[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Rick Larsen

Democratic · Representative, WA ·2

Score Components

31 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

0 → 0

Contradiction Risk 25%

100 → 25

Intelligence Volume 10%

58 → 6

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English language at home: 18.1% of households (Spanish: 58,772; Vietnamese: 7,923; Chinese: 7,186)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Drives alone to work: 68.2%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Average commute time: 25.6 minutes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median age: 40.3

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment rate: 4.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 13.6% (106k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: U.S. citizenship rate: 93.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Asian (Non-Hispanic) population share: 7.2% (55.9k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Hispanic population share: 12.8% (99.7k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: White (Non-Hispanic) population share: 71.4% (537k)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population: 781,265 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median rent: $1,700

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median property value: $616,700

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher: 36.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 64.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate: 6.9% (ACS 5-Year); 11% (Data USA 2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income: $90,029 (2024)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 2117 — Prohibition of carbon tax credit trading (November 2024) (2024) — failed, margin 61.9% No to 38.1% Yes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Washington Initiative 2109 — Repeal of the capital gains excise tax (November 2024) (2024) — failed, margin 63.6% No to 36.4% Yes

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 92 - Public Administration (military/defense) (share 0.07)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026 (Farm Bill) — On Passage	nay	2026-04-30	aligned
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026 — On Passage (January a	nay	2026-03-05	mixed
Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2026 — Ending the 43-Day Governmen	nay	2025-11-12	mixed
One Big Beautiful Bill Act — On Motion to Concur in the Senate Amendment	nay	2025-07-03	aligned
Rescissions Act of 2025 — On Passage	nay	2025-06-13	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — On Passage	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
No Rogue Rulings Act (NORRA) — On Passage	nay	2025-04-09	aligned
Laken Riley Act — On Passage	nay	2025-01-07	aligned
National Defense Authorization Acts — FY2025 (Nay) and FY2026 (Nay)	nay	2024-06-14	deviating
Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 ($60.8 billion)	yea	2024-04-20	aligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Larsen voted Nay on the continuing resolution (H.R. 5371) on November 12, 2025 that ended the 43-day government shutdown — the longest in U.S. history"

Vote: on "The NRCC documented that Larsen and six other House Democrats were 'shamelessly taking credit for di"

Larsen voted against the continuing resolution that ended the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, citing healthcare concerns. Within a week, he took credit for $2.165 million in USDA community project funding — and millions more in other ear

position_evolution 60/100

Platform: "Larsen voted Nay on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5, Roll Call 6) on January 7, 2025, joining 156 Democrats opposing mandatory ICE detention for undocumente"

Vote: on "On February 3, 2026, Larsen was one of 21 House Democrats who voted for a temporary government fundi"

Larsen voted against expanding ICE enforcement (Laken Riley Act) in January 2025, then voted for a temporary funding package that included ICE funding in February 2026, then voted against full-year ICE funding in March 2026. His shifting votes on ICE

platform_vs_vote 60/100

Platform: "Larsen served on the House Armed Services Committee for 22 years — one of the longest tenures of any member — and was the top Democratic recipient of "

Vote: on "Larsen has a 99% AFL-CIO lifetime score and a 97% agreement rate with other House Democrats in the 1"

Larsen's 99% AFL-CIO lifetime score and progressive voting record sit in some tension with his career-long acceptance of substantial defense and transportation industry PAC contributions. A progressive primary challenger documented that Larsen took m

same_source_inconsistency 30/100

Platform: "Larsen voted Nay on the Fiscal Year 2025 NDAA on June 14, 2024, stating he opposed it because 'the House GOP transformed a bipartisan bill into extrem"

Vote: on "In his own press release opposing the FY2025 NDAA, Larsen touted provisions he had secured within th"

[auto-downgraded: both claims come from the same source host] Larsen voted against the FY2025 NDAA, condemning it as 'extreme legislation,' while simultaneously touting the military pay raises, school Impact Aid, frigate homeporting, and AI provision

Last silence detection: Never

No active silences

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

View Full Entity Profile →