[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Ted Lieu

Democratic · Representative, CA ·36

Score Components

24 ELEVATED

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

64 → 16

Intelligence Volume 10%

54 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Non-English primary language — Spanish households: 75,149

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Foreign-born population: 23.7%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Hispanic: 16.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population Asian (Non-Hispanic): 18.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Population White (Non-Hispanic): 55.8%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median home value: $1,538,700

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership rate: 44.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's degree or higher (age 25+): 67.0%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty rate (2024): 5.1%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median household income (2024): $130,594

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 36 (2024) — Increased Penalties for Certain Drug and Theft Crimes (2024) — passed, margin 68.4% yes – 31.6% no (statewide)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 3 (2024) — Constitutional Right to Marriage (repeal Proposition 8) (2024) — passed, margin 62.6% yes – 37.4% no (statewide)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: California Proposition 1 (2024) — Behavioral Health Services Program and Bond Measure (2024) — passed, margin 50.2% yes – 49.8% no (statewide)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 72 - Accommodation and Food Services (share 0.08)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 - Retail Trade (share 0.09)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 51 - Information (share 0.09)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 - Health Care and Social Assistance (share 0.13)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (share 0.17)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Google / YouTube (Playa Vista campus) (3000 employees)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: SpaceX (Hawthorne) (10000 employees)

secondary

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
Protect America's Workforce Act (restoring collective bargaining rights for ~1 m	yea	2025-12-11	aligned
One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Trump tax-and-spending reconciliation, adding ~$3 tr	nay	2025-07-03	mixed
Rescissions Act of 2025 ($9.4 billion in spending cuts including $1.1 billion fr	nay	2025-06-12	aligned
Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act — requiring documentary proof of	nay	2025-04-10	aligned
Expressing the sense of the House that the slogan 'from the river to the sea, Pa	nay	2024-04-16	deviating
Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2024 (standalone $17.6 billion	aye	2024-02-06	aligned
Censuring Representative Rashida Tlaib for promoting false narratives regarding	nay	2023-11-07	deviating

Last contradiction analysis: Never

statement_vs_disclosure 90/100

Platform: "Lieu has positioned himself as a campaign finance reform advocate. He was a plaintiff in Lieu v. FEC, a First Amendment challenge argued before the Su"

Vote: on "Lieu donated $51,046 in campaign funds to Stanford University between 2016 and 2018 — the period bef"

Lieu publicly advocates for campaign finance reform and has challenged FEC rules in federal court, yet his own campaign spending pattern — funneling tens of thousands in donor funds to his wife's political campaign and his son's future university — d

reversal 60/100

Platform: "After the May 22, 2025 passage of H.R. 1, Lieu called it 'Donald Trump's Big Ugly Bill' and 'the GOP's big, ugly bill,' stating it 'gave tax breaks to"

Vote: on "Lieu voted for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (H.R. 1, 115th Congress), which was projected by th"

Lieu condemned the 2025 Republican tax bill as a giveaway to billionaires, but votewith most Democrats for the 2017 Trump tax cuts that added $1.5 trillion to the debt with benefits heavily tilted toward corporations and the wealthy — the same fiscal

Last silence detection: Never

Rep. Rashida Tlaib's use of the phrase 'from the river to the sea' (November 2023)

6d silent

Expected position: As a member of House Democratic leadership (Vice Chair of the Democratic Caucus), a prominent Jewish caucus ally, and the top recipient of AIPAC funds in California, Lieu would be e

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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