for a Greater America (amounts: $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2026), $5,000 (2024), $5,000 (2024)) — interest area: colleagues' leadership pacs

National Beer Wholesalers Association PAC (Nbwa PAC) Alcohol & tobacco $7,500 (2024)

Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. PAC Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2026)

American Israel Public Affairs Committee PAC Law & lobbying firms $5,000 (2026)

Suffolk Construction Company, Inc. PAC Real estate & construction $5,000 (2024)

La Bamba PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

The Guidehouse PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

Transdigm Group Inc. Employee Political Action Committee Defense & aerospace $5,000 (2024)

Medicare For All Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2026)

Lseg Us Holdco Inc. PAC Corporate PACs, industry unlisted $5,000 (2026)

Future Forum PAC Other / unclassified $6,500 (2026)

Jobs, Education, & Families First Jeff PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Progressive Turnout Project Ideological & single-issue $5,000 (2024)

Fair Shot PAC Colleagues' leadership PACs $5,000 (2024)

Port Authority Police Benevolent Assoc Inc PAC Aka Papba PAC Labor unions $10,000 (2024)

Abbvie PAC Health care & pharma $5,000 (2024)

Topic	Priority	Alignment	Deviation
Immigration Enforcement and Border Security	72	45	35
Public Safety and Crime	78	55	25
Manufacturing, Trade, and Jobs	85	65	20
Government Accountability and Rule of Law	62	70	15
Social Security and Medicare Protection	88	75	15
Climate, Environment, and Great Lakes	70	72	12
Water Infrastructure and Great Lakes Restoration	72	78	10
Healthcare Access and Prescription Drug Costs	82	80	10
Reproductive Rights and Abortion Access	80	85	8
Veterans Affairs and Military Benefits	75	88	5
Disaster Relief and FEMA Funding	68	90	5
Child Welfare and Family Support	65	90	5

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Contradiction Risk	30%	Stated positions contradicted by the record (recent findings boosted)
Donor Influence	20%	Distinct documented donors (FEC Schedule A PACs); inferred donors do not count
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups; donor links excluded
Silence Risk	15%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Intelligence Volume	15%	Documented facts from verified sources
Constituency Deviation	0%	Shown, not weighted — a model estimate, not a record
Voting Misalignment	0%	Shown, not weighted — needs platform commitments almost nobody has; the roll-call record on /votes is the vote signal

Each component is the member's standing among all scored members of Congress, and the weighted sum is the overall score. Tiers are ranks: Critical is the top 5%, High the next 10%, Elevated the next 20%, Moderate the next 30%, and Low the rest.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

[PUBLIC COST ESTIMATE]

Documented financial relationships span 0 money flow chains, while 10 elected officials hold documented connections.

$5.7BDonor Contributions

0Money Chains

0Traced Hops

Connected Officials

Claudia Tenney U.S. House · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
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Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senate · fundraising comparison

Calculation Methodology

Contract values are summed from documented money flow chains where this entity appears as a source or destination node. Amounts are drawn from USASpending.gov, FEC filings, SEC EDGAR, or LD-2 lobbying registrations.

Donor contributions aggregate documented amounts from the donor_interests table, sourced from FEC individual and PAC contribution filings.

Connected officials are elected officials in our database with a mapped relationship (lobbying, board membership, campaign contribution, etc.) to this entity.

Annualised flow represents the total documented dollar amount traced through money flow hops involving this entity. Where hop-level amounts are unavailable, the chain-level documented total is used as a conservative upper bound.

All figures are drawn from public filings. Estimates are conservative — undisclosed transactions, dark money, and vanish-point hops are excluded from totals. This is a minimum documented floor, not a ceiling.

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