[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Timothy M. Kennedy

Democratic · Representative, NY ·26

Score Components

12 MODERATE

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

18 → 5

Intelligence Volume 10%

49 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Cook Partisan Voting Index: D+30

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 8.58%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 17.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 35.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 60.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population (2024): 772,895

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $65,395

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: New York State Proposition 1 — Equal Rights Amendment (2024) (2024) — passed, margin 61.7%-38.3%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 722511 — Full-Service Restaurants (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 561320 — Temporary Help Services (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 522110 — Commercial Banking (share 0.03)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 445110 — Supermarkets and Other Grocery Stores (share 0.04)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 622110 — General Medical and Surgical Hospitals (share 0.15)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: General Motors Tonawanda Engine Plant (1300 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center (3500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: M&T Bank (7400 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Catholic Health Systems (8600 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Kaleida Health (10000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: New York's 26th Congressional District is located in Western New York and includes the cities of Buffalo, Lackawanna, Niagara Falls, Lockport, and North Tonawanda. It encompasses parts of Erie and Niagara counties, anchored by the Buffalo-Niagara Falls metropolitan area. The district has a population of approximately

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 7147 (Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026) on 2026-04-17: Kennedy voted Yea on final passage of the DHS funding bill to end a partial government shutdown. This placed him with the bipartisan governing majority against a faction of progressive Democrats who opposed funding ICE. Kennedy represented a district with a key b

primary · 2026-04-17

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026	yea	2026-04-17	aligned
Laken Riley Act (Senate Amended Version)	nay	2025-01-22	mixed
Laken Riley Act (Initial House Version)	nay	2025-01-07	mixed

Last contradiction analysis: Never

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "On December 5, 2024, Kennedy issued a press release stating he voted 'to reject a dangerous Republican bill that would have undermined and defunded es"

Vote: on "On April 17, 2026, Kennedy voted 'Yea' on the final passage of the bipartisan DHS funding bill (H.R."

Kennedy voted to reject a 2024 GOP spending bill that he claimed would defund essential services, but later voted to fund DHS under a Republican-controlled Congress in 2026. His votes reflect a shift from blanket opposition to GOP-led funding measure

Last silence detection: Never

Arrests at a pro-Palestinian encampment at the University at Buffalo on May 1, 2024

7d silent

Expected position: As the representative for New York's 26th district, which includes the University at Buffalo, Kennedy would be expected to comment on a major police action on campus involving stude

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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